dw.com
<http://www.dw.com/en/seselj-verdict-complicates-the-situation-in-serbia/a-1
9152374>  


Seselj verdict complicates the situation in Serbia | Europe | DW.COM |
30.03.2016


Deutsche Welle (www.dw.com)

Vojislav Seselj has said again and again that he will not return
<http://www.dw.com/en/seselj-defies-uns-order-to-return-to-the-hague/a-18480
627>  to the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia
(ICTY) in The Hague voluntarily. Currently, he is at home in Serbia: In
November 2014, after almost 12 years of imprisonment in The Hague, he was
released so that he could undergo cancer treatment in Serbia. But his
provisional release has been repealed.
<http://www.dw.com/en/icty-revokes-vojislav-seseljs-provisional-release/a-18
349382> 

An ultranationalist and Greater Serbia ideologue, Seselj voluntarily
appeared before the Tribunal in 2003, after the International Criminal
Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia brought charges against him. He is
accused of having committed crimes against humanity during the Balkan Wars
of the 1990s.

After returning to Serbia in 2014, he once again began disseminating his
nationalist slogans - and suffered no political consequences for his
actions. Although Seselj considers Serbian President Tomislav Nikolic and
Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic to be "traitors," he has largely spared them
in his criticism. Though both were close confidants in his Serbian Radical
Party (SRS) in the 1990s, they unexpectedly left to form the pro-European,
Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in 2008. 

'Political circus'

 <http://www.dw.com/en/seselj-verdict-complicates-the-situation-in-serbia/> 

Seselj burning a Croatian flag

Though Seselj made headlines after returning to Serbia - only a few
extremely radical nationalists were enthusiastic about his theatrics - such
as his tirades against Croatians, or his public burning of EU-, Nato- and
Croatian flags.

"What has gone on over the last 12 months has been more circus than serious
politics," as Aleksandar Popov, director of the Center for Regionalism in
Novi Sad, Serbia, told DW. "The only thing that Seselj can do is help his
Radical Party clear the five-percent hurdle required to win seats in
parliament. If the nationalist Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) can do the
same, there will then be two political groups in parliament fighting against
the European integration of Belgrade - and for closer cooperation with
Russia," Popov said.

New elections along the way to joining the EU

In early March, President Nikolic dissolved parliament and announced that
early elections would be held on April 24 - two years before the end of the
legislative period. Elections, he said, were necessary for the completion of
reforms. Aleksandar Vucic's government wants another four-year mandate in
order to "guarantee a European standard of living."

 <http://www.dw.com/en/seselj-verdict-complicates-the-situation-in-serbia/> 

The International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia in The Hague

The economically challenged country has been an official candidate for EU
membership since March 2012. The Kosovo conflict has long hindered accession
talks. The first two chapters of membership negotiations were not officially
opened until December of last year. To this day, Serbia has refused to
recognize the independence of its Kosovo province, but now - under pressure
from Brussels - it seeks to normalize relations with Kosovo.

Penalizing Belgrade?

"The situation in Serbia and the rest of the region will become additionally
complicated regardless of the verdict in the Seselj case," says Djordje
Pavicevic, professor of political science at the University of Belgrade. "If
Seselj's sentence is longer than the time that he has already served, it
will create headaches for the Serbian government because Seselj will most
likely be elected to parliament along with three other members of his
Radical Party accused of contempt at the Hague Tribunal." Domestically, an
extradition would be precarious for Belgrade, as Seselj's supporters would
no doubt view the government's leaders as traitors. 

The other three politicians are accused of having threatened witnesses
against party-leader Seselj during their trials. They also refuse to report
to The Hague voluntarily. Thus Belgrade could find itself in the unenviable
situation of having to extradite four of its parliamentarians to The Hague.

The Serbian government can expect sanctions should it fail to cooperate with
The Hague, says Aleksandar Popov: "Serbia's European integration could be
slowed." Yet the expert does not foresee this happening: he expects that
Belgrade will extradite Seselj to the Hague after the verdict is handed
down.

 

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