South Sudan: President Kiir And Dr. Riek Machar Crisis
"A good solution in the nation's best interest is the one that ends the
conflict through nonviolent way and does it immediately so that the social
fabric of the country is rebuilt back quickly. There is no military
solution by either side."
06 February 2014



*By Abraham Deng Kueth *

Many of my friends and colleagues have been contacting me about my position
that the reformists are not linked by any evidence to Riek Machar's
rebellion and they asked me how I came to such a conclusion. Several other
questions have been asked. Let me try to answer them in this narrative.

*Who told me they are not linked:* all the information that is out there in
the public does not indicate any link to the rebellion. There is a link to
the reforming of the party as presented on December 6. If anyone has any
evidence linking them with Riek's rebellion and not the numerous assumption
drawn (something substantial), please, share.

*Why Mobilization of the white army in big numbers in a short time:* The
white army was already organized and things such as the killings of Nuer
people in Juba and the political tension in the country could have been
mobilizing factors. YES, I think that Dr. Riek might have established
contact and had asked the white army to stay ready for any action or to
take part in his rebellion which came after the facts of the "alleged coup"
in Juba.

*Who gave the reformists the name?* Well, on December 6, they were talking
about reforms. In the prison, they have told the world that they are not
part of Dr. Riek's rebellion and they have denounced violence and even went
further to urge the signing of the cessation of hostilities agreement and
not to use their case as a reason to delay a ceasefire.

*What are/were the reformists reforming?* It is not the government but the
SPLM party processes. The documents of the SPLM have not been transformed
since 1994 and some of the processes need reform to make the rules of the
game fair for everyone vying for the leadership of the party. This conflict
was caused by the SPLM chairman's dictatorial tendencies aimed at blocking
key challengers and securing the post at all costs (including the loss of
innocent lives as we have witnessed in Juba, Bor, Akobo, Bentiu and
Malakal). The issue here is not about the reformists backgrounds.

Those in the government share the same backgrounds as the reformists.
Therefore, this notion of presenting the reformists as bad guys is
baseless. The issue is that within the SPLM party, some called for reforms
and others did not like those reforms. The two sides needed to sit down as
one party; debate the issues and vote to allow democratic way of doing
things to decide the fate of those reforms.

Let South Sudanese not be fooled; both Kiir and Riek were preparing
themselves and were doing parallel planning. If you closely look at
President Kiir actions from recruiting and training of tigers (private
army), to reducing of Dr. Riek's powers, to firing of the whole cabinet, to
dissolution of the PB and establishment of military relationship with
Uganda, you cannot doubt that something was going on.

On the other hand, Riek was planning as well. He established a network of
forces within the army as we have witnessed during this crisis. He clearly
was planning something that will involve military conflict. This was his
one-man's plan that only his close aides might have known about. This is
where Gatdet, James Koang and the other military commanders in Malakal come
in and his close aides like Taban and the likes.

His second plan which he gave priority seems to have been political ally.
That is where he sided with the other politicians who were detained on the
agenda of reforming the party electoral processes. Nyandeeng and Pagan were
also candidates as we know; so, the argument that the group was supporting
Dr. Riek on December 6 is baseless.

The three candidates and the rest of the SPLM members who were pro-reforms
within the party (not government) agreed that they will need to use
nonviolent ways to push for party reforms. Is this wrong? That is when the
December 6 conference was born. The rally idea was in the air but under
condition that if the Chairman of the party does not listen to their call
for dialogues. Kiir refused all that.

What we have seen, given the evidence known to the public so far, is the
preemptive action by President Kiir to strike first (disarmament of the
Nuer members of the presidential guards, rushing to the T.V to call the
incident among the guards a coup attempt, killing of Nuers in Juba and
accusing Dr. Riek and everybody else who was calling for reforms within the
party) before Dr. Riek strikes. Note: I am convinced that if Kiir did not
initiate the disarmament, there would have been no violence on December 15
and hopefully, now.

Dr. Riek, even though I am convinced that he had a plan, still had some
political leverage to use by December 15 and who knows, may be his plan
would have not ripen, had the right processes been followed or if it ripe,
it would not have drawn significant support from the Nuer community,
resulting in less effects compared to what we have seen.

Kiir had two options regarding the reform call; to do what he did or to
open up for dialogues and solve the problems through peaceful means. He
refused and instigated the violence. The killings of Nuer people in Juba
made things worse and honestly, speaking; it became the strongest
recruiting factor for Dr. Riek. Most killings in other areas were
retaliatory killings even though they outnumbered the Juba killings; they
were done with a retaliatory spirits by the Nuers. I condemn all killings
by any side and more must be done to avoid future re-occurrence.

Dr. Riek followed the same route by activating his forces and rebelling
against the government of President, Salva Kiir. He made wrong calls;
stepping down of president Kiir and the likes. He, too, had options; take
refuge somewhere and denounce violence or rebel and don't attack and only
defend himself when attacked; leave the civilians out of the conflict and
call for talks to end the conflict. However, his rebellion came after the
facts of the "alleged coup." Moreover, whether provoked or not, it is not
acceptable. The two leaders are the ones who have caused our country so
many pains. Each of them knew what he was secretly doing. The thing is,
none of them is a saint and they all have the blood of innocent people in
their hands.

The reformists get their names from their platform; it is simply, English.
What is clear, my fellow citizens, many of us know the truth but we simply
refuse to admit it and that causes me to question our seriousness to build
a nation together.

I say that both kiir and Riek are wrong and should be urged to end this
violence immediately. The notion of cheering up the government and only
condemning Riek is a very irresponsible position and history will judge
that. This rebellion has involved, both, Riek and Nuer community in a
unique way that needs a great caution to address it, even though it is
denied.

What clearly is not the case is Kiir supporters are not mainly Dinkas but
this is because people say, Kiir is an elected leader which is true but
being an elected leader does not give the leader a ticket to act
irresponsibly to cause harm to his or her citizens. Supporting him does not
mean he cannot be told the truth. I support him because he is an elected
leader. I would never want an elected leader removed the way Riek Machar is
trying to go about it. An elected leader can be removed through the act of
an impeachment by the people's government (in our case, the parliament). If
kiir was a president in the West, he would have been impeached long time
ago. However, I still tell President Kiir that he is wrong and that he
caused the violence and he needs to do more to stop it.

A good solution in the nation's best interest is the one that ends the
conflict through nonviolent way and does it immediately so that the social
fabric of the country is rebuilt back quickly. There is no military
solution by either side. Delaying of a solution only polarizes and widens
the effects of the conflict. If Kiir and Riek have a case or political
boxing contest, they should do it another time and not this time to save
our nation from a serious cleavage. This is what has been my concern.

Many tragedies have happened and all of us are touched by them in a unique
ways. However, we don't want that to be the order of things in South Sudan
and particularly, in Upper Nile, all the times from now on.
Posted in: 
Opinions<http://www.gurtong.net/ECM/Editorial/tabid/124/ctl/CategoryView/mid/519/categoryId/24/Opinions.aspx>

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