Troika’s application of opinionated and insular benchmark in resolving
South Sudan Conflict is impractical
Jan. 30 Politics, Uncategorized 4 comments      
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By: Peter Lokarlo Ngrimwa* Australia, JAN/30/2016, SSN;

Recalling the unanimous consensus reached at by two of the overbearing
yet indifferent Troika outfit, namely the United Kingdom and the
United States of America demanding that the SPLM in Opposition and the
current authorities in Juba formed a transitional government of
National Unity (TGNU) as soon as possible without first resolving the
controversial and burning issues or even making reference to the
unconstitutionality of the 28 states that the President of South Sudan
has proclaimed on the recommendation of the outrageous tribal coterie
known as the Jieeng Council of Elders (JCE).

The JCE is the tribally constituted group of egotistical and blinkered
men from the dominant Dinka ruling cluster who have regrettably become
the de facto government of South Sudan that presents a perturbing
portrait in the country today.

The president of South Sudan is under the sway and constant
surveillance of this group that did create the 28 states in the
country.

Worryingly, the duo Troika members whose individual countries normally
pride themselves on lengthy runs of constitutional practices and
centuries of liberal democracy, have today fallen prey to the
propaganda machine of the government of South Sudan in Juba, such that
their application of opinionated and insular benchmark in resolving
the South Sudan conflict does seem extremely perilous.

The White House and 10 Downing Street must understand that at the
moment, they are handling an intricate and one of the most ticklish
African political problems that emphatically lends excessive credence
to tribal extolment accompanied by intrinsically embedded and
unrestrained sense for brutality – an exploit far removed from the
contemporary practices of civilised norms.

Troika should employ the existing template (Peace accord document)
consistently and not haphazardly to rectify the woe. It must also be
emphasised that the ceasefire, demilitarization and the creation of an
interim constitution must be prioritized before the creation of a
transitional government.

Troika members and their countries must equally be informed that the
creation of the 28 states in South Sudan was designed by the JCE
coterie with a subterranean intent and content, and that is to
politically position this hegemonic tribal entity with limitless
ambition for dominance at a vantage point in an attempt to capture
power in a supposedly emerging democratic ambiance at the expiry of
the transitional government in 30 months’ time.

If the 28 states decree is implemented, the sluice-gate would be
thrown wide and a perpetual bloody conflict would ensue in the entire
country, as one ethnic community, the Dinka would have arbitrarily
curved out 12 states for themselves with all the oil resource at their
disposal, while leaving 16 states for the rest of South Sudanese that
make up the remaining 63 tribes living in the country.

The conspiracy was also designed to balkanize the legendary Greater
Equatoria region into JCE’s “manageable” enclaves, and that is
certainly a recipe for a further civil war which unacceptable and must
thus be halted.

This concealed manoeuvre by the JCE that the Troika group of countries
have yet to fully comprehend represents a real menace to the people of
South Sudan.

Hence, the false argument being trumpeted by the JCE-managed
repressive police state and its bureaucracy in South Sudan that the
creation of the 28 states in the country was a popular demand by South
Sudanese, is futile, deceptive and an idealistic postulation that does
have a counterpart in the realm and confines of integrity.

Thus far, there has been no plebiscite or referendum conducted in the
country to determine the size of South Sudanese for and against the 28
states.

This is simply a hoopla campaign mounted by the government and the JCE
to impose their unidimensional and narcissistic view on South
Sudanese.

The SPLM-IO would certainly not accept this apparent risk of rushing
into forming the TGNU without clear safeguards that ensure the
viability of the government once it is constituted for the next 30
months’ period.

Lamentably, the Ambassador of the of the UK in South Sudan has fallen
short of understanding the format of the South Sudan peace
implementation formula and the real nature of the government in Juba
and has accordingly missed the point by succumbing to hyperbolic
counsel from the regime in Juba, that the transitional government
could be formed in the country without the need for strict
implementation of the contents of the peace agreement concluded
between the SPLM-IO and the government of President Salva Kiir, and
that would still be fine.

In his unmindful comment as the official representative of the British
government in South Sudan, Mr. Timothy Morris stated to the expectant
media houses in Juba that the parties to the peace agreement should go
ahead with the implementation of the peace agreement and discuss the
shape of the country later, and that the issue of the 28 states should
not delay the implementation of the peace agreement.

Mr. Tim does seem to suggest that the peace document is of less value
as long as both parties are genuinely committed to forming a
government of National unity and that Troika has the mandate to impose
what it deems fitting to install peace in South Sudan.

The UK Ambassador should be prepared to educate South Sudanese and
name the countries in the world that are governed without a
constitution?

The Ambassador must understand that we are not dealing here with a
sort of a “Versailles Treaty” in which the victors of the war against
Germany in the WWI had the sole prerogative of dictating what the
vanquished state had to do.

This is an African problem rooted in tribal intricacies and power
rivalries that you have minimal or no clue about.

The debacle can only get resolved via the available roadmap at the
disposal of the contending parties, that is, the document of the peace
accord. The UK alongside other pertinent parties should only
superintend the implementation of the peace agreement as given and no
circumvention of its articles and clauses permitted.

After all the UK had been a party to the current shambles in South
Sudan. It is worth recalling that in 1922 in the course of its
colonial occupation of the former Sudan, the UK had imposed a rule
known as the “Closed District Ordinance”, contained in the so-called
“Southern Policy” which effectively restricted the movements of the
people of north Sudan to the southern part of the country and vice
versa, only to dismantle the bantustanization rule in 1947 which
created a much bigger problem of integration of the two parts of
Sudan.

Similarly on the 19 August 1955 a civil war had already broken out in
country prior to Sudan securing its formal political independence in
January 1956. Britain had decided to leave the mess behind and left
Sudan embroiled in gruelling civil war that had to end half a century
later, in 2005.

Today Tim Morris has the audacity to tell us how the South Sudan’s
peace accord should be implemented when his country, the UK had
desolately failed to demonstrate one sixty years ago.

Furthermore, both the British Ambassador and Mr. Duddridge, the UK
Minister for Africa Affairs who share the same view on the South
Sudan’s conflict should be seriously reminded that the peace agreement
signed in August 2015 provides among other matters, the Ceasefire
between the combating forces; the 25km radius Demilitarization of Juba
and other cities and the evacuation of hostile foreign fighting forces
in South Sudan, namely the Justice and Equality and other rebel groups
arrayed against the government of President Omar Hassan Al Bashir in
Khartoum.

Thanks to President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni of Uganda for being
familiar with the nature and mechanics of the conflict in South Sudan
as demonstrated by his order to withdraw the Ugandan military
previously deployed in South Sudan to support the government of
President Kiir from being militarily defeated by the SPLM-IO’s combat
forces.

Finally, it defeats logic to emphasize on speeding up the formation of
the transitional government as being dictated by Troika without first
ensuring the execution of the aforementioned matters.

The IGAD body and the AU should consistently focus on the
implementation of every article and clause of the agreement as
enshrined in the peace accord document and above all ask President
Kiir to rescind his decree of the 28 states for the benefit of
ushering in peace and stability in South Sudan.

Peter Lokarlo Ngrimwa*
Former lecturer,
Graduate School of Business and Law (GSBL)
RMIT University
Emily McPherson Building 13,
379 – 405 Russell Street Melbourne
VIC 3000 Melbourne
Australia.

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