Holding Juba & Khartoum to unconditionally implement agreements

“Sudan's President Omar al-Bashir (left), and South Sudan President
Salva Kiir (right), shake hands on the completion of a signing
ceremony after the two countries reached a deal on economic and
security agreements Thursday, Sept. 27, 2012 in Addis Ababa,
Ethiopia.” [AP Photo/Elias Asmare].

By: Justin Ambago Ramba

June 11, 2013 (SSNA) -- Whenever one hears about Sudan, you know that
some government Antonov planes must have bombed civilian villages in
Darfur, the Nuba Mountains or the Blue Nile regions. Or it has
displaced its own people, forcing them to take refuge in caves or
underground holes. Occasionally it could be about some Islamist
security agents heavy handedly cracking down on peaceful demonstrators
or opposition figures.

But of recent Sudan is also caught up in a series of military
humiliations in the hands of the Sudan Revolutionary Forces (SRF) – an
alliance of the different Darfuri rebel groups and the SPLM- North. In
between you will hear claims of victories and loses on both sides.

In the South, there is the new republic of South Sudan (RSS), which
has filled the world media with its record breaking levels of
corruption and senior officials being accused of embezzling no less $4
billion dollars from the public fund and yet the government cannot do
anything about it.

When it is not corruption, it must be either people killed in dozens
in a cattle raid, or one tribe organizing to wipe out another from the
surface of the earth, not to talk of the well-known phenomenon of one
rebel group joining the government and another attacking government
position elsewhere. Or worse still citizens being killed, or made to
disappear on daily basis all across the country, but especially so in
the capital city of Juba.

But when you hear about Sudan and South Sudan in one and same piece of
news, then it must be a fight over how to transport the Oil which
happens to be largely in the landlocked RSS and can only at the
present be transported to the international markets through the
territories of its archenemy the Sudan.

It is in the background of the aforementioned myriad of events that no
sensible government in these parts of the world should be overheard,
that its cabinet is unable to meeting because they lack an agenda.

Juba finally finds for itself one long agenda.

Although the last paragraph above, should have it that the world can
never run out of agenda if president Omer al Bashir of Sudan still
rules in Khartoum and Salva Kiir in Juba - yet the new republic of
South Sudan, that should have known better, only came to appreciate
this fact through the hard way on Saturday June 8, 2013, when Khartoum
announced its intentions to immediately close down the oil pipeline
and cut off South Sudan’s oil.

Almost as if recovering from a deep coma, Salva Kiir’s cabinet who
until Friday June 7, 2013, failed to hold its weekly meeting due to
lack of agenda [reported Sudan tribune June 7, 2013 (JUBA)] were to be
proven wrong.   President Kiir, who was not ready to brief the cabinet
on his recent trip to Japan and wanted to continue further relaxing
following his long absence, had no choice but to call an emergency
meeting on Sunday, June 9, 2013 in response to the al Bashir’s
bombshell.

Now that Juba has been reminded that there is going to be no any
shortages of agenda any soon, the South Sudanese masses at home and in
the Diaspora expect the government to come up with a clear position on
how to deal with Khartoum,  now, in the immediate future and in the
long run.

The real problems only made worst by the UNSC and the AU complacency.

Those who know it will tell you that the real problems in both the
Sudans are basically the absence of democracy and the lack basic
freedoms. Even the new republic of South Sudan that came into being as
a result of years of devastating liberation wars fought against
successive governments in Khartoum, which the freedom fighters had
accused of being totalitarian, dictatorial and discriminative.

However two years now after independence and those supposed to have
been liberated by the ruling SPLM/A are yet to speak freely, in what
is now their own country.

Juba may have some moral obligation to defend the rights of its former
comrades in Darfur, Nuba Mountains, and the Blue Nile regions.
Unfortunately for it to be taken seriously as a defender of human
rights, it must first show that it is better than the NCP regime in
Khartoum, by offering these much needed freedoms, first to its own
citizens who continue to be oppressed under the SPLM/A in a fashion no
less than those marginalized by the NCP in the Arab Islamic Republic
of Sudan.

The international community [UNSC & AU] has behaved in a way much
marked by continuous change of goal posts in their dealing with both
Sudan and South Sudan. The promised democratic transformation to a
true multiparty system of governance is now replaced by some kind of
dubious peacekeeping missions which pretend to keep a peace that never
existed in the first place.

The AU on the other hand is no more than a talking club or in the
words of Mwaulimu Julius Nyerere former president of Tanzania, “it is
a trade union of Africa’s dictators”.  It   surprises no one that it
[AU] is unable to find everlasting solutions to the Sudanese problems
– which are in fact problems shared all across the continent as it
lacks democracy, transparency, good governance, and rule of law,
accountability and above all the limitation of the term of office for
dictators that litter the whole continent.

On January 25, 2013 the AUPSC over saw a communique signed between
Juba & Khartoum for the unconditional implementation of the September
27, 2012 cooperation agreement. This maybe the best position ever
arrived to by the organisation, however unless it is prepared to
enforce the implementation of this communique the way it was signed,
the AU is on its way to become ‘a big toothless mouth’,   just  like
its predecessor the OAU.

