Who Rules South Sudan: Petroleum versus Foreign Investment?
 Dec. 06 National <http://www.southsudannation.com/category/national/>,
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BY: Malith Alier, South Sudan, DEC/06/2013, SSN;

South Sudan this month organized an investment conference (December 4-5) in
Juba for the first time in its existence, under the theme “Investment for
Economic Diversification and Prosperity.” The country organized such
investment conferences outside for example in Europe and America.

This is a possible solution to too much reliance on unsustainable petroleum
since the era of CPA. The black gold was discovered in South Sudan in the
late seventies however, the actual exploitation began around 1999.

It is believed that Khartoum developed to the level it is today thanks to
the Southern oil. On the other hand, the South did not benefit much because
of many factors; the raging war (from 1983-2002) in the South and the
rampant corruption after CPA to present. The warlords were quenching their
material thirst in a lawless environment.

Direct foreign investment was discouraged by insecurity and bad governance
during peace time. Interestingly, the country has since seen influx of
individuals from unstable neighbouring countries like Somali, Ethiopia and
Eritrea. Others are from Kenya and Uganda besides those who elected not to
return to the remaining portion of old Sudan after separation.

South Sudan is a country of possibilities. It has expansive endowments
under and above the ground. It has only to do away with lots of its past
like insecurity, backwardness and laziness if it wishes to shed the failed
state tag of 2013, the same year the investment conference is organized.

*Resource blessing or curse*
Very few countries in Africa are able to fully benefit from natural
resources without much ado. South Africa and Botswana are the case in
point. The rest have encountered trouble as they exploit natural resources.
The likes of Angola, DRC, Zimbabwe, Libya, Nigeria and many more are in
this category.

South Sudan has therefore, many lessons to learn from these spectacular
failures to properly manage her resources in the best interest of the
country.

It is a commendable idea that south Sudan has edged closer to Botswana, a
country that has a lot to impart to it. The country’s president visits the
Southern African country this year, 2013 on the invitation of his
counterpart, Mr. Ian Karma.

The Botswana president pledged to help South Sudan in the area of mineral
development and management for economic development.

Our black gold is either a blessing or a curse depending on the way it’s
managed. It is a blessing because God gave it to us directly under our
feet. We have to enjoy full benefits from it with no external interference.

Various shortcomings prevent us from enjoyment of those exclusive rights;
the issue of infrastructure, technology and skills suitable for proper
petroleum and mineral management. The country has to look outside for them
but in the process, it loses revenue.

It pays transit, processing and handling fees to the Sudan, an amount of 49
percent of total revenue. This was disclosed by the Ministry of Petroleum
and Mining after resumption of production this year. Further, the Chinese,
Malaysian and Indian companies working in the oilfields deduct their dues.

This means that south Sudan is left with about 20% out of this resource.
This is no laughing matter. If this country was like a child as many
politicians always say, it could keep crying for this unimaginable robbery
by the Sudan and oil companies. But there is no immediate way out.

A production stoppage in 2012 almost brought the country down on its knees.
The SPLM let government called for austerity regime and further embarked on
massive borrowing. The Minister of Finance and Economic Planning under
pressure to pay government employees salaries only disclosed this borrowing
in November 2013. The loan is a little over forty million US Dollars.

Lack of foreside is to blame in this country. It was fully anticipated that
separation was eminent. This was a fact after the copter crash that killed
the only supporter of unity.

Mini-oil refineries should have been started during interim period. Failure
to have constructed these mini refineries has not only deprived the country
of domestic fuel production but it also deprived it of petroleum
by-products. The country continues to import petroleum by products like
jelly and creams in addition to diesel and petrol for domestic consumption.

The mining industry has many suitors due to its demand worldwide. A company
called White Nile was among oil firms to arrive in South Sudan. This author
at one point in 2005 condemned potential early investors for oil rush but
neglect agriculture and other investment areas other than oil.

*Foreign investment climate in South Sudan*
South Sudanese complain about foreigners having dominated some sectors of
business. The Ethiopians/Eritreans dominate restaurant and hotel businesses
on the one and Somalis in oil and building material enterprises. The Nile
water tank business which does not need a large outlay of capital is also a
preserve of the Ethiopian groups. In the process the nationals are left
waiting on end for salvation from their government.

In this world of cutthroat competition, it doesn’t matter whether it is
nationals who are the most industrious or the foreigners. It comes down to
hard work and ambition. South Sudanese can benefit from foreign investors
if they pay attention to methods of doing business. Time cannot wait for
them indefinitely.

Immediately after signing of CPA, observers of this country before, and
during the war agreed that any investor cannot go wrong if they invest in
any business here. This is true because the country lacks everything since
Adam and Eve.

Look around and you will see virgin land, green forests, abundant wildlife,
plenty of fish in the Sudd, innumerable cattle and the list is long.

