---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Eric Reeves" <[email protected]>
Date: 7 Jan 2015 07:31
Subject: Completing the Darfur Genocide: Tens of thousands in Khartoum's
death grip; the killing has begun in earnest | 6 January 2015
To: "Eric Reeves" <[email protected]>
Cc:

*Completing the Darfur Genocide: Tens of thousands in Khartoum's death
grip; the killing has begun in earnest*

Eric Reeves, 6 January 2015

A large-scale mobilization of the "new *Janjaweed*"—the *Rapid Support
Forces (RSF)—*has marked the beginning of an ongoing campaign of killing
and starvation that may claim tens of thousands of lives in the very near
future. Ultimately we may be compelled to measures deaths in the hundreds
of thousands. The massing of RSF militia, now concentrated in *North Darfur*,
has been reported for weeks now by Radio Dabanga, and figures prominently
in my *recent timeline for the major events and developments in Darfur in
2014* (Part one: http://wp.me/p45rOG-1y6 | Part two: http://wp.me/p45rOG-1y3 ).
A great many villages have already been destroyed, with civilians—virtually
all *African/non-Arab farmers*—killed and displaced in large numbers; the
violence is reminiscent of the worst attacks in the the early years of the
genocide. Certainly North Darfur is not the only target of the RSF and
Khartoum's regular military forces, as we have seen in both *South Darfur
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/militia-kill-nine-torch-voluntary-return-village-in-south-darfur>*
and *West Darfur
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/government-militiamen-attack-displaced-in-west-darfur>*;
moreover, the *Sudan Armed Forces (SAF)* is now again working in concert in
attacks against civilian villages and populations that are overwhelmingly
African/non-Arab.

Two dispatches noted at the very end of my timeline for *2014* have become
only more alarming in the *first days of 2015*:

*29 December 2014:* Radio Dabanga reports a further build-up of *Rapid
Support Forces* in the area between *Shangil Tobay [South Darfur]* and
*Tabit*. This is the route taken by UN during its attempt to investigate
the mass sexual assaults on girls and women in Tabit (*October 31 –
November 1, 2014*).

*30 December 2014:* Radio Dabanga reports *that Rapid Support Forces*, in a
growing pattern of violence, kidnapped some 60 Darfuris:

Elements of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) ambushed a
commercial convoy of three lorries in *Tawila* locality, North Darfur, on
Monday. *They seized two of the vehicles, and took 60 passengers with them
to an unknown destination. A passenger of the third vehicle expressed his
concern about the fate of the kidnapped people, fearing that they may be
subjected to maltreatment and torture.* “The convoy was transporting a
number of passengers and commodities to the market of Fanga, when these
Janjaweed intercepted us in the area of *Terbo*, 10 km south of *Dubo El
Omda*,” he told Radio Dabanga.

The real violence and killing in North Darfur will predominate in *eastern
Jebel Marra *and* areas to the east*; humanitarian assistance has been
halted to much of Jebel Marra for almost five years. Recent military
movements and village destruction by the RSF have left some *20,000 without
food or water*; they are mainly children, women, and the elderly—those most
vulnerable to both violence and utter deprivation—and the number of newly
displaced and those beyond humanitarian reach continues to grow rapidly .
Men are being shot on sight. Radio Dabanga today reports on this
extraordinarily threatening development:

 *Thousands hiding in Darfur’s East Jebel Marra without water, food
**| *January
6, 2015 | EAST JEBEL MARRA / TAWILA

*About 20,000 people hiding in the mountains in East Jebel Marra, North
Darfur, are in urgent need of assistance. They are unable to search for
food and water, or leave for the nearest camps for the displaced, as the
paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) have tightened their control in the
area. Villagers are unable to bury their dead because of the rampant
insecurity.* Multiple sources reported that about *20,000* people, mostly
women, children, and elderly, are hiding in the mountains between *Deribat*
 and *Fanga* from the RSF militias who started attacking their villages on
Friday [*2 January 2014*].

“In particular the people who sought refuge in the areas west of *Fanga*,
*Kolokata*, *Soni El Arous,* and* El Sawani*, are stranded, without any
access to water, food, or shelter to protect them from the cold at night,”
one of them told Radio Dabanga. “They cannot leave their hiding places
because the militia forces are surrounding the area.” In the area of *Fanga*,
about 30 km northwest of *Shangil Tobaya (South Darfur)*, people attempted
to bury some of the bodies of villagers lying in the open.

*“Yet, militia troops shot at us, killing two men instantly,” a survivor
from the attacks reported.* “The bodies of Ismail Musa Adam, Zakaria Yahya
Saleh, Abdelshakour Saleh, Abdelmajid Yagoub, Abdelrahman Musa, and
Abdelkarim Adam, are lying in the open at about *1 km north of
Fanga,”* according
to the villager. “The dead found *south of Fanga* are Osman Haroun, Ayman
Saleh, Shogara Mohamed, Abdellatif Yagoub, Zakariya Mahjoub, Maryam Younes
(11) and Aisha Mahjoub (7). “Haroun Juma, Noureldin Ishag, Maryam Ishag
Yahya, Adam Ishag Yahya, Jarelnabi Suleiman, Jaber Musa Hamed, and Mustafa
Yahya (5) were killed in the area west of the village,” he said.