Depending on the good will of the two leaders, who both happen to rule
their countries with iron fists, makes the AU unrealistic in its
search for peace across the two Sudans.  The good will between the
leaders do not exist,  because if it does, all these issues at hand
would have been long tackled, away from the spotlights of the AU or
the United Nations, given the long history shared by the political
rivals in the region.

Reactions, in streets …

Al Bashir’s latest announcement,  ordering the closure of the oil
pipelines came as no surprise to anyone who follows the events over
the last couple of weeks, as  they kept unfolding in the border
regions between the two Sudans.  Furthermore, his plan to pull out of
the 27th September Cooperation Agreement with Juba is all but the same
thing.

To the common South Sudanese citizen, these endless talks on
relationship with Khartoum are seen as a mere distraction by people in
power while they continue to embezzle whatever is left in the public
coffers.  An average South Sudanese man and woman is never expecting
anything good to come from Khartoum for that being exactly why they
chose to have their independent country in the first place.

South Sudan has ever survived long before the oil was discovered, and
it will continue to survive long after the oil is gone. Thus far the
people know.  Also the fact that the Arab north plans to use South
Sudan’s dependence on Sudan’s pipelines and sea port for exporting the
oil as a means  to bring the new country to its knees.

The Arab Jallaba intends to blackmail South Sudan into fighting
against its fellow Africans of Darfur, Nuba Mountains and Blue Nile
regions. Sudan’s policy of recruiting proxy fighters is as old as the
country itself.

And while they succeeded in the past to turn black African Muslims
from the marginalised regions to fight a so-called Holy War against
the South, South Sudan this time around as an Independent Black
African country will and should never be seen to work against fellow
Africans. It’s time the riverine Arabs fight their own wars.

As for the leadership in Juba, unfortunately they have chosen to make
everything seem complicated and each time something goes wrong with
this already known to be unreliable relationship with Khartoum, they
play the role of the ignorant and often  pretend to have been taken by
surprise. This childish way of handling state affairs is taking us
nowhere.

SPLM must not underestimate the fact that it was stronger when it had
Khartoum as a declared enemy, however in the present situation where
it wants Khartoum, both as a partner and as an enemy, it isn’t going
to working. Khartoum should also avoid behaving in similar manner. It
is nothing, but hypocrisy!

As for the Sudan Revolutionary Forces (SRF), its relationship with the
SPLM in South Sudan is only made to look complex because our
leadership in Juba wants to have it both ways. However for most South
Sudanese, it is gentlemen’s position and as they deeply and strongly
believe in the cause of the people of the Nuba Mountains and the Blue
Nile regions, they will not waste their time pretending to like Omer
al Bashir and his NIF government in Khartoum. This makes their lives
easier as they don’t have to deal with contradictions any longer.

Further still, South Sudan and its incumbent leaders are by choice
making their positions look as if they are the weak side in the
Khartoum/Juba political game. This shouldn’t be the case because when
we convinced the entire world of our reasons to secede from Khartoum,
they understood it, stood by us and recognised us the very moment we
declared our independence. This is our strength on which we should be
building all our internal and external policies.

Whether we physically support Sudan’s rebels of the SRF or only
sympathize with them, it makes very little difference when it comes to
evaluating Juba’s relationship with Khartoum. We quit the unity with
Khartoum for a very strong reason. Otherwise people don’t just break
up countries for no reason.

The unfortunate fact that, two years into our independence and we are
still struggling to deal with the same Jallaba - brings our whole
claim of sovereignty to question! This needs redress and should be
sooner than later.

Technically Khartoum’s plan to shut down the oil still remains
Khartoum’s internal issue the way president Salva Kiir and Dr. Marial
Benjamin would have us believe since they haven’t yet received any
official notification as a government and practically the oil is still
flowing unstopped. Nonetheless this is not a thing to count on given
our knowledge of the enemy.

Sudan’s al Bashir is already on record for threatening to close the
oil if Juba fails to allow the Sudan Armed Forces [SAF] access into
South Sudan territory to flush out the SRF rebels from behind; however
it cannot just assume that South Sudan can be treated as if it were
still Khartoum’s backyard.

Now again without an official notification to Juba, Khartoum’s
minister of information has come out with yet another version of the
announcement, changing president al Bashir immediate closure order to
a grace period of sixty days in which they  expect Juba to avert the
closure by complying with Khartoum.

While al Bashir’s latest hysterical behaviors can be traced down to
his government’s failure to contain the country’s internal problems of
multifaceted rebellions that are quickly growing both in strength and
popularity all across the country and no longer confined to the far
states of Darfur, Kordofan or the Blue Nile, the truth of the matter
is that al Bashir is looking for a foreign enemy in order to rally his
people behind his ailing regime.

The AU Peace and Security Council (PSC) will have to remind Khartoum
of the communiqué signed between Sudan-South Sudan, which among
others, stressed the need for the two countries to unconditional
implement the 27 September 2012 agreements.  It is either this or the
entire agreement goes off the window with or without a return an
all-out war.

Author: Dr. Justin Ambago Ramba is the Secretary General of the United
South Sudan Party (USSP). He can be reached at:
[email protected] .

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