What is even perplexing is the size of the population compared the vast
land. According to the last census, the total population of south Sudan was
put at 8 million. If the land size is about 600,000 km2 then it is thirteen
(13) people per square kilometre. Kenya, Ethiopia and Uganda population
density are 67/km2, 82/km2 and 137/km2 respectively.

You can see that our neighbours have overcrowded their motherlands. The
Ugandans and Kenyans are close to forty and fifty million respectively. The
Ethiopians are over 90 million. Somalis have been displaced by wars.

Therefore, south Sudan can absorb the spillover from those countries.
The above-mentioned early investors have proved that south Sudan is a
viable investment destination in the world. It can take less than seven
days to register your business.

The foreign currency e.g. the US Dollar is not a big issue since the
country exports petroleum. The investors have a choice either to bring
manpower from their countries of origin or get local labour.

Many Ethiopian/Eritrean businesses bring their countrymen as work force.
Although this cause uproar, it is convenient to the investor.

*South Sudan image within and abroad*
South Sudan is ranked among the most failed states in the world. It ranked
4th as the most failed state after a number of other countries all in
Africa (Fund for Peace).

The country is not doing any better on corruption perception index. It
ranked number 173 out of 177 countries on that index (Transparency
International). It was unranked in 2012 maybe because of difficulty
ascertaining information just after independence.

A failed state is regarded as having no control over its territory, erosion
of legitimate authority to make decisions, inability to provide services to
the citizens and finally inability to interact with other states as part of
international community.

South Sudan is doing fine on many of these points. It has gained membership
in many international organisations such as the UN, AU and is seeking
membership in East African Community.

This is for the sole purpose of interacting with other states economically,
culturally and diplomatically. It provides services to citizens in the
whole country. It has established public sector and governmental
institution for service delivery.

Service delivery is the new mantra in the government vocabulary today. The
presidency is driving it.
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  3 Comments

   1.   Dr JAC Ramba
    December 7, 2013 at 8:41
am<http://www.southsudannation.com/who-rules-south-sudan-petroleum-versus-foreign-investment/#comment-53170>

   Compatriot Alier,

   You have talked well about the prospects of nation development in RSS
   and when it came to services delivery you concluded by saying that the
   president is driving it!

   My question to you is this: Do you think that south Sudanese are capable
   of developing their country? If yes, then why are they not doing so up till
   now? If not, then I would suggest that we forget about development and keep
   to traditional lives, after all that is what we know best.

   One is beginning to wonder whether we only liberated this country so
   that we can hand it over to those Somalis, Ugandans, Kenyans, Ethiopians,
   Eritreans and the countless NGOs. Any foreigner currently doing business in
   South Sudan is in fact parasitizing on the country.

   Whatever business they do now in RSS, can still be done and even better
   by the locals.
   Here is what they do: commercial sex, hotel services, retail business in
   the vegetables and food items, construction labourers and other manual
   works, burglary & theft, black marketeering & fraud, fuel retail business,
   boda boda business. Tell me which of all these activities need a foreign
   expertise!

   Now over 90% of RSS population resides in the rural countryside. The
   question is: what kind of economic activities are they involved in? Don’t
   tell me child abduction and cattle raiding!! To build our country these
   guys must be seen doing something more productive on the land that they
   have shed much blood to liberate.

   It is time we forget about these illusive foreign investors and begin to
   work on the land by ourselves.
   We bled for it to be free, and must sweat for it to be developed.
    
Reply<http://www.southsudannation.com/who-rules-south-sudan-petroleum-versus-foreign-investment/?replytocom=53170#respond>
    2.   Peter Ring
    December 7, 2013 at 4:00
pm<http://www.southsudannation.com/who-rules-south-sudan-petroleum-versus-foreign-investment/#comment-53220>

   Malith, I wrote comments during the rates crisis of central bank of
   South Sudan,but it was not publish due what you mentioned about the share
   being taken by Sudan and oil companies. It is really shameful for our
   government to give Sudan 49 % and take 20%.
    
Reply<http://www.southsudannation.com/who-rules-south-sudan-petroleum-versus-foreign-investment/?replytocom=53220#respond>
    3.   malith Alier
    December 9, 2013 at 7:12
am<http://www.southsudannation.com/who-rules-south-sudan-petroleum-versus-foreign-investment/#comment-53421>

   Thank you Ramba and Ring. To answer Ramba, yes, South Sudanese are
   capable of developing their country but their desire to do so is still at
   primal stage. They are tempted to go for quick gains. This sadly handed the
   country to foreigners, something that will be difficult to reverse in the
   future.
   We will be fight for something similar to what South Africans called
   Black Economic Empowerment, BEE
   Despite the fact that South Sudan receives less than 20% I personally
   support the aborted devaluation of South Sudanese Pound.

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