This murderous campaign strongly suggests Khartoum's determination to
exterminate all resistance to the will of the regime. What follows in the
main in this brief are dispatches—in their entirety—from Radio Dabanga,
detailing the extraordinary violence and destruction and displacement that
is occurring *at this very moment. *These dispatches are simply
indispensible if we wish to know what is occurring in Darfur; the reporting
by the *UN/African Union "hybrid" Mission in Darfur (UNAMID)* is a failure
in many ways, but no more conspicuously than in its failure to report what
it sees or hears from its numerous bases—or what it simply doesn't
investigate. The upshot of what Radio Dabanga presents us, in utterly
compelling detail, could not be clearer: *Without urgent international
intervention, Khartoum will at last realize its genocidal ambitions.*

*Six die in raid on North Darfur village | *January 5, 2015 | KUTUM LOCALITY

*Six people were shot dead in an attack by militiamen on Shagar Gei village
in Kutum locality, North Darfur, today*. “At about 10 am, dozens of
government-backed militiamen stormed the *village, north of Kutum town*,” a
listener from the area told Dabanga. “They fired at the villagers, killing
Idris Adam Khater, Jamal Hamed Adoma, Babiker Adam Sakouta, Yousuf Omar,
Bahar Azu, and the little girl. Siddig Adam Sakouta and Babiker Adam Khater
sustained injuries.” *The attackers then plundered the village and took
more than a thousand head of livestock,” he said.*

*Residents of Kutum town reported to Dabanga that a militia convoy of about
120 vehicles and gunmen on horses and camels left Damra El Guba today,
moving towards the north, in the direction of *Ain Siro* [on Ain Siro, see
"Concluding Note" below], Amarei, Hashaba, and Furugat.*

*[Although many of the names in Radio Dabanga dispatches are not to be
found on any available map, many can be found in what is still the most
important cartographic resource for Darfur, the **2005 UN "Darfur Field
Atlases,"** one for each of the administrative divisions at the time, and
which I continue to use: **South Darfur (capital is Nyala),* *North Darfur
(capital is El Fasher),** and* *West Darfur (capital is El Geneina). **The
atlases may be found here
<http://sudanreeves.org/2014/04/16/darfur-field-atlas-collection-from-un-ocha-continues-to-be-the-most-reliable-guide-to-the-locations-of-smaller-towns-and-villages/>.
Further, Radio Dabanga has begun to try to identify locations by giving
distances from towns and cities that do appear in the atlases.*

Even those who escape the violence and make it to the major camp for the
displaced in this region—the already vast and hugely overcrowded *ZamZam* camp
outside *El Fasher *(which is also *UNAMID headquarters* for Darfur)—face
tremendous overcrowding and a widespread, severe humanitarian crisis that
Khartoum has deliberately exacerbated:

*New wave of displaced swells Zamzam camp in North Darfur | *January 5,
2015 | ZAMZAM CAMP

Hundreds of people arrived at Zamzam camp for the displaced near El Fasher,
capital of North Darfur, today, fleeing militia attacks on their villages
in *East Jebel Marra* and *Tawila locality*. A sheikh reported that about
180 families reached camp at about 10 am. *They fled the widespread raids
on their villages launched by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces*, on
Friday morning. “The villagers arrived on horseback and on foot from the
northern part of East Jebel Marra and the area east of Tawila town,” he
said. “*They told us that they had left hundreds more families behind, most
of them on foot, without water or food. They predicted that already weak
people and children may die of hunger, thirst, and the extreme cold at
night.”*

The camp sheikh appealed to relief organisations and UNAMID to provide
assistance to the newly displaced as soon as possible. “*Already weak
people and children may die of hunger, thirst, and the extreme cold at
night.”* People who fled from the areas of *Dubo El Omda*, *Dubo El Madrasa*
, *Fanga*, and *Tamarawa* towards the mountains west of Fanga, *told
Dabanga that they passed dozens of bodies lying in the open. “Nobody had
time to bury them,” one of them said.*

*“Many children started coughing,” he added. “Others are suffering from
diarrhoea.” He also pointed to the fierce cold at night, “in particular
this high in the mountains,” saying that they are in urgent need of
humanitarian aid.*

Much of this is all too familiar: on *September 21, 2009* I received from a
distinguished and extremely well-informed member of the Darfuri diaspora an
email that provided a clear overview of the larger military offensive and
its implications for civilians:

“There are air and ground attacks to various areas in Darfur, mostly all
around Jebel Marra—my own area. This started on last Thursday [*September
17, 2009*]. There is an ongoing attack through the *axis of eastern Jebel
Marra *in the area of *Kidineir* [southeast of *Nyertiti*]. The second axis
is around the *southern Jebel Marra*: *Nyertiti*, *Kass*, *Juldo*. The
third [axis] is eastern Jebel Marra: *Korma*, *Tawila*, extending to *Ain
Siro*.”

