Completing the Mission: U.S. Special Forces Are Essential for Ending the LRA


The mission to end the deadly Lord’s Resistance Army, or LRA, rebel group
is regaining momentum. This report examines the impact of U.S. special
forces on the counter-LRA mission and recommends steps forward in light of
the restart of offensive operations, which were suspended due to the
violent coup in the Central African Republic and the Obama administration's
recent committement to extend the mission into 2014.
 By Kasper Agger  | Oct 3, 2013

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Executive Summary*

The mission to end the deadly Lord’s Resistance Army, or LRA, rebel group
is regaining momentum. Offensive operations, which were suspended due to
the violent coup in the Central African Republic, or CAR, have restarted.
Programs to spur defections are increasing and growing numbers of fighters
are escaping from the LRA. The small group of U.S. military advisors sent
to boost the counter-LRA mission has had a game-changing impact thus far,
reducing LRA attacks by more than 50 percent, and in mid-September, the
Obama administration extended the mission into early 2014. Some progress is
also being made in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, or DRC, where U.S.
advisors are training 500 Congolese soldiers allocated to counter the LRA,
though much work remains there.

In October 2011, President Barack Obama announced that he would authorize
the deployment of approximately 100 U.S. military advisors to work with
local partner forces. The U.S. troops were to advise and assist with “the
goal of removing from the battlefield Joseph Kony and other senior
leadership of the LRA.” The American troops serve as a force multiplier for
Uganda’s offensive counter-LRA military operation, and
they work together with soldiers, making up the regional A.U. force from
South Sudan; the CAR; and the DRC. The advisors’ mission has demonstrated
President Obama’s commitment to an atrocity prevention strategy.

U.S. advisors and their African partners have made progress in
significantly reducing LRA attacks, increasing LRA defections, improving
human security and protection for civilians, increasing intelligence
collection and analysis, and improving logistics with supply lines. LRA
attacks have dropped by 53 percent over the past two years, and LRA
killings decreased by 67 percent from 2011 to 2012. At least 31 Ugandan LRA
fighters—15 percent of the core fighting force—have defected over the past
18 months. The number of defections this year exceeds those of the previous
two years combined. The rebel group is weaker than ever before, and local
residents feel safer. Because of this increased security, local communities
across the region strongly support the U.S. advisors.

Some U.S. policymakers have considered withdrawing U.S. forces from the
field and transitioning to a conventional training mission similar to those
provided by militaries in other countries and far away from the counter-
LRA operations. The hands-on operational support provided by Americans,
however, has been a critical component to the success of the mission. Thus
the decision not to move to a conventional army training approach far away
from the operations was wise, as it would have had a serious impact on
Uganda’s mission and given Kony time and space to regroup the LRA once
again.

The LRA’s numbers are down because of defections, and key commanders have
been removed. The LRA’s core senior command structure, however, remains
intact. As long as Kony remains leader, he will keep the LRA together with
a combination of fear, intimidation, and spiritualism. Under his command,
the LRA maintains its ability to regroup, abduct new recruits, and relaunch
deadly attacks against civilians. The senior command of the LRA is
currently responding to the U.S. deployment by lying low. Their strategy
has been to avoid large-scale attacks that would draw attention to the
group. They operate in small, mobile groups, and they hide in remote areas.
Sources on the ground tell the Enough Project that the senior LRA command
could renew attacks if the U.S. advisors leave.

The strong partnership between U.S. advisors and the Ugandan army forms the
backbone of the counter-LRA mission, and neither is capable of operating as
effectively singlehandedly. Uganda relies on the training, logistical
support, and advanced technology provided by the United States, and U.S.
troops rely on the Ugandan command structure and the Ugandans’ experience
addressing the LRA issue, as well as their ground presence and knowledge of
the terrain. Removing one partner would significantly weaken the efforts of
the other, undermining the entire counter-LRA effort and allowing the LRA
to rebuild its forces and threaten the safety of civilians.

A senior official in the Obama administration acknowledged that “as long as
the LRA’s leader Joseph Kony and other top commanders remain at large, the
LRA will continue to pose a serious regional threat which undermines
stability and development.”

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