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<https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/political-dribbling-of-aleksandar-vucic/>  


Aleksandar Vučić’s Political Dribbling


8–10 minutes

  _____  

The focus of world geopolitics is once again shifting towards Serbia. Moscow’s 
traditional ally in Eastern Europe has demonstrated its commitment to its 
Russian “brothers” not only in words, but also in deeds. If in words President 
Aleksandar Vučić makes it clear to all partners that the pressure of Western 
colleagues regarding Serbia’s accession to anti-Russian sanctions is about to 
achieve its success, then in reality the president of Serbia is very successful 
in resisting powerful Western pressure. Sometimes it has even done so at the 
expense of the West, making 500 million euros in spending secret in 2022,  
<https://dzen.ru/a/ZTZzMugwGm6L-Kbk> after having promised to harmonise 
processes with the EU.

Considering that there are a lot of reasons for the opposition to protest in 
Serbia, Aleksandar Vučić has skilfully learned to manoeuvre in the “inland sea” 
of Serbian politics. 

The main demand of the opposition in recent months has been for early 
parliamentary and local elections in Serbia. Aleksandar Vučić met these 
demands, and it became known that they would be held on December 17, 2023. 
Moreover, the Chairman of the People’s Assembly (Parliament of Serbia) Vladimir 
Orlic said that the authorities perceive the idea of these elections “with 
enthusiasm.” 
<https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/18859101?ysclid=lo4qu34nav903175395>  
 

What sentiments prevail among Serbian citizens today? The most recent polls 
from the end of October show the following interesting picture. To the main 
question for us about a possible implementation of sanctions against Russia, 
78.9% said categorically no! The next important point is the number of 
supporters and opponents of joining the EU. Until now, the proportion of voters 
supporting of European integration has been 41%; it exceeds the number of 
opponents, 38%. It is curious that at the beginning of the year – in January – 
the number of supporters of joining the EU was 47.6%. However, when asked if 
they were for joining the EU on the condition that Belgrade recognised Kosovo 
as independent, the picture of respondents’ opinions changes: both then and 
now, about 80% of the population is against such conditions for integration 
with the European Union. If we talk about potential entry into NATO, then there 
is a whole gulf here - 85% are against, 15% are in favour. The destroyed 
buildings of the General Staff and the Ministry of Defence remain standing as 
tragic ruins in the centre of Belgrade, representing for almost a quarter of a 
century a silent reminder to the country's citizens and tourists who Serbia’s 
friends and enemies are. 

Another important and interesting point in the opinion poll is the number of 
supporters of Serbia’s potential entry into the BRICS group. This idea is 
supported by 41.2% of respondents. 

Over the past six months, opposition forces in Serbia have been holding mass 
protests under the slogan “Serbia against violence.” The official reason was 
the tragedy at the Vladislav Ribnikar elementary school. It is symbolic that 
Vladislav Ribnikar himself was the founder of Politika newspaper and died 
young, in the first days of the First World War. 

The protest policy of the oppositionists began with a tragedy at the school, 
but quickly spread to demands to fire government officials who, in their 
opinion, were unsuitable for European integration: Alexander Vulin, Bratislav 
Gasic, and even Aleksandar Vučić himself. 

Furthermore, appetites began to grow, and the protesters realized that the best 
way to achieve results was to hold new elections, which they could not win last 
time. Moreover, at first it was only about Belgrade, and then parliamentary 
elections were added. Gradually, the line began to blur between marches 
“against violence” and protest rallies “against dictatorship”, against 
government decisions affecting the environment, and others; as it later turned 
out, the same organizers were behind all these events. 

 As for external pressure on Serbia, it is increasing day by day, especially 
with regard to the Kosovo issue. Vučić, who successfully flew to China, 
immediately found himself immersed in a maelstrom of artificially escalated 
“eternal” problems 
<https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/19082697?ysclid=lo4rx9f9g2759823453> 
.  

The President of Serbia has repeatedly stated that he is a “soldier” and is 
ready to do anything for Serbia 
<https://vz.ru/news/2023/1/23/1196211.html?ysclid=lo4s6t7s5b513990945> .  

However, each time, such statements have lulled his potential competitors, 
thereby allowing him to gain time. There is a feeling that this strategy of 
political behaviour allows Vučić to pursue an effective multi-vector policy, 
successfully attracting investments into his country and developing its economy 
while maintaining warm partnerships with Western countries, China, and Russia, 
which are racing to participate in Serbian infrastructure projects. 

There is an imaginary feeling that the level of support from Western countries 
in Serbia has decreased, but this is not the case: if only to prevent Serbia 
from becoming dependent on Russia, the West will finance Serbia in any event. 

This is echoed in a recent statement by Serbian Prime Minister Anna Brnabic, 
who stated that 65-70% of investments in Serbia are attracted from the EU and 
the same percentage of exports are sent back to the EU countries, but the 
republic’s full accession to the EU, even by 2030, looks foggy 
<https://turbo.ria.ru/20230828/serbiya-1892741415.html> . 

Even in the unlikely event of the recognition of Kosovo by Serbia, investments 
could increase sharply, but there is no talk of rapid accession to the EU. 

Therefore, Belgrade will obviously continue to have a high degree of dependence 
on Western countries in political, financial and investment terms, and 
fast-growing new players declaring themselves on the world stage will be 
interested in investing in Serbia. This is due to its favourable economic 
geographical location and comparatively underdeveloped infrastructure and 
production capacity; these and other elements of the nation’s economic 
structure were neglected due to the containment of the country's development 
during the Balkan wars of the 1990s. The appeal of producing in Serbia will 
also be facilitated by the fact that it has among the lowest wage levels in 
Europe; this has been the main factor motivating protest sentiments. Therefore, 
the authorities will do their best to promote new job creation in the country, 
accepting new proposals from all interested parties. 

In recent years, thanks to Vučić’s multi-vector economic policy, new serious 
players have appeared in the Serbian direct investment market, such as the UAE 
and Bahrain, which at first glance seem exotic for a small Eastern European 
country. However, with a higher resolution of the investment and economic 
focus, the attractiveness of investments seems understandable. This includes 
resort and recreational potential, the service sector, the financial and 
banking sector, and many other areas of investment. 

By attracting investments from all over the world, Vučić not only solves 
internal problems with consumer basket inflation, but declares himself as a 
reliable partner for external investors who, in managing their money, will 
adhere to the agreements reached with a specific person who will guarantee the 
safety and yield of the invested funds. 
<https://turbo.ria.ru/20230908/tseny-1895036754.html>  

Aleksandar Vučić continues to learn and improve in this kind of political 
dexterity all the time. For example, in order to fulfil a childhood dream, take 
a break from everyday work and gain additional skills, the president took 
courses in 2020 to become a basketball coach and enter a sport that he had been 
involved in since childhood. 
<https://www.ntv.ru/novosti/2376140/?ysclid=lo4fsyk836939485541>   

In a country where basketball is not just a sport, but a religion, Aleksandar 
Vučić (199 cm), the tallest president in the world, has mastered both in theory 
and practice the art of dribbling, the main activity in this game, as 
demonstrated by past masters similar in height - Michael Jordan and Kobe 
Bryant. Unlike them, however Aleksandar Vučić doesn’t do this in the Crypto.com 
Arena <https://www.rbc.ru/crypto/news/619504d49a79475720dd3d05> , but in the 
political arena, both in domestic and international platforms. 

Views expressed are of individual Members and Contributors, rather than the 
Club's, unless explicitly stated otherwise.

 

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