The same general strategy guides current efforts by the RSF. But this is a
militia force that is larger, more cohesive, better armed, and openly
embraced by the *National Islamic Front/National Congress Party* regime.
This extension of the genocide is part of the "mechanism" alluded to by *Vice
President Bakri Hassan Saleh* in the leaked minutes of an extraordinary
secret meeting <http://wp.me/p45rOG-1sx> (*31 August 2014*) of the most
senior security and military officials in the regime (the entire Arabic
text—28 photographed pages of the original document—is available here
<http://sudanreeves.org/2014/09/29/arabic-original-hand-written-english-translation-of-31-august-2014-meeting/>
).

*Connecting the dots*

In many ways, the dispatches from Radio Dabanga provide a series of
locations, which if linked show very clearly the strategic ambitions of
both the RSF and Khartoum's regular *Sudan Armed Forces (SAF)*, again
working in concert, one of the hallmarks of the most destructive early
years of the genocide:

*"Scorched earth" in Darfur’s East Jebel Marra | *January 5, 2015 | EAST
JEBEL MARRA / TAWILA

*Militia troops of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), and militiamen on camels
and horses have begun "cleansing" villages and water resources in the areas
north of East Jebel Marra* after government forces gained control over the
area of *Fanga*, about 30 km northwest of *Shangil Tobaya*, North Darfur. *The
sweep, which began on Thursday evening, was backed by fighter jets of the
Sudanese Air Force.*

*“The operations are taking the shape of a scorched earth policy,” multiple
sources told Dabanga.* *“They are removing the entire population of East
Jebel Marra, Tawila locality, extended to parts of Kutum, Kabkabiya, and
Saraf Umra localities in North Darfur*,” one of them said. *“This is one of
the fiercest attacks and largest organised robbery in the recent history of
Darfur.”* The *"cleansing operations"* have led to the displacement of
thousands of villagers. They sought refuge in the area of *Tabit* in
*Tawila* locality, after they were robbed of all their belongings and their
livestock, the sources reported.

The sources described how a large group of RSF militia arrived in the area
of *Abu Zerega*, south of *El Fasher*, capital of North Darfur, on Friday
and Saturday. “They came in groups in a total of 90 vehicles, and
began *ravaging
and plundering 37 villages*,” they reported. “About *3,700 villagers* fled
towards *Zamzam* camp for the displaced near* El Fasher*, while *11 herders
and five women are missing.”*

*“Some 3,460 camels, 1,780 cows, and 3,460 sheep and goats were stolen,”* one
of them reported. “We saw the militia convoy leaving from a distance. They
were slowed-down by the livestock.” *“This is one of the fiercest attacks
and largest organised robbery in the recent history of Darfur.”*

In the village of *Tamarawa*, 3 km south of Fanga, *nine women were killed
by bullets from a 50-calibre Dushka machine-gun. They attempted to prevent
the attackers from taking 4,000 cows belonging to the villagers.* “They are
Hawa Idris Musa, Dar Naim Yahya Saleh, Om Kalsoum Adam Musa, Saadia and
Kubra Yagoub Haroun, Maryam Yousef Omar, Aisha Yousef Suleiman, and Zahra
Abdallah,” a source from Tamarawa mentioned.

*Militiamen led by Badur Abu Kineish raided and pillaged a number of other
villages in Tawila locality*. “They have been pillaging the houses since
Friday. They stole thousands of livestock, including the donkeys,” *a
villager told Radio Dabanga from Rwanda camp in Tawila, where he arrived
with his family on Saturday*. “Most of the people fled to the three camps
for the displaced near Tawila town.” *Omda Mukhtar Bosh, coordinator of the
Tawila camps*, reported that the people who arrived at the camps are in a
dire humanitarian condition. “They have not only lost all they owned, but
they were beaten, assaulted, and raped. “*Two young women aged 15 and 18
were gang-raped. *They were transferred to a hospital in El Fasher for
treatment. *“The situation at the camps is not very secure either.* *The
militias are coming closer, as they attack nearby villages.”*

He added that a group of militiamen raided the *market of Tawila* on
Saturday afternoon [*3 January 2014*]. “Fortunately, army forces prevented
them from plundering the market. *But some 10,000 people fled the town and
sought refuge at the nearby UNAMID base.”*

Residents of Kutum locality reported that they saw a convoy of about 20
Land Cruisers with RSF militiamen, and 60 gunmen on camels and horses,
passing with about 3,000 head of cattle. “They came from the south, and
went into the direction of the *El Guba military garrison*.” *Hussein Abu
Sharati*, chairman of the Darfur Displaced and Refugees Association, stated
to Radio Dabanga that the attacks on civilians in East Jebel Marra
“constitute a war crime, and a crime against humanity.” He confirmed that *“at
least 45 villages in East Jebel Marra have been pillaged and emptied of
their residents. Another 15 villages burned down to ashes. Tens of
thousands of people have fled towards the north, to the camps near Tawila
and Tabit, or are hiding in the mountains and valleys.”*

Abu Sharati demanded from “the UN, UN Security Council, UNAMID, and human
rights organisations to take immediate action to protect the civilians in
Darfur.” “The international community should also establish a fact-finding
mission to investigate the range of the attacks.” He urged the UN and
relief organisations to provide emergency aid to the newly displaced “as
soon as possible."

