An article in yeserday's newspaper made the same statment as C. Creel below. The example in the article: 30 persons are infected and hospitalized, three die, seven recover and are released.
An incorrect mortality calculation would be a rate of 3 of 30, or 10%, which is scary enough. The article claims this is not correct: the mortality rate is actually 3 deaths out of ten cases known to have been resolved, or a shocking 30%. The 20 persons still hospitalized can not be included in the calculations, this article says. A difficulty for the layperson, however, is that stats we have about influenza in recent years naturally are based on all persons who were infected, given that every case has by now been resolved. This complicates matters and makes it unclear just how alarming the reality is. IAW, we do not yet know how bad the situation is. Moreover, the virus can mutate to become either more or less dangerous. Yes? JBB C Creel wrote: > > Dear TJ, > > You said: > > <<<<<Why would public health officials, who know better, go along with the > false > >and misleading 4% death rate from SARS errantly established on this > >inappropriate summing of ?confirmed? and ?suspected? SARS > ?cases??>>>>>>>>>> > > ** The 4% death rate being quoted is not being figured correctly. They > are taking the sum of all people identified as having SARS and dividing it > by the number of deaths. That is not statistically correct. You have to > take the number of people who have recoverd and add it with the number of > people who have died. The sum of this is then divided by the number of > deaths. This will give the proper mortality rate. You cannot figure into > the mortality rate people whose outcomes are as yet unknown. > > You said: > > <<<<<<Level 5: Genius Level > > If far more than 99.99% of people infected with SARS get well on their own, > how did they manage to do that without government involvement?>>>>>>>>>> > > ** Most would not have gotten well without IV fluids and oxygen. In some > cases mechanical ventilation was necessary. > > Regards, > Catherine > > -- > The silver-list is a moderated forum for discussion of colloidal silver. > > Instructions for unsubscribing may be found at: http://silverlist.org > > To post, address your message to: [email protected] > > Silver-list archive: http://escribe.com/health/thesilverlist/index.html > > List maintainer: Mike Devour <[email protected]>
