On Sunday 01 Feb 2009 2:33:37 pm Udhay Shankar N wrote:
> Sterling was claiming that the Westphalian System was (i) a form of
> consensus reality that (ii) could cause global disruption if it unravelled.
>
> <q>
> Let's consider seven other massive reservoirs of potential popular
> dread. Any one of these could erupt, shattering the fragile social
> compact we maintain with one another in order to believe things contrary
> to fact.
> </q>
>
> Do you disagree? Why? And what, exactly, is "getting better" in 2009?

It's my pleasure to address these questions:

First the Prelude: a little history..

The Westphalian system sorted Christianity out good and proper and squeezed 
out the juice of secularism from the Christian states of Europe. These 
Christian states then had the reformation and the blossoming of science as we 
know it followed by the technological and military power to dominate the 
world.

That ability to dominate set the stage for exploration,  "discovery" and 
colonial occupation of much of the world. With the world having been 
colonized, dominated and old empires (such as the Islamic 
Caliphate) "defeated", religion was considered passe as a reason for conflict 
and the dominant (European) powers of the "world" (dominant powers) set about 
fighting a series of "secular" wars that got bigger and bigger until the 
world saw "World War 1" (Which was a "world" war only in name) World War 2, 
and the Cold war.

In this secular phase of world history, Islam was still there, still 
unreformed and considered to be "defeated".

The division of Bengal in 1905 was one attempt to maintain domination over 
restive colonies by creating two smaller states out of a larger state on the 
basis of religion - one state being predominantly Islamic and the other not. 
This was a prelude to a bigger partition in which Pakistan was created in an 
act of political sleight-of-hand that threw all Westphalian secular, 
democratic norms to the winds, but created geographical entities that were 
given honorable status as "nation state". This happened in 1947. It is not 
something new that is happening in 2009. 

Now let me come to the juicy bit and explain how Bruce Sterling is an 
underinformed and naive gringo American

Afghanistan was a fairly stable monarchy until 1973. A coup in 1973 set the 
stage of making it a nation state on Westphalian lines, with the 
encouragement of secularism and  womens' education and other signs of 
modernity. The Soviet Union was called into help, but this secularism was 
unpopular. These two factors, namely

1) Unpopularity of secular reform and 
2) The presence of the Soviet Union got the US involved.

The US did everything possible to support a military dictatorship and Islamic 
extremism in Pakistan in order to force Islamic extremism on previously 
stable Afghanistan in order to defeat the Soviet Union. The US even stood by 
while nuclear bomb designs were given to Pakistan.

What we are seeing now is not some accidental failure of the Westphalian 
system, but the results of deliberate acts of bending the system in the first 
place to create a religion based state called Pakistan, and then using that 
state as a launching point to destroy a nascent Westphalian state in 
Afghanistan just to spite communism.

Bruce Sterling appears to have no more information about Afghanistan or the 
region than Dubya gave him and fails to mention the key player in the region 
that is holding superpower America (and for that matter India) by the balls 
and squeezing them - Pakistan. With Bruce, ignorance is not a problem. The 
real problem is when the same ignorance soaks the entire governmental 
apparatus of the United States of America.

What's getting better in 2009? The US is showing signs of understanding what's 
up - with even cold warrior Madeline Halfbright making the right noises. That 
may not nean much, but its a start.

shiv















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