An earlier dispatch from Radio Dabanga indicates that the military
advantage clearly lies with Khartoum's forces, in particular its militia
allies and aerial military assets.

*Rebels, militia forces clash, villages raided and bombed in North Darfur
| *January 1, 2015 | EAST JEBEL MARRA / TAWILA

Fierce clashes between joint rebel forces and troops of the paramilitary
Rapid Support Forces (RSF) erupted in Tawila locality, North Darfur,
popularly known as East Jebel Marra, this morning. *The Sudanese Air Force
backed the militiamen with heavy bombardments, killing at least seven
civilians. On Wednesday, RSF militia troops pillaged several villages in
the area.*

“The fighting concentrated near Mashrou Abu Zeid, over an *area stretching
between El Aradeib El Ashara, Goz Dor, Argatello, and the area west of
Khazan Tunjur*,” a resident told Radio Dabanga from the area. “We saw
dozens of dead militia members, and a number of demolished cars.” “The
people in the area got stuck between the fighting between the rebels and
the militias, *and the heaviest bombing we witnessed in a long time,”
others reported to Radio Dabanga late this afternoon. “Antonovs started
targeting the area west of Tabit, south of Tawila, and Mashrou Abu Zeid at
about 11 am this morning, and continued, with intervals, the whole day,”
one of them said. **[The coordinated use of SAF aerial military assets in
conjunction with ground attacks by allied militia forces also harkens back
to the earlier years of the genocide—ER]*

*“At least seven villagers were killed,* and others wounded. Dozens of
livestock were also killed, and *the wells near Mashrou Abu Zeid were
demolished.”* *[The destruction of wells, common in the early years of the
genocide, is an enormously destructive act in this arid land; the water is
critical for human and animal consumption as well as for irrigation—ER]*

“There may be more casualties and fatalities,” he stressed. “We fled to a
nearby valley, and are attempting to get more information. *We retrieved
the names of six people killed by the bombs*: the sisters Shadia (36) and
Hanan Musa Ahmed (25), killed in the area of Sorre, Idris Abakar Haroun
(46), and Mohamed Kheir Mekki, in Argatello, and Amin Saleh Omar (60) and
Mahjoub Juma, killed in one of the nomad’s settlements, located north
of *Mashrou
Abu Zeid*.”

He reported that on Wednesday, *militia forces, in vast numbers, raided
several villages in the area. “They beat the residents, and stripped them
of all their belongings."*

This assault on the eastern Jebel Marra area and surrounding villages began
in 2014, and follows serious militia assaults on many villages in South
Darfur
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/militia-kill-nine-torch-voluntary-return-village-in-south-darfur>
 and West Darfur
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/sudanese-air-force-bombs-villages-west-of-jebel-marra>.
The detail with which Radio Dabanga has recorded the events in Darfur, and
particularly North Darfur over the past weeks, ensures that the
international community will never be able to say it wasn't aware of how
ferociously the genocide was again being pursued:

*Renewed bombing in Tawila, RSF militia arrive in Kabkabiya, North Darfur
| *December 30, 2014 | TAWILA / KABKABIYA

The residents of *Tawila locality*, popularly known as East Jebel Marra,
and *Kabkabiya* town in North Darfur are living in great fear, as large
groups of paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) settled in the
neighbourhood. The Sudanese Air Force continues bombing the area between
*Tabit* and *Shangil Tobaya*. “*Government jets* started bombing the areas
again near the villages of *Dady*, *Khor Mali*, *Sabi*, and *Fanga* at 1:15
pm on Tuesday [December 30, 2014],” a villager reported to Radio Dabanga
from Dady. “The bombs killed more than 40 cows, and ignited a number of
fires, but we did not receive reports about fatalities among the
villagers,” he said.

*The source noted that the ongoing bombardments and the proliferation of
troops of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in the area are
terrifying the people.* “Many have fled their villages, and have become
newly displaced.” He urged the UN Security Council and the international
community to intervene, stop the bombardments, and protect the people in
the region. *On Friday, 19 December, the first contingent of RSF troops in
more than 100 armoured vehicles arrived at Wadi Marra, south of Tabit.
Their arrival was accompanied by air raids. The following days, more
militia troops arrived in the area.*

*“The arrival of the militia forces has led to a mass displacement of
people in the area,”* a villager told Radio Dabanga a week ago. The
residents of 11 villages fled towards Tabit, *Shangil Tobaya*, and *Zamzam
camp near El Fasher*. “Many people in Kabkabiya do not dare to leave their
homes anymore to collect firewood and water.” The residents of Kabkabiya,
northeast of Tawila locality, are also living in terror since Sunday
evening, when *a large group of RSF militia troops in 25 armoured vehicles,
loaded with heavy weapons, settled in the area of El Hara, east of the
town. **[This represents an extraordinary expansion of the RSF's military
capabilities, which are much greater that those of the "Janjaweed" of
earlier years. Recruitment and heavy arming of the RSF is a subject to
which the participants in the August 31, 2014 meeting of senior military
and security officials repeatedly recur—ER.]*

