PREVENTIVE WAR 'THE SUPREME CRIME'

                    Iraq: invasion that will live in infamy

                    By NOAM CHOMSKY

                    SEPTEMBER 2002 was marked by three events of considerable importance,
                    closely related. The United States, the most powerful state in history,
                    announced a new national security strategy asserting that it will
                    maintain global hegemony permanently. Any challenge will be blocked by
                    force, the dimension in which the US reigns supreme. At the same time,
                    the war drums began to beat to mobilise the population for an invasion
                    of Iraq. And the campaign opened for the mid-term congressional
                    elections, which would determine whether the administration would be
                    able to carry forward its radical international and domestic agenda.

                    The new "imperial grand strategy", as it was termed at once by John
                    Ikenberry writing in the leading establishment journal, presents the US
                    as "a revisionist state seeking to parlay its momentary advantages into
                    a world order in which it runs the show", a unipolar world in which "no
                    state or coalition could ever challenge it as global leader, protector,
                    and enforcer" (1). These policies are fraught with danger even for the
                    US itself, Ikenberry warned, joining many others in the foreign policy
                    elite.

                    What is to be protected is US power and the interests it represents, not
                    the world, which vigorously opposed the concept. Within a few months
                    studies revealed that fear of the US had reached remarkable heights,
                    along with distrust of the political leadership. An international Gallup
                    poll in December, which was barely noticed in the US, found almost no
                    support for Washington's announced plans for a war in Iraq carried out
                    unilaterally by America and its allies - in effect, the US-United
                    Kingdom coalition.

                    Washington told the United Nations that it could be relevant by
                    endorsing US plans, or it could be a debating society. The US had the
                    "sovereign right to take military action", the administration's moderate
                    Colin Powell told the World Economic Forum, which also vigorously
                    opposed the war plans: "When we feel strongly about something we will
                    lead, even if no one is following us" (2).

                    President George Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair underscored
                    their contempt for international law and institutions at their Azores
                    summit meeting on the eve of the invasion. They issued an ultimatum, not
                    to Iraq, but to the Security Council: capitulate, or we will invade
                    without your meaningless seal of approval. And we will do so whether or
                    not Saddam Hussein and his family leave the country (3). The crucial
                    principle is that the US must effectively rule Iraq.

                    President Bush declared that the US "has the sovereign authority to use
                    force in assuring its own national security", threatened by Iraq with or
                    without Saddam, according to the Bush doctrine. The US will be happy to
                    establish an Arab facade, to borrow the term of the British during their
                    days in the sun, while US power is firmly implanted at the heart of the
                    world's major energy-producing region. Formal democracy will be fine,
                    but only if it is of a submissive kind accepted in the US's backyard, at
                    least if history and current practice are any guide.

                    The grand strategy authorises the US to carry out preventive war:
                    preventive, not pre-emptive. Whatever the justifications for pre-emptive
                    war might be, they do not hold for preventive war, particularly as that
                    concept is interpreted by its current enthusiasts: the use of military
                    force to eliminate an invented or imagined threat, so that even the term
                    "preventive" is too charitable. Preventive war is, very simply, the
                    supreme crime that was condemned at Nuremberg.

                    That was understood by those with some concern for their country. As the
                    US invaded Iraq, the historian Arthur Schlesinger wrote that Bush's
                    grand strategy was "alarmingly similar to the policy that imperial Japan
                    employed at the time of Pearl Harbor, on a date which, as an earlier
                    American president [Franklin D Roosevelt] said it would, lives in
                    infamy". It was no surprise, added Schlesinger, that "the global wave of
                    sympathy that engulfed the US after 9/11 has given way to a global wave
                    of hatred of American arrogance and militarism" and the belief that Bush
                    was "a greater threat to peace than Saddam Hussein" (4).

                    For the political leadership, mostly recycled from the more reactionary
                    sectors of the Reagan-Bush Senior administrations, the global wave of
                    hatred is not a particular problem. They want to be feared, not loved.
                    It is natural for the Secretary of Defence, Donald Rumsfeld, to quote
                    the words of Chicago gangster Al Capone: "You will get more with a kind
                    word and a gun than with a kind word alone." They understand just as
                    well as their establishment critics that their actions increase the risk
                    of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and terror. But
                    that too is not a major problem. Far higher in the scale of their
                    priorities are the goals of establishing global hegemony and
                    implementing their domestic agenda, which is to dismantle the
                    progressive achievements that have been won by popular struggle over the
                    past century, and to institutionalise their radical changes so that
                    recovering the achievements will be no easy task.

                    It is not enough for a hegemonic power to declare an official policy. It
                    must establish it as a new norm of international law by exemplary
                    action. Distinguished commentators may then explain that the law is a
                    flexible living instrument, so that the new norm is now available as a
                    guide to action. It is understood that only those with the guns can
                    establish norms and modify international law.

