Satellite Imagery Confirms Sudan Offensive, Civilians in Danger
Posted by Sahar Adora <http://enoughproject.org/blogs/sahar-adora> on Nov
22, 2013


New DigitalGlobe imagery confirms military buildup and the destructive
impact of a large- scale Sudan Armed Forces, or SAF, offensive against the
rebel Sudan Revolutionary Front,or SRF, earlier this month. A new Satellite
Sentinel Project report, *“Situation Report: Expanding War in Sudan
Threatens Civilians,”
<http://www.satsentinel.org/sites/default/files/reports/Expanding-War-in-Sudan-Threatens-Civilians.pdf>
*reveals
a snapshot of the hostilities of the campaign, announced earlier this month
by Sudanese Defense Minister Abdel-Rahim Mohamed Hussein,
promising<http://www.africareview.com/News/Sudan-launches-major-offensive-against-rebels/-/979180/2071236/-/rj9vxk/-/index.html>
to
“stop until we crush them”.

An October 2013 Satellite Sentinel Project *human security
warning*<http://www.satsentinel.org/report/human-security-warning-sudan-army-poised-offensive-south-kordofan-or-abyei>reported
increased SAF activity, warning of the potential threat to
civilians. Satellite imagery in the new report documents the clashes
reported on November 17, 2013 in the strategically important West Kordofan
town of Abu Zabad, and shows four craters consistent with aerial
bombardment, two burning buildings, and several vehicles on fire.

George Clooney, Satellite Sentinel Project Co-founder observed:

"Last month, our satellites detected the first signs of this Sudanese
government offensive. Now, with these latest shots, we have proof of its
destructive impact. We're going to keep watching and reporting to keep the
spotlight on as bombs drop from the sky and villages burn once again. "

Air strikes and ground clashes pose a direct detriment to civilian
livelihoods, particularly in the critical harvest season, when many take to
the open fields to reap crops. The eruption of conflict may have also
closed the window for humanitarian aid, including the long-awaited polio
vaccination campaign in rebel-held areas. The build-up of aerial assets
across Sudan, particularly in El Obeid, Dilling and the surrounding towns,
is alarming and efforts to put a halt to the conflicts erupting across
Sudan must be addressed.

John Prendergast, Co-Founder of the Satellite Sentinel Project and the
Enough Project said:

"We sounded the alarm and issued an urgent human security warning last
month. Now our satellites have caught Sudanese forces massing, deploying,
and engaging in active clashes on the ground. Erratic efforts to address
conflict inflaming Sudan’s periphery have failed. We need a more
comprehensive approach to ending Sudan’s wars."


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Situation Report: Expanding War in Sudan Threatens Civilians
 November 22, 2013
  [image: application/pdf icon]
Expanding-War-in-Sudan-Threatens-Civilians.pdf<http://www.satsentinel.org/sites/default/files/reports/Expanding-War-in-Sudan-Threatens-Civilians.pdf>

The Satellite Sentinel Project has secured independent evidence of the
Sudanese government’s large-scale ongoing offensive against the Sudan
Revolutionary Front, or SRF. DigitalGlobe analysts’ review of troop
disposition over key garrisons across Sudan confirms the Sudan Armed
Forces, or SAF, have forward deployed across the country and are positioned
for attack. On November 17, 2013, DigitalGlobe satellites confirmed
fighting in the Abu Zabad area. Ground sources report that Abu Zabad’s
proximity to a major east-west railway line makes it a strategic juncture
for supply lines. This satellite imagery shows clear evidence of
destruction from active hostilities and craters from aerial bombardment in
the town. Although clashes have subsided, civilians in Abu Zabad remain at
risk due to the town’s strategic importance. Sudan’s Defense Minister
Abdel-Rahim Mohamed Hussein first announced the massive military operations
on November 11, 2013. Hussein, who is currently at large despite an arrest
warrant from the International Criminal Court for alleged crimes in
Darfur,said his troops will “not stop until we crush them.” The Satellite
Sentinel Project has previously warned of imminent human security threats
triggered by this anticipated dry season offensive. The timing is
especially concerning because increased hostilities come at harvest time,
when many will need to spend time in open areas to reap their crops.
Additionally, a critical window of opportunity for long-delayed polio
vaccination of children might have been lost. Although the Sudanese
government agreed to a ceasefire between November 5th and 11th to
facilitate UN vaccination of children in rebel-held areas, which have been
denied all types of humanitarian aid for more than two and a half years
now, the campaign never got off the ground. Now that the tempo of offensive
operations has increased, agreement to a ceasefire will be increasingly
difficult.


*Troops on the Move*

In a late October 2013 report, the Satellite Sentinel Project highlighted
increased activity at installations in both El Obeid and Kadugli, and
warned of an impending offensive. DigitalGlobe Analytics has observed major
troop deployments from Khartoum and a significant reinforcement in areas in
the south over the past two weeks, corroborating that October 2013
projection.

DigitalGlobe found evidence of increased training activity and
prepositioning of units as early as September 2013 at Khalid Bin Waleed
Garrison, where enough trucks to support two infantry battalions were
parked in the compound (Figure 1). The most significant activity was
observed at Al Rasheed Camp on the south side of Khartoum, where more than
250 trucks, 20 buses and four Heavy-lift Transporters, or HETs, were parked
on October 31, 2013 (Figure 2, left panel). The majority of the vehicles at
Al Rasheed Camp left the installation by November 11th (Figure 2, right
panel). Imagery from November 15th confirms the departure (Figure 2, right
panel). The departure of these vehicles from Al Rasheed corresponds to
reports of dozens of military vehicles and tanks driving southbound from
Khartoum.8 Sources in Sudan report to the Satellite Sentinel Project that
the SAF has dispatched some 5,000 troops and 365 vehicles for the offensive.

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