Todd,

I am worried about all the things that can go wrong for US,

- The bombing of Perl Harbor and the declaration of war, was not an attempt 
to invade US. It was an attempt to scare US to lift the oil blockade on 
Japan. It was a gross misjudgment in US resolve and willingness to go to 
war and more in the industrial capacity to recover and wage war in the 
remote areas of Pacific.

- US involvement in Europe was key efforts in material and to save Europe 
from being occupied by the Soviets. Without this assistance the Western 
alliance would not had the resources to land in Europe and the likelihood 
that Stalin would have crushed Hitler on his own is very large.

- Germany did not have energy resources and not the time to develop the 
ones they occupied in Middle East. They were disturbed by the locals and 
the Western alliance.

- Germany who was betting on a far larger support in the countries they 
occupied, did not get it and made large mistakes in appointing puppet 
regimes. At the end the Germans was too few to control their emerging 
empire on their own. They had clear indications of local support, but when 
they got in, it was not enough to maintain peaceful occupations. They 
honestly thought that the puppet regimes had larger popular support and 
could maintain order, Instead they had to take the policing task, even in 
Italy who was one of the allies.

I am afraid that US is taking the same chances and maybe find themselves 
doing the same mistakes. Iraq is not going to use WMD, they will try to 
destroy the oil reserves to be useless for at least one or two decades. 
They will also try to do the same with the Saudi and Kuweit oil and if they 
only are half successful, they will do more harm to the world, and 
especially US, than any possible WMD.

The Iraqi population is more than 50% under 16 years old. They only know a 
very large hatred against US and the sanctions who killed so many of their 
friends. They are also well indoctrinated and that is very powerful. How 
can US even dream of a US friendly democracy or even a sustainable puppet 
regime? I cannot belive that the US government themselves think they will 
be able to do what they want the world and the US population to belive. 
Even if US initially can limit the destruction of the oil fields, they take 
a risk of continuous sabotage from a widespread resistance movement. This 
resistance movement will spread to other oil producers and the most 
effective target will be the oil production. With only a swing production 
capacity of 2,5 billion barrels per day, it does not take much to bring the 
world into a very deep recession and problems in maintaining war efforts.

In the long run I do not believe in a development in US that would move 
towards a Bush dictatorship and I agree with your points. I do belive in 
that the American people never could be domesticated and I also believe 
that this is the case in many countries. It is however a large risk for 
something like a third world war, different than the previous ones of 
course. The world population is now beginning to see US as the largest 
threat to world peace and maybe they are right. Before US have change their 
policies and restored the democracy, US and the world will have problems of 
a disastrous magnitude. The Genie is out of the bottle and will be 
difficult to put back.

It is not the world doctrine "coup" I am worried about, it is the chain of 
events that it will start.