                    The selected target must meet several conditions. It must be
                    defenceless, important enough to be worth the trouble, an imminent
                    threat to our survival and an ultimate evil. Iraq qualified on all
                    counts. The first two conditions are obvious. For the third, it suffices
                    to repeat the orations of Bush, Blair, and their colleagues: the
                    dictator "is assembling the world's most dangerous weapons [in order to]
                    dominate, intimidate or attack"; and he "has already used them on whole
                    villages leaving thousands of his own citizens dead, blind or
                    transfigured. If this is not evil then evil has no meaning." Bush's
                    eloquent denunciation surely rings true. And those who contributed to
                    enhancing evil should certainly not enjoy impunity: among them, the
                    speaker of these lofty words and his current associates, and all those
                    who joined them in the years when they were supporting that man of
                    ultimate evil, Saddam Hussein, long after he had committed these
                    terrible crimes, and after the first war with Iraq. Supported him
                    because of our duty to help US exporters, the Bush Senior administration
                    explained.

                    It is impressive to see how easy it is for political leaders, while
                    recounting Saddam the monster's worst crimes, to suppress the crucial
                    words "with our help, because we don't care about such matters". Support
                    shifted to denunciation as soon as their friend Saddam committed his
                    first authentic crime, which was disobeying (or perhaps
                    misunderstanding) orders, by invading Kuwait. Punishment was severe -
                    for his subjects. The tyrant escaped unscathed, and was further
                    strengthened by the sanctions regime then imposed by his former allies.

                    Also easy to suppress are the reasons why the US returned to support
                    Saddam immediately after the Gulf war, as he crushed rebellions that
                    might have overthrown him. The chief diplomatic correspondent of the New
                    York Times, Thomas Friedman, explained that the best of all worlds for
                    the US would be "an iron-fisted Iraqi junta without Saddam Hussein", but
                    since that goal seemed unattainable, we would have to be satisfied with
                    second best (5). The rebels failed because the US and its allies held
                    the "strikingly unanimous view [that] whatever the sins of the Iraqi
                    leader, he offered the West and the region a better hope for his
                    country's stability than did those who have suffered his repression"
                    (6).

                    All of this was suppressed in the commentary on the mass graves of the
                    victims of the US- authorised paroxysm of terror of Saddam Hussein,
                    which commentary was offered as a justification for the war on "moral
                    grounds". It was all known in 1991, but ignored for reasons of state.

                    A reluctant US population had to be whipped to a proper mood of war
                    fever. From September grim warnings were issued about the dire threat
                    that Saddam posed to the US and his links to al-Qaida, with broad hints
                    that he had been involved in the 9/11 attacks. Many of the charges that
                    had been "dangled in front of [the media] failed the laugh test,"
                    commented the editor of the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, "but the more
                    ridiculous [they were,] the more the media strove to make whole-hearted
                    swallowing of them a test of patriotism" (7). The propaganda assault had
                    its effects. Within weeks, a majority of Americans came to regard Saddam
                    Hussein as an imminent threat to the US. Soon almost half believed that
                    Iraq was behind the 9/11 terror. Support for the war correlated with
                    these beliefs. The propaganda campaign was just enough to give the
                    administration a bare majority in the mid-term elections, as voters put
                    aside their immediate concerns and huddled under the umbrella of power
                    in fear of a demonic enemy.

                    The brilliant success of public diplomacy was revealed when Bush, in the
                    words of one commentator, "provided a powerful Reaganesque finale to a
                    six-week war on the deck of the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln on 1
                    May". This reference is presumably to President Ronald Reagan's proud
                    declaration that America was "standing tall" after conquering Grenada,
                    the nutmeg capital of the world, in 1983, preventing the Russians from
                    using it to bomb the US. Bush, as Reagan's mimic, was free to declare -
                    without concern for sceptical comment at home - that he had won a
                    "victory in a war on terror [by having] removed an ally of al-Qaida"
                    (8). It has been immaterial that no credible evidence was provided for
                    the alleged link between Saddam Hussein and his bitter enemy Osama bin
                    Laden and that the charge was dismissed by competent observers. Also
                    immaterial was the only known connection between the victory and terror:
                    the invasion appears to have been "a huge setback in the war on terror"
                    by sharply increasing al-Qaida recruitment, as US officials concede (9).

                    The Wall Street Journal recognised that Bush's carefully staged aircraft
                    carrier extravaganza "marks the beginning of his 2004 re-election
                    campaign" which the White House hopes "will be built as much as possible
                    around national-security themes". The electoral campaign will focus on
                    "the battle of Iraq, not the war", chief Republican political strategist
                    Karl Rove explained : the war must continue, if only to control the
                    population at home (10).

                    Before the 2002 elections Rove had instructed party activists to stress
                    security issues, diverting attention from unpopular Republican domestic
                    policies. All of this is second-nature to the re cycled Reaganites now
                    in office. That is how they held on to political power during their
                    first tenure in office. They regularly pushed the panic button to avoid
                    public opposition to the policies that had left Reagan as the most
                    disliked living president by 1992, by which time he may have ranked even
                    lower than Richard Nixon.

                    Despite its narrow successes, the intensive propaganda campaign left the
                    public unswayed in fundamental respects. Most continue to prefer UN
                    rather than US leadership in international crises, and by two to one
                    prefer that the UN, rather than the US, should direct reconstruction in
                    Iraq (11).