A listener told Radio Dabanga from Kabkabiya that the roaming of the
militiamen at the town market, and in the residential areas sparked great
fear among the population. “Many do not dare to leave their homes anymore
to collect firewood and water.” *On Thursday, a RSF militia contingent in
more than 125 Land Cruisers arrived at Kutum town, north of Kabkabiya.*

There simply cannot be doubt about the larger strategic goal of this
combined military assault, targeting one of the last areas of rebel
resistance in Darfur. By destroying the non-Arab/African populations and
their means of livelihood, the Khartoum regime again hopes to make life
impossible for all: civilians and rebels alike:

*Nine villages attacked by Sudan’s militias, air force in North Darfur
| *December
31, 2014 | TAWILA LOCALITY

*The paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) began their offensive in North
Darfur’s Tawila locality, popularly known as East Jebel Marra, this
morning. An Antonov of the Sudan Air Force bombarded the area from 8 am
until 12 am. Two children were killed.* Several villagers related to Radio
Dabanga from their refuge in the mountains, how a large group of RSF
militia troops moved from *Wadi Marra* at about 10 am this morning towards
the villages of *Sharafa, Um Beji, Dolma, Diwa, Koto, Daly, *and* Nemra*.
“They assaulted and beat those who had not already fled with batons and
whips, and pillaged the villages. *They took everything with them, even
beds the poultry,”* one of them said.

Others reported that an *Antonov dropped 17 bombs* in the vicinity of
*Tokomari* and *Hillet Wad Kireikeri* villages, near *Tabit*, and in the
area of *Mashrou Abu Zeid*. “Hamoudi Mahmoud Adam (5) and Adam Yagoub (4)
were fatally hit. *Wells and other water resources were destroyed, and many
cows were killed.”*

*“We urgently request the UN Security Council and the international
community to intervene, and protect the people in East Jebel Marra.”* The
villagers, hiding in the nearby mountains and valleys, said that the
*destruction
of the wells “by the militia troops* *[see my comment interpolated into the
previous dispatch—ER]* as well,” is aggravating their situation.

*Omda Ahmed Ateem, the coordinator of the North Darfur camps*, strongly
condemned the “attacks on civilians in East Jebel Marra”. He expressed his
fear that the Rapid Support Forces, since a few days stationed in the areas
around *Kutum* and *Kabkabiya*, will start their offensive soon too. Ateem
appealed through Radio Dabanga to UNAMID to provide protection to the
people against the frequent attacks by government militias. *“If the
peacekeepers came to Darfur to protect the civilians, they should do their
part. If they came to collect dollars, we will lose our lives.”*

Other parts of Darfur are also under assault, and there seems no end
to the *present
dry season *campaign other than a complete destruction of the civilian
population and infrastructure that Khartoum sees as supporting rebel groups.

*"Government militiamen" attack displaced in West Darfur | *January 4, 2015
| KEREINIK

A number of displaced were wounded in an armed robbery in *Kereinik
locality, West Darfur,* on Thursday. The police refused to act, saying they
do not have the power to persecute “government militia troops." *A group of
government-backed militiamen attacked the displaced on Thursday night,
while they were sleeping at their farmlands* in *Momo*, 5 km east of
*Murnei*. They beat them with their whips and riffles, four of them
seriously, after which they robbed them of their belongings. *One of the
victims told Radio Dabanga that they reported the attack to the police of
Momo. “They, however, refused to act, saying that they do not have the
competence to persecute elements of government militias.”*

Military assaults on camps for the displaced
<http://sudanreeves.org/2014/08/10/el-salam-camp-for-displaced-persons-site-of-recent-khartoum-military-assault-is-a-prism-for-all-darfur-accompanied-by-three-appendices-9-august-2014/>
are
becoming more common, as are denials of access to these overcrowded, poorly
served, and demoralized populations:

*Sudan security denies UNAMID, USAID access to Zamzam camm *| 31 December
2014 | ZAMZAM CAMP

Security agents have prevented representatives of *UNAMID* and *USAID* from
entering *Zamzam camp* for the displaced in El Fasher locality, North
Darfur. Speaking to Radio Dabanga, a camp elder said that *UNAMID officers
were stopped by the security when they wanted to visit the camp on
Monday.* “They
would meet with the camp administration to discuss the deteriorating
security situation,” he explained. *“The next morning, they denied access
to USAID representatives, who were going to meet with the camp
administration and the health, education, and water committee, for an
assessment of the current humanitarian situation, and the planning of their
interventions for 2015.”*

           “The real problem is that the government is beating its war
drums continuously”

*Responding to recent announcements by the Sudanese authorities that Sudan
does not need international aid, the Zamzam camp elder stressed that this
is “unbelievable.” *“It is the government that is responsible for the
rampant insecurity and the vast displacement in the region. The authorities
have never provided us with the slightest humanitarian aid, such as food,
clean drinking water, or medicines. They say they will support us, while at
the same time they prevent organisations to provide relief.”