Hakan


It is too many things

At 01:46 AM 2/21/2003 -0500, you wrote:
>Hakan,
>
>I think you need not worry terribly long about a world doctrine "coup." The
>global perspective relative to my nation will not long last as being one of
>a moral and pricipled "lighthouse"of free nations at the rate she is going
>and at the helm of her present leadership.
>
>I'm greatly concerned that the previous "isolationist" policy of our present
>administration will quickly become a reality, but one of isolationism as a
>result of the global politic disassociating itself due to the attempts of
>dominance and control, inclusive of the corporate sector.
>
>Other nations are worn weary of having to always deliberate what the
>repercussion of US response to any thought process or recourse will be, so
>much so that their path is not one of self direction, but helmed by US
>disposition, disgruntlement and practiced disenfranchisement.
>
>The attempt to buy Turkey's consent with guarantees of monetary aid to
>compensate for any economic disruption caused by a war with Iraq is but one
>of the most recent incidents.
>
>As for the program, it was a well constructed, factual and historical piece.
>What I found was the emotion that it tended to stir in those who viewed it.
>Many have forgotten the way the Persian Gulf war ended and how the present
>situation has evolved as a continuation of a previous administration's
>decision to withdraw its support for a definitive end.
>
>I see two primary resultsof the program's airing (and viewing):
>
>1) an acquantance (or reacquaintance) with the behind the scenes history (as
>it was titled). Unfortunately the "history" only went back 11 years and
>didn't broach the decade of US contribution to Iraq power prior to the
>Persian Gulf War.
>
>2) a (re)stirring of the emotion of regret for the fact that the US withdrew
>from the 1991 action and left thousands to face slaughter as a result of
>reprisals.
>
>However, the impossible part for anyone to identify with the piece is any
>justification for military action in present terms, beyond the playing upon
>old sentiments. The administration's position for this particular stance was
>reiterated throughout. Yet not once was any justification, predicated upon
>the US' own criteria, given.
>
>But that is not what the program was intended to do - only give "inside"
>historical background.
>
>Yet again, that is what the entire world (short of the US) demands.
>
>Unfortunately, I don't seriously believe that my country can provide
>anything but more assertions, allegations and press releases of incredulous
>disbelief, (waving years old documents and assertions) with its greatest
>stock and faith being placed in either the hope that military intervention
>will yield the "proofs" that it has said already exist and that at minimum
>the US populace will be forgiving if nothing becomes evidentiary in the
>aftermath of an invasion.
>
>No doubt many will use September 11th as justification for "forgiveness" (or
>simply justification) whether there be any finding or not.
>
>I'm afraid that no matter what anyone thinks or believes of the present Iraq
>leadership, my country's leadership is perfectly willing to sell this nation
>down the river in the hopes that at minimum national opinion will win the
>day.
>
>And while this nation is not led by "focus groups," it is unfortunately
>presently being led more by anger, desperation and retribution, rather than
>simple fact.
>
>And should all five carrier air wings be "employed" in the irradication of
>Iraqis? The US will have isolated itself even further, to the point that we
>may quickly become (as Europeans and others already greatly perceive us) the
>greatest threat to global peace that the world has yet seen....every bit the
>threat that communism was once perceived to be.
>
>A complete reversal of the pendulum....
>
>Todd Swearingen
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Hakan Falk" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>To: <biofuel@yahoogroups.com>
>Sent: Thursday, February 20, 2003 9:10 PM
>Subject: Re: [biofuel] PBS - The War Behind Closed Doors
>
>
> >
> > Dear Todd,
> >
> > I read trough the material and since I am not in US, I have to wait
> > to the 25th to view it.
> >
> > What I have read is very frightening and dangerous. I really hope that
> > they will be stopped, but fear that this will take some time and
>suffering.
> > Being at my age I might not live to see it.
> >
> > I have very large doubts that 4% of the worlds population, even if all
> > of them were united, could in the long run pull of any world dominance
> > doctrine. Even if they could balance the resistance at home with support
> > and participation abroad, it would still be only around 5% of the world
> > population. It is many weak and naive points in the doctrine. One of the
> > fundamentals is that the world should be democratized. If this would
> > be the case, who says that the majorities in the democracies will side
> > with US interests and opinions at the end.
> >
> > As in WWII, energy resources will be the key and this time US will
> > find themselves very vulnerable. Maybe they will have to abandon this
> > about democracies, to look after their own interests. If we for a moment
> > strip out all the horror from WWII and only look at the grand strategies,
>it
> > is many parallels.
> >
> > I want to see the program before I go further and the above is only my
> > reaction and reflections, that in my mind are attached to any superiority
> > doctrine. It is scary!!!
> >
> > Hakan
> >
> >
> > At 07:33 PM 2/20/2003 -0500, you wrote:
> > >I would say this bears repeating. It runs this eve...
> > >...............................
> > >   On Feb. 20, 2003  "The War Behind Closed Doors" examines the hidden
> > >   story of what is really driving the Bush administration to war with
>Iraq.
> > >   Are the publicly reported reasons - Saddam's weapons of mass
> > >   destruction and U.S. strategic interests in the Middle East - only
> > >   masking the real reason for war?
> > >   FRONTLINE unravels a story known only to Washington insiders.
> > >   http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/
> > >
> > >   Find Your Local  [USA]  Television Schedule
> > >     Enter your zip code  -OR-
> > >     Select a State or Territory
> > >   http://www.pbs.org/whatson/index.html
> > >



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