The probabilties for Clock skips:

 0 0.29577 1.00000
 1 0.37644 0.70423
 2 0.22244 0.32779
 3 0.08089 0.10534
 4 0.02022 0.02446
 5 0.00368 0.00423
 6 0.00050 0.00056
 7 0.00005 0.00006
 8 0.00000 0.00000
 9 0.00000 0.00000
10 0.00000 0.00000
11 0.00000 0.00000
12 0.00000 0.00000
13 0.00000 0.00000
14 0.00000 0.00000

- number S of skips
- probability for S skips
- probability for S or more skips

With SCC's cutoff at 20%, it looks like 2 skips are ok and 3 are not. 
Actually since I know how I scramble and how I solve, I could let me 
scramble generator remove those scrambles that will give me a lucky 
solve.

Cheers!
Stefan


--- In [email protected], sander hendrickx 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> i was doing an average on the clock...
> first 12 solves were:
> 
> 9,61 9,81 9,27 9,69 10,36 10,83 10,14 10,41 9,83 10,16
> 8,39 7,83
> (average 9,77 sec)
> 
> I already asked Stefan some time ago what he thinks is
> lucky and not lucky when solving the clock. i agreed
> with him that skipping 1 or 2 out of 14 steps isn't
> lucky since it happens a lot. i don't know the exact
> probability, but i solved plenty to know it happens a
> lot :-)
> the 7,83 time had 2 steps skipped in the front cross
> and all other steps had to be done, but of course the
> corners at the back were extremely easy too. (twice 1,
> once 10 and once 11 o' clock or something, which goes
> very very fast)
> yet i'm not sure wether i should post it or not... but
> then again, if you make sure you solve like a
> gazillion, you are sure to get an easy case from time
> to time.
> so what do you guys think should be considered lucky
> for the clock?
> 
> sander
> 
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