“During the past weeks, large groups of the paramilitary Rapid Support
Forces, commanded by the security apparatus, arrived in the neighbourhood.
They are stationed in Tawila, Kutum, and Kabkabiya localities.” *“We all
expect renewed mass displacements in the near future, so even more people
will be forced to survive on humanitarian aid.”*

*The Present and the Future*

Nothing has changed to alter my recent characterization of current
realities in Darfur <http://wp.me/p45rOG-1y6> or the implications of
the *expiration
of UNAMID's Security Council authorization in Darfur* (*June 30, 2015*):

•  Almost *3 million *people cannot return to their homes—displaced into
IDP camps (*2.4 million*
<http://reliefweb.int/report/sudan/sudan-humanitarian-bulletin-issue-51-15-21-december-2014-enar>),
living at non-UN sites (with family and friends in nearby villages, or
simply under trees as they move toward what they hope is safety), an
uncounted number displaced in *Jebel Marra*(which remains under
humanitarian embargo, including for assessment missions), and more than
*360,000*refugees in *eastern Chad.*

•  Efforts by civilians to return to their lands and villages—the so-called
"voluntary return villages"—have proved no safer than other villages: few
in number, they too have been attacked by the *Rapid Response Forces*. As
Radio Dabanga reports (December 14, 2014
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/militia-kill-nine-torch-voluntary-return-village-in-south-darfur>
):

On Saturday, *nine villagers were killed, and their homes burned to ashes* in
an attack by militiamen on *Abu Jabra in Gireida locality, South Darfur*.
“About five weeks ago, the people of Abu Jabra had returned to their
village, in *the voluntary return programme organised by the Darfur
Regional Authority,”* an eyewitness from a neighbouring village told Radio
Dabanga. “The formerly displaced had begun to settle themselves again at
the place, located 20 km north of Gireida town. However, on Saturday
afternoon, *a large group of about 100 militiamen on camels and horses
attacked the village, without any warning or clear reason. They fired at
the people, killing nine instantly.* *After pillaging the entire village,
they set it ablaze” …*

As recent events demonstrate all too dramatically, *violent attacks against
villages by the RSF* and other militia forces—often entailing wholesale
destruction, pillaging, rape, and murder—have been escalating throughout
2014 and show no sign of diminishing.
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/camp-market-pillaged-village-attacked-in-north-darfur>

•  *Land continues to be appropriated from African farmers* by armed Arab
groups
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/new-settlers-occupy-land-of-displaced-in-north-darfur-s-saraf-umra>
on
a large scale; this makes peace and reconciliation continually more
difficult, and will likely be the primary obstacle in any peace settlement
acceptable to Darfuri civil society.

•  Radio Dabanga continues to report the *unrelenting aerial bombardment* of
civilian targets
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/air-raid-kills-two-children-wounds-21-in-south-kordofan>in
Jebel Marra and other regions of Darfur. The attacks are often deadly and
immensely destructive, prompting significant human displacement. UNAMID
fails to investigate or report these attacks.

•  An *epidemic of sexual violence against girls
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/displaced-girl-gang-raped-in-central-darfur-1>*and
women continues to be reported, primarily by Radio Dabanga, on a regular
basis. (See extended overview of this grim reality |
http://sudanreeves.org/2012/03/04/rape-as-a-continuing-weapon-of-war-in-darfur-reports-bibliography-of-studies-a-compendium-of-incidents/
)

•  Severe *humanitarian shortcomings* in camps for the displaced are also
reported on a virtually daily basis by Radio Dabanga. Morbidity and
morality rates
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/children-dying-of-fever-in-south-darfur-s-otash-camp>continue
to climb, even if not reported by the UN (and as a consequence, by
operational INGOs). For example, on *December 28, 2014*, Radio Dabanga
reported that there are no doctors or medicines in Mukjar
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/no-doctors-medicines-in-central-darfur-s-mukjar>
(formerly *West Darfur*).

•  The *death toll*from the consequences of violence and violent
displacement continues to rise; extant data as well as reports from the
ground strongly suggest that the figure is now above 500,000
<http://sudanreeves.org/2010/08/07/quantifying-genocide-darfur-mortality-update-august-6-2010/>.
An increasing percentage of deaths are the direct result of violence
<http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article53436>.

•  The *UN, *the *United States, *the *European Union*, as well as the*African
Union*, continue to support the peace agreement known as the *Doha Document
for Peace in Darfur*(*July 2011*). This is so despite the fact that all
know the agreement is a dead letter within Darfuri civil society and the
major rebel groups; the *Darfur Regional Authority* created by the DDPD is
a conspicuous failure after three and a half years of ineffective and
finally inconsequential changes on the ground in Darfur.

