SustainabilitySustainable Technology for the Future

   - Silvia Rudigier <[email protected]>, Thematic
   Research

16.09.2013

Global problems such as scarce resources, climate change, and air pollution
make resource efficiency an especially significant issue. To remain
competitive in the long term, society and business – especially in
emerging-market countries – need to adopt processes that use commodities in
a more responsible manner.
[image: Sustainable Technology for the Future]

Business will need to be less reliant on fossil fuels going forward.* *Many
firms are suffering from a rise in the cost of raw materials. By adopting
production processes that use commodities in a more responsible manner,
businesses can be expected to gain competitive advantage in the global
market.

Politicians are also under increasing pressure to promote lower emissions
and waste, and to introduce stricter environmental legislation for
companies and society. Examples include fuel efficiency standards for
vehicles, the EU Energy Efficiency Directive, and China's 12th five-year
plan. In addition, politicians from emerging-market countries are now
promising to encourage companies and households to cut their energy
emissions further still. The promise to cut emissions stems partly from the
growing prosperity of the middle classes in these countries – a development
accompanied by a rise in the consumption of resources. The biggest
beneficiaries of this situation, as well as from scarce resources, will be
firms that are able to develop and commercialize new, emission-reducing,
resource-efficient technologies.
See also:

   - Putting a Price Tag on the
Environment<https://www.credit-suisse.com/publications/one-articles/news-and-expertise/2013/08/en/others-pay-the-price.html>

Significance of the Emerging Markets

The growth and the increasing prosperity of the middle class in
emerging-market countries – China especially – is resulting in increased
demand for energy and rising air pollution. In an international study,
researchers proved that average life expectancy for people in the Chinese
cities north of the Huai River is five-and-a-half years shorter than that
for people south of the river. For years, government has provided this
region with free coal for heating in the winter months; areas to the south,
meanwhile, have no free supply. People in China are worried by the
worsening air quality in the cities. Government targets such as those
contained in China's 12th five-year plan – which specifies reductions in
emissions for the coming five years – are no longer enough. Politicians are
therefore announcing proposals for further reductions in emissions.

These additional measures could amount to more than five percent of China's
current emissions by 2020, according to the International Energy Agency
(IEA). Demand for energy-efficient technologies aimed at reducing emissions
is therefore expected to be dominated by the emerging-market countries.
However, demand for this type of technology is crucially dependent on the
emerging-market countries' ability to actually implement these additional
reductions in emissions. Should this prove successful, firms with a strong
competitive position in emerging-market countries will enjoy the greatest
earnings potential. However, if environmental legislation were to be
delayed or not implemented at all, this would constitute a risk factor for
the firms affected.
Which Sectors Could Benefit?

If the IEA's scenarios are confirmed and demand for energy-efficient
technologies for reducing emissions does indeed increase, sectors such as
transportation, energy production and distribution, buildings and civil
infrastructure, industry, as well as waste and recycling using new
technologies will be the biggest beneficiaries.

In the transportation sector, the spotlight is on reducing CO2 emissions
through nationwide rules as well as a reduction in the dependence on oil.
Potential income is likely from the use of resource-efficient technologies
in batteries, lightweight materials (in transportation, for example), and
tires (labels that indicate a tire's energy efficiency, for example).

The waste and recycling sector also offers attractive growth potential, as
only a fraction of waste is collected and recycled. According to the United
Nations Environmental Program (UNEP), just ten percent of residential waste
in emerging-market countries is recycled. In view of the growth in
population and incomes, demand for waste management and recycling is
therefore especially high in the emerging markets.
Strategies for the Future

Many businesses have already begun to implement more sustainable growth
strategies and to use resources more efficiently. This enables them to save
costs, build up market position for the future, and meet the demand for
more ecological products. However, there remains a lot of scope to extend
these sustainable, resource-efficient measures – which is seen as an
opportunity for many companies. Technology firms in particular could become
market leaders as a result of innovation. What's more, politicians – above
all in the emerging-market countries – will also need to improve conditions
(incentives, support programs) for companies and be stricter when it comes
to implementing targets for reducing the consumption of resources and energy

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