The region in Niger quietly piloting a Boko Haram amnesty
By Edward Rackley
April 20, 2017
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The bold experiment is proving attractive, but comes fraught with dangers.

Across Diffa region, around 150 Boko Haram fighters have surrendered
since late-2016. Credit: Roland.

In mid-December 2016, in rural Diffa region on Niger’s southern border
with Nigeria, fourteen men gave themselves up to authorities. The
group said that they were former fighters of Boko Haram and that they
had abandoned their weapons in the bush.

News of this impromptu surrender from the Islamist militant group
responsible for tens of thousands of deaths and millions of
displacements came as a surprise to most in the area. But not to
regional authorities.

Since late last year, they had been quietly testing a tactic of asking
families whose children have joined Boko Haram to spread word of an
amnesty. If they surrendered, fighters were told, they would be
pardoned and assisted in rejoining their communities.

Before then, the main regional response to the brutal Islamist
militant group had been military. This has had some successes in
weakening the combatants, and the last major Boko Haram attack in
Niger in which civilians were killed was in September 2016. But in
Nigeria, where the group originated, and beyond, gruesome assaults,
abductions, and bombings of schools and markets continued.

To those in Diffa, these attacks have been shocking. But more
distressing to many has been the rate of voluntary conscription
amongst Niger’s youth. Imams and village chiefs return to one
question: “What about this savagery is attractive to our young?”
Families and leaders tussle with this issue, but many simply refuse to
countenance that those who join Boko Haram from Niger are truly
radicalised.

It was with this belief in mind – as well as an awareness of the
limits of a ground war – that the experimental amnesty plan was
hatched last year. The exact details of the “secret messaging”
campaign are unclear, but local leaders express pride in their
initiative, which they say is ongoing, and follow it closely.

As the prefect of Maïné-Soroa told me, “Governor [of Diffa Region] Dan
Dano calls every night to ask how many Boko have surrendered.”

As of late-March, the number stood at nearly 150 across Diffa.
Planning ahead

In terms of numbers, the amnesty scheme has so far proven to be
effective. The logic behind it is also clear. Uganda’s use of a
similar strategy to entice defections from the Lord’s Resistance Army
in the early-2000s is widely believed to have weakened rebel ranks.
And Diffa’s experiment comes at a time when Boko Haram is already
facing factional splintering and other difficulties.

[Making sense of Boko Haram’s different factions: Who, how and why?]

As a locally-designed and -executed initiative, it is also impressive
and promising. Often when disarmament, demobilisation and
reintegration (DDR) schemes are implemented, they are imported
internationally with little local ownership. But this is not the case
with Diffa, and other regions facing the same problem are watching the
bold experiment closely.

However, while local leaders are buoyed by progress so far, not
everyone is convinced.

Some believe that the policy is a distraction from tackling the
longer-term push factors – such as poverty and a weak state – that
lead youth to join Boko Haram in the first place. Meanwhile others
worry that funds from other more widely beneficial development
projects will be re-directed to rehabilitating former combatants.

As Niger’s Minister of Justice Marou Amadou says of ex-Boko Haram
fighters, “it costs us money to house them, to feed them”.

For his part, Governor Dano says he is not yet seeking funds to help
manage the growing caseload. His intent is to pilot the idea and, if
it proves tenable, to seek support where it is needed. But this more
reactive approach also brings with it certain risks.

At present, anticipated needs only cover the Goudoumaria reintegration
centre where vocational training and de-radicalisation programmes are
to take place over a two-year period. As in combatant DDR programmes
elsewhere, external partners will be involved.

However, if defector numbers spike with no clear plan or resources
already in place, the programme could stall. Frustrations could
escalate and deserters may revolt or even re-mobilise. This has
happened in many other DDR programmes where logistics and planning
were slow or inadequate.
Local suspicion

Another serious challenge to the amnesty comes from the fact that, at
a grassroots level, many local communities in Niger are not yet on
board with the idea. They view the deserters with suspicion and
hostility.

Unlike in Uganda, there is currently no legal framework for Diffa’s
amnesty initiative, meaning there is no official process by which
ex-combatants can gain legal status as pardoned deserters. Moreover,
some worry that those surrendering are being planted by Boko Haram.

Dano concedes that processing the defectors will take time, but
insists there are measures in place to determine threat levels.

“We cross-reference their stories, their claim to a certain village
and family, by visiting those places and confirming details. We try to
learn more about them, when they left and if witnesses saw them
attacking villages here,” he says. He also suggests that those who are
genuinely radicalised will simply ignore the offer of an amnesty.

In order to drive support for the initiative, Dano along with local
prefects and leaders have been appearing before the public. But from
all reports, these are purely declaratory rather than responsive
exercises.

This could pose a serious problem. If local leadership fails to
convince the population, it could undermine the whole endeavour. After
all, it is ultimately victims – more so than ex-combatants or state
officials – whose buy-in is essential for an amnesty to be effective.
For reconciliation and reinsertion of former fighters to be possible,
communities must be prepared to accept them back into their lives.

Yet there are currently no participatory approaches being adopted to
more closely involve communities, and many simply see the amnesty as
impunity. Furthermore, popular sentiment may harden as word spreads
that deserters could be rewarded with vocational training and
livelihoods assistance while innocent, traumatised communities get
nothing.

“We think we are diminishing the ranks of BH with this amnesty effort,
but now what are we doing with the defectors?” asks Minister Amadou.
“We aren’t prosecuting them – none of this is good for us.”
The price of peace?

The challenges and risks of Diffa’s pilot amnesty are thus clear to
see. Trying to pardon and rehabilitate former fighters under volatile
and uncertain circumstances comes fraught with dangers, especially if
the initiatives are not carefully and thoroughly financed and planned.

Meanwhile, if local communities remain resistant to the idea, the
policy could result in deepening resentment, hostility and suspicion.

However, as Boko Haram continues to terrorise Niger and the Lake Chad
region, local authorities insist that the risks of continuing with a
predominantly military approach are similarly grave.

“We cannot become Nigeria”, says Dano.

Fighting Boko Haram may involve policies that are controversial to
begin with, say local leaders, but they are ultimately necessary.

Asked how he justifies pardoning former Boko Haram militants and
spending scarce funds on their rehabilitation to those in Diffa, the
Maïné-Soroa prefect sighs. “I tell them such is the price we have to
pay for peace”.

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