•  The U.S. position on the Doha document has been muddied by contradictory
public comments coming from *U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Samantha
Power*and *U.S. deputy charge d’affaires in Sudan, Christopher Rowan*.
On *March
12, 2014*, Power is reported by the *Sudan Tribune*
<http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article50274> as,

…call[ing] on members of the African Union Peace and Security Council to
find an alternative forum to resolve the Darfur crisis, saying *the DDPD
has become outdated and cannot be relied on.*

*Sudan Tribune* was also the source for Khartoum's criticism of Power's
remarks:

The Sudanese government Tuesday criticised a statement by the U.S.
ambassador to the United Nations, Samantha Power, *[which called] on the
AUPSC so support the holistic approach and to merge the two peace processes
for Darfur and the Two Areas*. (March 12, 2014
<http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article50263>)

But several weeks later Sudaneseonline.org (April 11, 2014
<http://sudaneseonline.org/cs/blogs/english/archive/2014/04/11/us-reiterates-support-for-darfur-s-doha-accord.aspx>)
and *Sudan Tribune*
<http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article50610> reported
from Khartoum:

The *United States deputy charge d’affaires in Sudan Christopher
Rowan* affirmed
that the solution to the Darfur conflict could only come through dialogue
and negotiations and not through arms, *stressing his country’s support for
the Doha Document for Peace in Darfur (DDPD).*

Very recently, a State Department official informed me that the DDPD is
regarded as untenable within the Obama administration, but that there is
hesitation in declaring as much without a willingness to provide a serious
diplomatic alternative. In short, the position of the Obama administration
is expediently muddled.

Within Sudan, the DDPD is supported only by the Khartoum regime and for
predictable reasons: any life remaining in the DDPD, even if entirely
artificial, gives the regime an excuse for not engaging in further,
meaningful diplomacy about how to bring peace, security, and justice to
Darfur. Since so many high-ranking officials in the regime are responsible
for massive atrocity crimes in Darfur, indeed genocide, there is simply no
discussion of justice for those who have violated international law in
Darfur.

•  Brutal military campaigns in the *Nuba Mountains *and *Blue Nile*states
continue to target civilians and civilian food supplies and agricultural
production. A *humanitarian embargo*placed on rebel-controlled regions by
Khartoum in *2011* continues, with no signs of its being lifted. Bombing
attacks—including attacks on hospitals, mosques, churches, schools, and
grain storage sites—continue relentlessly
<http://nubareports.org/bombings-exceed-2000-as-peace-talks-begin/> with
virtually no international condemnation, and certainly none of consequence.
The burning of this year's abundant sorghum crop, stipulated as a goal in
the *August 31 minutes*, has begun
<http://sudanreeves.org/2014/12/06/khartoums-starvation-campaign-in-the-nuba-mountains-now-underway-6-november-2014/>
.

•  A severe political and news media crackdown continues to intensify in
the run-up to the *April 2015 presidential election*. Darfuris are
particular victims of the extreme political repression in Khartoum and at
universities in other major cities
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/77-darfuri-students-detained-two-missing-in-sudan-s-capital>.
Despite this, there is growing evidence of political opposition united at
many points. This opposition is strengthened by the continuing collapse of
the Sudanese economy. One *Sudanese economist, *based in Egypt, claims that
the country's economy has already collapsed
<https://www.dabangasudan.org/en/all-news/article/sudan-s-economy-collapsed-2015-budget-fake-economist>,
and the current budget if entirely contrived. The *IMF *issupposedly
monitoring the economy but contents itself with figures that come from the
regime's Central Bureau of Statistics, repeatedly cited without
qualification in IMF reports
<http://sudanreeves.org/2014/09/17/watching-the-bubble-burst-political-implications-of-sudans-economic-implosion-17-september-2014/>
.

•  Increasingly close relations between Khartoum and *Moscow*
<http://news.sudanvisiondaily.com/details.html?rsnpid=244354>suggest that
the regime desires another key ally on the UN Security Council to block any
further authorization of UNAMID. Humanitarian organizations are even now
making contingency plans for withdrawing from Darfur if there is not even a
nominal protection force on the ground. This is precisely what Khartoum
wishes, indeed is central to its ghastly program to "*Sudanize
<http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article53453>*" humanitarian
operation throughout Sudan.

•  As is the case in so many regions of the world in which the U.S. has
extended its *"war on terror,"* Sudan continues to be the beneficiary of
policies that are governed not by the judgment of the *State Department* or
concern for human rights and democratic development, but rather by the
narrow interests of the *multifarious U.S. intelligence community*. This
tendency has increased dramatically during the Obama administration,
particularly
in Sudan
<http://sudanreeves.org/2011/10/10/what-really-animates-the-obama-administrations-sudan-policy/>.
Again and again, in countries around the world, we find examples of this
deeply disturbing re-orientation within U.S. foreign policy.

*The Future*

*June 30, 2015* continues to loom as the date on which Khartoum expects
UNAMID to be out of Darfur. The UN Security Council will not have renewed
the Mission's authorization, and despite disingenuous words to the contrary
from *UN DPKO chief Hervé Ladsous*, it won't matter to either *Russia* or
*China* what humanitarian and security conditions prevail in the region at
that time. No humanitarian organizations will be able to remain in Darfur
without at least nominal international protection.

