>From today's Miscellanea [1]: Unskilled and Unaware of It: How
Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated
Self-Assessments [2]

      Abstract:
      People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in
      many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that
      this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are
      unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these
      people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices,
      but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to
      realize it. Across 4 studies, the authors found that participants
      scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and
      logic grossly overestimated their test performance and
      ability. Although their test scores put them in the 12th
      percentile, they estimated themselves to be in the 62nd. Several
      analyses linked this miscalibration to deficits in metacognitive
      skill, or the capacity to distinguish accuracy from
      error. Paradoxically, improving the skills of participants, and
      thus increasing their metacognitive competence, helped them
      recognize the limitations of their abilities.

I'm surprised no one has forwarded this to me already with a snarky
comment ...

Footnotes: 
[1]  http://miscellanea.wellingtongrey.net/
[2]  http://www.apa.org/journals/features/psp7761121.pdf

-- 
Alok

An idea is not responsible for the people who believe in it.

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