South Sudan: The reasons why regime change doesn’t work
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By Longar Mathiec Wol
The problems that faces South Sudan are either made within or millions
mile away and affect the innocent citizens of South Sudan. Regardless
of the foil attempted coup according to the government description or
misunderstanding or massacre of Nuer in Juba. The songs of regime
changes continues from the initiators and implementers. Now, that the
people of South Sudan has come back to their senses and agreed to
bring peace to their country although is still shaking, we don’t know
whether the initiators of regime change will look for other avenues to
overthrow the government of South Sudan.
Yes they are trying hard those avenues through economics and social
uprising but the people of South Sudan have seen enough and I don’t
think whether they are ready to continue perusing the regime change
that goes through rough roads. The only way I know people of south
Sudan can change a regime is through ballot papers apart from that is
a destruction of the country. But are we ready to destroy what we have
been fighting for generations, almost half a century need to be
destroyed only for the interest of the few who need to retain their
positions.
Last three or more years we waged war against ourselves and now that
the unstable peace has come back, not all of us are benefiting in term
of positions that are shared among the warring parties, you and I who
were not in the government still remain out of the government; then
the question is why do we fight ourselves for the other people
positions instead of continuing building a peaceful South Sudan where
we do our own businesses and raise our children and educate them. The
only benefit I know about this peace hopefully if it work is the
silencing of the guns and some of us who their relative are lucky to
be appointed in the government go for begging and grouping and
gossiping for the whole day which is not helping us in any way.
So now the madness is almost coming to an end, but people are still
contemplating what cause the conflict and if it stops from there, what
will prevent the repeat of the same things in the future. Since we
knew or some of us knew that we were either incited within or outside
the country to kill ourselves for unknown reasons. Now we have known
the disadvantages and advantages of what to gain and what to loose.
Those who think that rebellion is the way to get the top positions in
public services is nothing but a betrayal of your people who suffered
for long.
Since we learn rebellions in the name of change is not taking us
anywhere; therefore, is time to look for another alternative way of
changing the government and that is through the ballot box. Here I am
talking of democracy as the only main that can work in 21st century.
Therefore, it will take us to why the regime change advocate outside
democracy within or outside the country hasn’t work and won’t work.
Why regime change hasn’t work is because people of South Sudan
struggle for long and they were not ready to make short cut by
overthrowing the government they struggle for long to bring to it
existences. People were busy with their social activities to rebuild
their lives that has been destroyed by the colonial regime. People
were not ready for any struggle any time soon regardless of whether
the dictatorship that has been advocated by the opposition exist or
not. It was too early for another struggle for the people of South
Sudan who were demoralized by the longer and brutal civil war in
Africa unless through democratic main.
Lack of trust from the man who led the process by the majority of the
people of South Sudan. since the leader of the opposition was one time
betrayed the people of South Sudan during the independence struggle
and kill many people to what become known as Bor massacre which make
people lost confidence hope in him regardless of the apology he made
to the people of Bor still it would have taken time for the people he
apologized to observe him and slowly regain trust with time and to see
whether to accept the apology or to live with it. But immediately the
same man has repeat the same mistake that make many people to be
reluctant in joining the second struggle.
Tribalism propaganda, the coup or whatever it’s call, immediately
after it fail the only option was tribe. So me personally I think the
tribe propaganda led to the failure in opposition side even people who
lost confidence in government remain behind assuming that they would
be victimize based on the tribe. Also, since Nuer and Dinka has been
having issues of cattle raiding and communal violent among themselves
for so long complicated the matter. People turn blind eyes to the
mistake both leaders from the government side and the opposition side
did and remain loyal to them (two leaders) regardless of the failure
both leaders had.
The mentality of Junubin won’t allow coup in South Sudan regardless of
whatever the case might be I think it will never work and if it work
it might lead toward genocide since the tribe comes to power through
coup might see itself as superior and the rest inferior. What make
President kiir’s government to continue to exist besides all the
challenges is because some people know they have voted for it. That
what I think safe it. You might have difference explanation. Another
reason I think the use of force won’t work is because we militarize
society. We have been in war for long and our experiences toward war
made people to not longer fear war since it almost becomes part of
their daily life and war seems to be like a joke so when it happened
some enjoy.
People are tired of the western countries incitement in Africa, some
of the Africans are beginning to understand that western countries
still have the indirect ideological colonization. They only accept
leader or leaders in Africa who only do what they want and when the
leader goes against their will they will come up with what is called
regime change as tool of threatening the weak government in Africa.
Now people have understand and will no longer be abide by that
negative ideologies of divided and rule, where the divided people
based on their tribes, incite them to kill themselves and when one
tribe become victorious they install it in power so that they can
access to whatever they want from that poor and weak country. Africans
knew that trick and they are tired of it.
The opposition leader is not an alternative to Salva Kiir in my own
view for a reason that they were in the same government as president
and vice president respectively for eight years. If he was to do
something good to the people of South Sudan he could have done since
he was the man in charge of South Sudan since Salva Kiir was a First
Vice President of the then Sudan government. What did he do to
convince the people that during his time he has done this and that so
that people will see him as an alternative for a position or not, he
didn’t do that. How does he expect people to choose him as alternative
with failure that is known by everyone in the country?
Riek is tribalistic in nature, when someone who had been a vice
president and a first vice president a man known as academician base
his political interest all the time on tribe. That approach made
people to think that if this person come to power than he might decide
to silence or target certain tribes in his government.
The only way for the people of the great country South Sudan is to put
aside their tribal affiliation and ask themselves tough questions and
the way forward. Democratizing our country is best way forward toward
resolving our own problems. We are a country multiethnic groups ever
in Africa; if we put our tribal loyalty aside and become loyal to our
country we will one day become strongest country in African and if
possible in the world.
The author can reached at [email protected]
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