Thought I'd share a few words from Bill Katz on what he learned from Johnny 
Carson:

MR. CARSON TEACHES:  

You can learn a great deal from good comedians.  They are astute observers of 
human nature, and especially human failings.  

I learned much from Johnny Carson.  He was never a warm man, but his comments 
at staff meetings often contained gems - about writing, about handling people, 
about approaching a subject.  They were often spoken with a touch of sarcasm, a 
somewhat tougher version than what you saw on the air.  One thing that Carson 
taught, and emphasized over and over, was contained in one line: "You buy the 
premise, you buy the bit."  He used it in reference to sketch writing.  If the 
audience doesn't accept the premise of the sketch, it will never accept the 
rest.  But it has remarkable application to politics.

We are going through a historic period where major actions are being taken, and 
will be taken.  In the last few months we have seen the effective socialization 
of major blocks of the American economy.  The new president promises to 
confront "global warming" on a major scale.  There is Iran.  There is the war 
on terror.

Every action we take is based on a premise, and yet it is remarkable how little 
attention is paid to the premise.  Is it correct?  Is it a fraud?  Are we 
misinformed?

Consider global warming.  The president-elect will name his environmental team 
next week, and will set it to work on solving the global-warming "crisis."  But 
in the next 48 hours a minority report will be issued in the Senate casting 
major doubt on the entire premise of the global-warming movement.  Which is 
right?  Before we commit to possibly trillions of dollars in the next 
generation to fight "global warming," shouldn't we do far more investigating of 
the premise?

Or consider the auto bailout.  What is the premise?  Why does anyone think this 
will work?  What is the basis of the thinking?

We went into Iraq based on the premise that Saddam Hussein had WMD.  There were 
surely other good reasons for our action, but when that major premise 
collapsed, so did support for the war.  The premise became wrong in the public 
eye, therefore everything after it looked wrong.

So, whenever a new public issue comes up, I immediately apply the Carson 
principle:  "You buy the premise, you buy the bit."  I ask about the premise of 
a proposed action, and it's amazing how little attention it often gets in the 
press.  In the next week, note how much attention is given to the argument 
behind the global-warming craze.  Don't hold your breath.

Johnny Carson, political scientist.  And they never gave him an honorary degree.

-- Bill Katz

How do we know that auto company bailouts will work? Or Wall Street bailouts? 
How do we know we can stop global warming? For that matter, how do we know it's 
bad? Or that it's anthropogenic? Or that it's real? 

Why do we classify CO2 as a pollutant? Did plants have any say in that 
determination?

Francis Drouillard, PE
Novato, CA 94945



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