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West Balkans Tensions: Serbia and Kosovo at it again?


Joseph Balodis

~2 minutes

  _____  

Tensions in the West Balkans are rising. On 1 February, Kosovo banned the use 
of the Serbian Dinar in favour of the Euro. As such, Serbian minorities in the 
country launched protests in Mitrovica, claiming that the move instigated 
ethnic tensions. Serbia itself has been highly critical. Addressing the nation 
on 2 February, President Aleksander Vucic claimed Kosovo as instigating an 
‘ethnic cleanse’ over the ban of the Dinar. Subsequently, neither nation has 
deescalated tensions, sparking concern in Europe. Evidently, given European and 
US attention to the ongoing Ukraine-Russia conflict, the security situation in 
the region is at risk of escalating. 

Key Judgement 1. Ethnic tension between Kosovars and Serbians is likely to 
increase in Kosovo over the next 6 months as the government enforces its ban on 
the Dinar

Key Judgement 2. The standoff between Serbia and Kosovo will likely exacerbate 
regional tensions in the next 6 months as neighbouring countries align with one 
party or another.

Key Judgement 3. It is likely that the EU and US will intervene diplomatically 
over the next 6 months in an effort to stabilise the region over increased 
tensions between Serbia and Kosovo.

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Joseph Balodis <https://greydynamics.com/author/joe_b/> 

Is a recent graduate in MA Intelligence & Security Studies, completing the 
H4MoD program in 2023 and holding a BA in Contemporary History & Politics at 
the University of Salford. His interest focus is on Sahelian and West African 
security, French intelligence, and international relations.

 

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