Pretty loose application of statistics Marshall.
Says Ivan who just passed his first statistics paper ;-)

Given 2 data points 100 and 1,
Mean = 50.5
Standard deviation = 49.5

Given 12 data points , 16, 16, 16, 16, 16, 16, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1.
Mean = 8.08
Standard deviation = 7.92

99.7% of all outcomes lie within 3 standard deviations.

There is no standard deviation of a population of 1.

Ivan.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Marshall Dudley" <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, 29 November 2000 05:53
Subject: Re: CS>misinformation on CS


> Hmmm, wonder how he can explain why the 6 members of my family who
averaged a
> cold or flu every month or two, have now gone 3 years without getting
sick
> (except for one time for my wife).
>
> Previous 3 years - about 100 illnesses between us all.
> Last 3 years - 1 lung congestion problem.
>
> So the basline is about 100 with a standard deviation of 10.  1 is
just under 10
> standard deviations from the norm of 100.  My stats books don't even
go that far
> out, they stop at 3 standard deviations, and basically say anything
beyond that
> is not a statistical deviation.  I would guess about a trillion or
more to one.
>
> If we look at it on an individual by individual basis, we have:
>
> previous 3 years - about 16 illnesses each
> last 3 years - 0 illnesses each.
>
> Standard deviation is 4.  The second 3 years is 4 standard deviations
from the
> mean.  Assuming that this means that the probability of it being
statistical
> (since I cannot find anything that goes beyond 3 standard deviations)
is about 1
> in 100,000 the probability that all 6 are statistical is 100,000 to
the 6th
> power, or 10^30.  This is 1 chance in
1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
> or one chance in a trillion trillion.
>
> This is better proof to me than any official drug test results I have
ever read
> that was FDA approved.
>
> Marshall
>
> [email protected] wrote:
>
> > More serious than the attacks on CS by that obsessive MD who runs
Quackwatch
> > is this opinion in the current issue of the respected alternative
health
> > newsletter Second Opinion, which is run by William Campbell
Douglass.
> >
> > In response to a reader's query about hearing that CS is valuable as
an
> > antibiotic which kills a wide variety of bad things, Douglass
replied:
> >
> > "Everything you say about CS is true, but only if it is applied
externally;
> > it should not be taken by mouth (emphasis in the original). We've
written
> > about this many times in Second Opinion, but need to remind folks
every now
> > and then.  The marketing blitz, which claims this "nutrient" is good
for you
> > when taken internally, is persuasive, but don't believe it.
> >     "Silver, if absorbed through the intestinal tract, stores in the
gums,
> > giving an unattractive bluish appearance.  Fortunately, little of
the oral
> > products are absorbed because of the size of the CS molecule. It's
okay to
> > use it as a topical antibiotic, as it's been used by the medical
profession
> > for 40 years in that way.  In my experience, I've found that
three-percent
> > hydrogen peroxide on infected wounds is much more effective and it
will cost
> > you only pennies per treatment. Another excellent use for H202 is
for sore
> > throats.  Gargle and spit it out. Caught early, and treated three
times a
> > day, 95 percent of sore throats can be nipped in the bud.  Silver,
in any
> > form, is not this versatile and since we have H202, is seldom needed
except
> > for the treatment of burns."
> >
> > Allen
> >
> > --
> > The silver-list is a moderated forum for discussion of colloidal
silver.
> >
> > To join or quit silver-list or silver-digest send an e-mail message
to:
> > [email protected]  -or-
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> > with the word subscribe or unsubscribe in the SUBJECT line.
> >
> > To post, address your message to: [email protected]
> > Silver-list archive:
http://escribe.com/health/thesilverlist/index.html
> > List maintainer: Mike Devour <[email protected]>
>


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