On Tue, Jun 3, 2008 at 9:28 AM, Udhay Shankar N <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Perry E. Metzger wrote, [on 6/3/2008 9:23 PM]:
>> I continue to be quite impressed by the quality of Vernor Vinge's
>> original essay 15 years ago:
>> http://www-rohan.sdsu.edu/faculty/vinge/misc/singularity.html
>> I think at this point he's a little bit off on the timing, though
>> perhaps he isn't. :)
>
> He still thinks he's on the mark [1]
>> So what do I mean by "fairly near" future? In my 1993 essay, "The Coming
>> Technological Singularity," I said I'd be surprised if the singularity had
>> not happened by 2030. I'll stand by that claim, assuming we avoid the
>> showstopping catastrophes—things like nuclear war, superplagues, climate
>> crash—that we properly spend our anxiety upon.
>
> Udhay
>
> [1] http://www.spectrum.ieee.org/jun08/6306
I found Vinge's Long Now talk[1][2] titled 'What if the Singularity
does NOT happen' interesting. Also found Bruce Sterling's take on the
singularity ('The Singularity: Your Future as a Black Hole')[3][4]
compelling.
Thaths
[1]
http://blog.longnow.org/2007/02/16/non-singularity-scenarios-vernor-vinge-talk/
[2]
http://media.longnow.org/seminars/salt-020070215-vinge/salt-020070215-vinge-web.mp3
[3]
http://blog.longnow.org/2004/06/14/bruce-sterling-the-singularity-your-future-as-a-black-hole/
[4]
http://media.longnow.org/seminars/salt-0200406-sterling/salt-0200406-sterling.mp3
--
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Homer: Hehe. You don't have a son.
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