*A Concluding Note: How was Darfur so badly understood and so terribly
managed by the international community?*

In surveying the current destruction and suffering in Darfur it is worth
pausing on one location, *Ain Siro* (highlighted in the *January 5 dispatch
from Radio Dabanga* above); for it has been celebrated in the past as an
example of Darfur "putting itself together again"—and on its own. *Former
U.S. special envoy for Sudan Scott Gration* placed Ain Siro on his
itinerary for one of his few visits to Darfur because if offered "hope."
Most telling, however, is the assessment offered by *Alex de Waal* writing
in *May 2009*:

A few days in Ain Siro is a reminder of *what life used to be like in
Darfur.* The village is nestled in the spine of hills that runs due north
from Jebel Marra into the desert. Protected by the mountains, *the SLA has
controlled the area for the last four years, and for many of the people in
the vicinity, allowed an element of normality to return. Villages have been
rebuilt, a rudimentary health service set up—and the school re-opened.* (May
29, 2009 at SSRC blog: perhaps understandably, the link to de Waal's piece
on the *Social Science Research Center* has gone "dead":
http://blogs.ssrc.org/darfur/2009/05/28/a-taste-of-normality-in-ain-siro/).

>From the example of *Ain Siro*, de Waal draws a conclusion that shows
finally just how shameless his accommodation of Khartoum's ambitions has
been over the years:

*Ain Siro* shows how people on all sides are tired of war and, when given
the chance, can make their own small but significant steps towards peace
and normality. *When Julie Flint first wrote about Ain Siro "saving itself"
in 2007, most were sceptical that it represented anything significant. Two
years on, not only has Ain Siro survived, but its model of self-help is
less exceptional than it was.*

Given what we are seeing almost five years later—the destruction of the
very villages de Waal invokes, the complete lack of normality, the
overrunning of Ain Siro by the RSF, the burning of schools and clinics—his
assessment of what the future held was spectacularly erroneous, even as it
was belied by a great deal of evidence in much of Darfur at the time.

But de Waal is not just any commentator: he has been used extensively as a
regional expert by the UN, the U.S., and the African Union. As part of his
self-description, de Waal notes of himself in an author bio
<http://forums.ssrc.org/african-futures/author/alex-dewaal/>:

During 2005-06, de Waal was seconded to the African Union mediation team
for Darfur and from 2009-11 served as senior adviser to the African Union
High-Level Implementation Panel for Sudan.

This represents participation in a long and dismal record of failure: the
utter failure of the *Darfur Peace Agreement* negotiated in *Abuja, Nigeria*
 (*May 2006*), which de Waal pushed so hard and defended so long after its
failure was manifest. As a senior advisor to *Thabo Mbeki* and the feckless
"*African Union High-Level Implementation Panel for Sudan*," he
participated in failures not only in Darfur, but in the run-up to the
self-determination referendum for South Sudan *and* *Abyei*. Mbeki, along
with *senior U.S. officials Gration*, *Secretary of State Hillary Clinton*,
and *Senator (now Secretary of State) John Kerry*, pushed *Juba* to
"compromise" on a further truncating of Abyei. Khartoum seeing this, saw
calculated that it would pay no price for the military annexation of all of
Abyei, even that part delineated in a *July 2009 *by* the International
Court of Arbitration.* The annexation, which began with military
seizure in *late
May 2011*, is now virtually complete and Khartoum has begun to extend
northern infrastructure into the lands that historically are those of
the *Dinka
Ngok*. There has been no international objection.

And what to make of the *"Implementation" *in the title for Mbeki's
ongoing, and fruitless, diplomatic roadtrip? What is being "implemented"?
"Implementation" was to have been of the "*Roadmap for Peace in Darfur*,"
which de Waal played a large part in assembling—and which led nowhere. This
failure in turn opened the diplomatic door to the *Qataris*, who were happy
to provide diplomatic auspices negotiators from Khartoum and a small,
patched together group of minor splinter rebel factions (with, incredibly,
the assistance of Libya's *Muamar Gadhafi*). The *"Liberation and Justice
Movement"* was entirely contrived and represented no one—not the militarily
consequential rebel movements or Darfuri civil society. The document that
was eventually signed in *July 2011*—the *"Doha Document for Peace in
Darfur" (DDPD*)—had no chance of success, as was immediately evident to
anyone who had followed the negotiations and understood the complete lack
of support for the process by the overwhelming majority of Darfuris (one
participant, who had also advised in the *Abuja* talks that produced the *2006
Darfur Peace Agreement,* described the Doha negotiations as "Abuja replayed
as farce"). Today the DDPD has been revealed again as a total failure, and
the *Darfur Regional Authority* it created has proved ineffective, corrupt,
and widely disliked, if not hated as a betrayal of legitimate aspirations
for these long marginalized people.

We would have learned much more in *2009* by reading the dispatches of
Radio Dabanga than de Waal's blog, as remains the case today. Expediency of
the sort represented by de Waal has no place in any genuine effort to bring
peace to Darfur. This is a lesson no one seems willing to learn: not
the *African
Union*, not the *UN*, not the *European Union*, not the *United States*.
None will clearly and soberly assess the catastrophe that is impending, or
declare what must be done to halt it.

-- 

Eric Reeves
Smith College
Northampton, MA  01063
       413-585-3326
       [email protected]

       Skype: ReevesSudan

       Website:   www.sudanreeves.org

*Compromising With Evil: An archival history of greater Sudan, 2007-2012  *
www.CompromisingWithEvil.org <http://www.compromisingwithevil.org/>

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