Title: Message
The future of Kosovo

Friday, February 7, 2003

Just days after the dissolution of Yugoslavia into a looser federation now called Serbia and Montenegro, Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic of Serbia has begun pushing for a resolution of the delicate and long-deferred issue of Kosovo. On Wednesday he appealed for an international conference to be convened by June, when he would most likely press for the province's eventual reincorporation into Serbia, even though its majority ethnic Albanian population favors independence.

Djindjic's motives are rooted in Serbian politics. With his chief rival, Vojislav Kostunica, now temporarily sidelined by losing his position as Yugoslav president, Djindjic has chosen an issue popular among nationalist voters who have not previously given him strong support. His timetable is clearly premature, as United Nations and European Union officials said Thursday in response.

There is little chance that the climate will be right for determining Kosovo's future this year. But Djindjic's appeal is a useful reminder that after nearly four years of NATO occupation and United Nations administration, the crucial question of the province's political status cannot be deferred indefinitely. There is a real danger that efforts to build a civil society and healthy economy in Kosovo could be stunted if the uncertainties about status aren't addressed soon.

Kosovo became an international ward in 1999 after President Slobodan Milosevic of Yugoslavia tried to drive out or slaughter the province's ethnic Albanians and NATO stepped in. The UN resolution ending that conflict left Kosovo's future vague. The two simplest options, reincorporation into Serbia without guarantees for the Albanians, or independence without guarantees for the Serbian minority, are both unacceptable. Finding a compromise all Kosovars can live with will require negotiations among the leaders of the province's main communities, with the participation of interested neighbors.

In response to Djindjic, a tentative timetable for those discussions should be set, linked to progress in Kosovo. The main criteria should be reconciling ethnic communities, reducing violence and establishing reliable protections for minority rights. Some small steps have already been taken. A (largely powerless) local assembly has been elected, two rounds of municipal elections have been held and United Nations authority has been extended to the Serbian enclave of northern Mitrovica. The appointment of judges and prosecutors from minority communities has been particularly encouraging. But violence among ethnic Albanians and attacks against Serbs are still serious problems.

Michael Steiner, the chief United Nations administrator for Kosovo, has set a series of targets that need to be met before status questions can be resolved. Many have still not been reached. The sooner they are, the more quickly discussions about Kosovo's political future can begin.

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