I agree with C. Creel that the gentleman named Horowitz, who calls SARS a "scam," is dangerously wrongheaded and dead wrong on this issue. I read his web site and think he has really done a bad thing by making these hasty, hotheaded claims.
If the SARS mortality rate is, say, five percent, and if 40 million Americans are infected, two million would die. The concerns of the medical community worldwide hardly seem exaggerated. The amazing global cooperation, which Horowitz seems to see as some kind of combined delusion and conspiracy, if I read him correctly, seems to me a wonderful step in the right direction. C Creel wrote: > > <<> > >It is April, have we not been fools? > > > >Last year, didn?t more than 36,000 people die of the flu in the U.S.? > > > >Weren?t they, almost all, elderly or very young? > > > >Weren?t these victims, almost all, immune compromised? > > > >Had not the major source of their weakened immunity been drug side effects > >and vaccine-induced toxicity and autoimmunity? > > > >Why was there nearly no mention about this widespread mortality from flu in > >previous years, compared to SARS this year, which to date (April 16, 2003) > >has killed no one in America?>> > > ** Horowitz really misses the boat on this one. Compare how many people > contract a flu virus every year with the amount of deaths from flu viruses. > Then do the same with SARS. > > According to FluWatch.com each year up to 40 million Americans develop > influenza and about 150,000 are hospitalized. The illness is associated with > 20,000 to 40,000 deaths nationwide. Although the number of children, adults, > and seniors who get the flu varies from year to year, it's estimated that > during a typical flu season, 10 percent to 20 percent of the population > catches the disease. > > If we use all the higher numbers (40 million infected, 40,000 died), this > is a mortality rate of one-tenth of one percent of those infected. Even > reducing the amount of infections to 20 million and keeping the deaths at > the high of 40,000, the mortality rate is only 0.2%. > I believe the stats on flu viruses are most often calculated using the > number of admissions to the hospital for flu compared to the number of > deaths. > > Here are some SARS stats that are current to about 5 days ago: > > Date Hong Kong Canada Singapore **China > April 19 18.2% 18.2% 13.8% 5.4% > April 18 17.6% 20.7% 15.0% 5.5% > April 17 19.3% 20.7% 14.2% 5.5% > April 16 19.2% 26.0% 13.3% 5.5% > April 15 18.7% 32.5% 13.3% 6.1% > April 14 17.0% 32.5% 12.5% 5.6% > April 12 14.0% 27.8% 10.5% 5.3% > April 11 15.9% 28.6% 10.5% 5.3% > April 10 16.3% 31.3% 10.7% 5.1% > > ** China's figures are very unreliable. This probably explains > the much lower mortality rate. > > Regards, > Catherine > > -- > The silver-list is a moderated forum for discussion of colloidal silver. > > Instructions for unsubscribing may be found at: http://silverlist.org > > To post, address your message to: [email protected] > > Silver-list archive: http://escribe.com/health/thesilverlist/index.html > > List maintainer: Mike Devour <[email protected]>