                    When the occupying coalition army failed to discover WMD, the US
                    administration's stance shifted from absolute certainty that Iraq
                    possessed WMD to the position that the accusations were "justified by
                    the discovery of equipment that potentially could be used to produce
                    weapons" (12). Senior officials then suggested a refinement in the
                    concept of preventive war, to entitle the US to attack a country that
                    has "deadly weapons in mass quantities". The revision "suggests that the
                    administration will act against a hostile regime that has nothing more
                    than the intent and ability to develop WMD" (13). Lowering the criteria
                    for a resort to force is the most significant consequence of the
                    collapse of the proclaimed argument for the invasion.

                    Perhaps the most spectacular propaganda achievement was the praising of
                    Bush's vision to bring democracy to the Middle East in the midst of an
                    extraordinary display of hatred and contempt for democracy. This was
                    illustrated by the distinction that was made by Washington between Old
                    and New Europe, the former being reviled and the latter hailed for its
                    courage. The criterion was sharp: Old Europe consists of governments
                    that took the same position over the war on Iraq as most of their
                    populations; while the heroes of New Europe followed orders from
                    Crawford, Texas, disregarding, in most cases, an even larger majority of
                    citizens who were against the war. Political commentators ranted about
                    disobedient Old Europe and its psychic maladies, while Congress
                    descended to low comedy.

                    At the liberal end of the spectrum, the former US ambassador to the UN,
                    Richard Holbrooke, stressed the "very important point" that the
                    population of the eight original members of New Europe is larger than
                    that of Old Europe, which proves that France and Germany are "isolated".
                    So it does, unless we succumb to the radical-left heresy that the public
                    might have some role in a democracy. Thomas Friedman then urged that
                    France be removed from the permanent members of the Security Council,
                    because it is "in kindergarten, and does not play well with others". It
                    follows that the population of New Europe must still be in nursery
                    school, at least judging by the polls (14).

                    Turkey was a particularly instructive case. Its government resisted the
                    heavy pressure from the US to prove its democratic credentials by
                    following US orders and overruling 95% of its population. Turkey did not
                    cooperate. US commentators were infuriated by this lesson in democracy,
                    so much so that some even reported Turkey's crimes against the Kurds in
                    the 1990s, previously a taboo topic because of the crucial US role in
                    what happened, although that was still carefully concealed in the
                    lamentations.

                    The crucial point was expressed by the deputy Secretary of Defence, Paul
                    Wolfowitz, who condemned the Turkish military because they "did not play
                    the strong leadership role that we would have expected" - that is they
                    did not intervene to prevent the Turkish government from honouring
                    near-unanimous public opinion. Turkey had therefore to step up and say,
                    "We made a mistake - let's figure out how we can be as helpful as
                    possible to the Americans" (15). Wolfowitz's stand was particularly
                    informative because he had been portrayed as the leading figure in the
                    administration's crusade to democratise the Middle East.

                    Anger at Old Europe has much deeper roots than just contempt for
                    democracy. The US has always regarded European unification with some
                    ambivalence. In his Year of Europe address 30 years ago, Henry Kissinger
                    advised Europeans to keep to their regional responsibilities within the
                    "overall framework of order managed by the US". Europe must not pursue
                    its own independent course, based on its Franco-German industrial and
                    financial heartland.

                    The US administration's concerns now extend as well to Northeast Asia,
                    the world's most dynamic economic region, with ample resources and
                    advanced industrial economies, a potentially integrated region that
                    might also flirt with challenging the overall framework of world order,
                    which is to be maintained permanently, by force if necessary, Washington
                    has declared. ________________________________________________________

                    * Noam Chomsky is professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

                    (1) John Ikenberry, Foreign Affairs, Sept.-Oct. 2002.

                    (2) Wall Street Journal, 27 January 2003.

                    (3) Michael Gordon, The New York Times, 18 March 2003.

                    (4) Los Angeles Times, 23 March 2003.

                    (5) The New York Times, 7 June 1991. Alan Cowell, The New York Times, 11
                    April 1991.

                    (6) The New York Times, 4 June 2003.

                    (7) Linda Rothstein, editor, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, July 2003.

                    (8) Elisabeth Bumiller, The New York Times, 2 May 2003; transcript, 2
                    May 2003.

                    (9) Jason Burke, The Observer, London 18 May 2003.

                    (10) Jeanne Cummings and Greg Hite, Wall Street Journal, 2 May 2003.
                    Francis Clines, The New York Times, 10 May 2003.

                    (11) Program on International Policy Attitudes, University of Maryland,
                    April 18-22.

                    (12) Dana Milbank, Washington Post, 1 June 2003

                    (13) Guy Dinmore and James Harding, Financial Times, 3/4 May 2003.

                    (14) Lee Michael Katz, National Journal, 8 February 2003; Friedman, The
                    New York Times, 9 February 2003.

                    (15) Marc Lacey, The New York Times, 7/8 May 2003.

                    Michael Albert
                    ZNet / Z Magazine
                    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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