http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=al25qcJ6lH1o

BLOOMBERG (USA)

Serbian Central Bank Warns Politics May Impact Credit Ratings

By Aleksandra Nenadovic

Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Serbia's central bank warned today that political 
developments, including February presidential elections and a possible 
declaration of independence by disputed Kosovo province, may affect the 
country's credit ratings.

The bank also said that if necessary it was ready to use its foreign 
currency reserves to bolster the dinar and contain inflation.

Run-off elections on Feb. 3 pit pro-Western President Boris Tadic against 
Tomislav Nikolic, an advocate of closer ties with Russia and an opponent of 
state-asset sales. Nikolic finished the first round of voting on Jan 20 with 
a 4 percent lead. The U.S. and European Union support Kosovo's bid for 
independence, which Russia and Serbia oppose.

``These risks could result in a drop in Serbia's credit rating by 
international rating agencies and poorly influence the perception of 
participants in the financial markets and industry,'' the Belgrade-based 
bank said in an e-mailed statement. ``An increase in country risk premiums 
would lead to an increase in interest rates.''

Central bank Governor Radovan Jelasic said in a Jan. 21 interview that the 
bank used some of its $16 billion in foreign currency reserves to support 
the dinar in May after Nikolic's election as parliamentary speaker caused 
the Serbian currency to slide as much as 3.5 percent and the stock market to 
lose about 25 percent of its value.

Inflation accelerated to 11.9 percent in December from 10.4 percent in the 
previous month.

Standard & Poor's Rating Services said on Jan. 21 that the outcome of 
Serbian presidential elections would have no immediate impact on the 
country's sovereign credit rating of BB-, three steps below investment 
grade.

To contact the reporter on this story: Aleksandra Nenadovic in Belgrade 
through the Prague newsroom at [Е-ПОШТА 
ЗАШТИЋЕНА] .

Last Updated: January 29, 2008 10:52 EST 



 

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