See also:

http://www.alternet.org/story.html?StoryID=15169
U.N. Charade: Timing of Iraq War in Bush's Hands from Start
By Michael T. Klare, Pacific News Service
February 12, 2003

http://www.presentdanger.org/commentary/2003/0302milplan.html
Pentagon Planning, Not Diplomacy, Sets U.S. Agenda on Iraq
By Michael T. Klare
February 17, 2003


Initial Phase of Attack Underway
U.S. Special Operations troops are already in Iraq, "hunting for 
weapons sites, establishing a communications network and seeking 
potential defectors from Iraqi military units." Pentagon officials 
are calling this the initial phase of a larger ground war. The 
Pentagon plan du jour, as touted by "insider" sources in a Washington 
Post article, calls for a series of preliminary ground actions to 
seize Iraqi territory and effectively encircle Baghdad before the 
aerial bombardment begins.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A331-2003Feb12?language=printer
Special Operations Units Already in Iraq
Weapons, Defectors, Communications Links Sought

By Thomas E. Ricks
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, February 13, 2003; Page A01

U.S. Special Operations troops are already operating in various parts 
of Iraq, hunting for weapons sites, establishing a communications 
network and seeking potential defectors from Iraqi military units in 
what amounts to the initial ground phase of a war, U.S. defense 
officials and experts familiar with Pentagon planning said.

The troops, comprising two Special Operations Task Forces with an 
undetermined number of personnel, have been in and out of Iraq for 
well over a month, said two military officials with direct knowledge 
of their activities. They are laying the groundwork for conventional 
U.S. forces that could quickly seize large portions of Iraq if 
President Bush gives a formal order to go to war, the officials said.

The ground operation points to a Pentagon war plan that is shaping up 
to be dramatically different than the one carried out by the United 
States and its allies in the 1991 Persian Gulf War. Instead of 
beginning with a massive aerial bombardment, the plan envisions a 
series of preliminary ground actions to seize Iraqi territory and 
effectively encircle Baghdad before a large-scale air campaign hits 
the capital, defense officials and analysts said.

"It's possible that ground movements could come in and occupy large 
portions of Iraq almost unimpeded," said one person familiar with 
Pentagon planning. In northern Iraq, the source said, "we might get 
to the outskirts of Tikrit without firing a shot." Tikrit, a city 
north of Baghdad, is Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's ancestral home 
and a major base of his power.

Army Gen. Tommy R. Franks, the U.S. commander for the Middle East, is 
scheduled to go to the White House today for a review of his war 
plans with Bush. Franks is expected to depart soon afterward to 
Qatar, where his Central Command has established its regional 
headquarters for an attack on Iraq.

The buildup of U.S. forces in the Persian Gulf region continues, even 
as the Bush administration pursues last-minute diplomacy to win 
support for war at the United Nations. The Pentagon announced the 
activation of nearly 40,000 more reservists yesterday, bringing the 
total to more than 150,000, the highest number since the Sept. 11, 
2001, terrorist attacks.

There are more than 135,000 U.S. troops in the vicinity of Iraq, and 
that is expected to grow by next week to 150,000 -- the number cited 
by military planners as the minimum required to launch a full-scale 
assault.

Military officials familiar with the war plan say it is possible that 
a fairly substantial ground operation could take place not after the 
air campaign, as in the Gulf War, but either before or simultaneously 
with it.

The Special Operations forces operating in Iraq have several distinct 
missions. Some are establishing relations with opposition groups and 
setting up airstrips into which U.S. forces could be flown, the 
officials said. Others are focused on preventing Iraq from launching 
missiles or drone aircraft against Israel. Those troops are believed 
to move in and out of Iraq from neighboring countries.

In addition to the ground operations, a small-scale air war against 
Iraq also continues. U.S. and British aircraft patrolling "no-fly" 
zones in northern and southern Iraq have conducted airstrikes several 
times a week for months, hitting antiaircraft sites, military 
communications lines and other government facilities. On Tuesday, 
U.S. warplanes dropped more than a dozen bombs on a medium-range 
missile launcher system in southern Iraq. Yesterday, they returned to 
bomb the radar system for that launcher.

A psychological operations campaign also has been underway, with 
leaflets and broadcasts preparing Iraqis for military action, telling 
them, among other things, that "coalition forces do not wish to harm 
the noble people of Iraq."

"The strategic war has already begun," said retired Marine Lt. Gen. 
Paul Van Riper, an expert in war planning.

Early moves of U.S. forces into northern, southern and western Iraq 
could substantially reduce the obstacles faced by the large-scale 
ground operations that would follow, military planners said. In the 
north, Kurdish militias already have achieved considerable autonomy 
while the south is overwhelmingly populated by members of the Shiite 
sect of Islam who widely resent Hussein's Sunni-dominated leadership. 
Western Iraq is largely uninhabited desert.

As a result, military planners said, U.S. ground forces could seize 
as much as 75 percent of Iraqi territory in the early phase of a war, 
leaving Hussein in control of Baghdad and the area from the capital 
north to Tikrit, bounded on the west by the Euphrates River and on 
the east by the Tigris -- a region less than 50 miles wide and about 
150 miles long.

Assaulting that area still presents a formidable challenge, 
especially in Baghdad and other cities. But by radically reducing the 
combat zone, the war plan promises to substantially lessen the impact 
on the Iraqi population. That in turn would ease humanitarian 
problems.

For many of the same reasons, people familiar with the Pentagon's war 
plan said, the military also will move quickly to secure major oil 
fields either before the formal outset of war, or as it begins.

Pentagon officials said the plan under contemplation would not 
resemble the Gulf War, where the opening signal was cruise missiles 
and bombs hitting downtown Baghdad. Rather, they said, widespread 
aerial attacks on the capital may be among the last major moves by 
the United States.

In 1991, it was essential to hit targets in and around Baghdad to cut 
communications of the national antiaircraft network. But in contrast 
to 12 years ago, the antiaircraft system in northern and southern 
Iraq has been substantially degraded by years of airstrikes. While 
Baghdad remains protected by surface-to-air missiles, many of them 
withdrawn into the capital region from the "no-fly" zones, much of 
the rest of the country is relatively open to U.S. aircraft.

Military experts cited tactical and strategic reasons for beginning 
the war in a way that almost inverts the opening of the Gulf War.

"If Saddam Hussein has the oil fields wired for destruction and is 
prepared to blow the dams and dikes of the lower Tigris and 
Euphrates, which would slow down our forces, you can't go through a 
week of bombing that gives him the chance to do that," said Andrew 
Krepinevich, a defense expert at the Center for Strategic and 
Budgetary Assessments, a Washington think tank. Also, the Bush 
administration worries that global patience with a war would begin 
running out after a few weeks of fighting. Arab governments have sent 
the message to the U.S. government that "if you do it, it's got to be 
done quickly," said Michael Eisenstadt, an expert on the Iraqi 
military at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. So it is 
advantageous, he said, for the military to win some strategic 
breathing space by achieving some of its war aims before the major 
air campaign begins.

© 2003 The Washington Post Company

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