It seems to me that a fully random RPS player would have exactly 50%
chance to win every game, and thus the same chance as any other player
to win a tournament. In other words, if 100 players enter a tournament,
a random player will have exactly 1% chance to win it. Or is that wrong
in some way??
I used to have an inactive link to a RPS page I planned to build on my
site, but after several years I abandoned the project. It would be very
cool to build something that tracked people's patterns and used them
against them, and I know that is very feasible, but OTOH, all that
brilliance can be semi-thwarted by such a simple counter strategy, and
that was part of why I lost interest.
Though actual human people are incapable of being 100% random, but
you'd probably have to play pretty long games to exploit unconscious
non randomness.
/Lars
On Nov 15, 2005, at 10:00, mike_go_uk wrote:
> Obviously you cannot second-guess /random/ coin flips, any more than
> you can second-guess a random RPS player. (But remember that the
> random player won't win an RPS tournament.)
>
- - - - - - - - - - - -
"He who refuses to do arithmetic is doomed to talk nonsense."
--- John McCarthy
Lars Petrus - [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://lar5.com
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