On 26/07/2016 15:53, Dirk Hohndel wrote:
On Jul 26, 2016, at 6:16 AM, Robert Helling <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

Hi all,

On 26.07.2016, at 14:30, Robert Helling <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

I haven’t had time to read in the proceedings of the DAN workshop that was linked before. What I saw that came most closely to a recommendation was a report of a plan to do a study trying to bend subjects in a simulated fly after dive scenario. Which is not much that could be put into software. Maybe one should check the Rubicon Archive for more scientific information on the issue.


ok, I did some Rubicon search and follow up reading an the two most relevant papers seem to be

http://archive.rubicon-foundation.org/xmlui/bitstream/handle/123456789/6255/SPUMS_V9N3_4.pdf?sequence=1
and
http://archive.rubicon-foundation.org/xmlui/bitstream/handle/123456789/5611/DAN_FAD_2002.pdf?sequence=1
(in particular the executive summary).

Upshot seems to be: Very hard to asses given the low number of cases (boarding a place when you already have DCS symptoms seems to be a totally different game, though), but 12-18h limits, maybe 24h seem to be a good idea and there is no model on the marked that is able to predict this.

This seems to match my expectations.
a) made up random shit
b) semi-scientific algorithms, tuned by random numbers without any scientific basis in order to match pre-conceived notions of "this sounds about right"

/D

Be fair, it's a hugely multidimensional problem that is not easily tractable. The DAN project at experimental decompression to 8000 ft had pretty low sample sizes but there was (if I recall correctly) one serious case of DCS in the order of 12 h after repetitive diving. Was it just a single individual response? Really part of a pattern? Difficult to say. I would say a first-level approach is to use the standard models we have and predict saturation levels when flying after various surface times. Question is, what cutoff level of PN2 (or bubble size) indicates safe flying condition? Given this lack of understanding, if a recreational diver, diving 6 dives a year, with no understanding of PN2 and how to manage it, asks me this question, I would probably use the guess of 24h before flying. This diver does not understand the complexity of the problem and wants an answer. For DAN there are potentially real costs related to the consequences of their advice, so I understand their point of view.

In the past we have made extensive use of the NOAA table for surface-time-before-flying. But I have no idea what the basis was for that table and we often forget we have to take it with a pinch of salt.

Alternatively, we sometimes plan the last dive(s) to do deco as if we are doing the dive at the maximum altitude we will experience. I do this when I need to cross mountains of 2000m altitude to get home after waiting and additional 2 h. We have not had incidents yet, but we hardly have a large sample size upon which to base such a practice.
Kind regards,
willem


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