http://www.christian-aid.org/indepth/0305cawreport/fuellingpoverty.htm
Christian Aid Week Report

Fuelling poverty - Oil, war and corruption

* Fuelling poverty - Oil, war and corruption (complete report 1.3MB PDF)
* More information on downloading PDF files

'All Iraqi military and civilian personnel should listen carefully to 
this warning. In any conflict your fate will depend on your action. 
Do not destroy oil wells, a source of wealth that belongs to the 
Iraqi people.'
George W Bush, US President, in his 'ultimatum' speech to the Iraqi 
leadership, 17 March 2003

'The oil revenues, which people falsely claim the US and UK 
government want, should be put in a trust fund for the Iraqi people, 
administered through the UN.'
Tony Blair, UK Prime Minister, during a Commons debate on war with 
Iraq, 18 March 2003

'You've got to go where the oil is. I don't think about it [political 
volatility] very much.'
Dick Cheney, US vice president and former CEO of oil-services company 
Halliburton (1). Speech to Panhandle Producers and Royalty Owners 
Association annual meeting, 1998

* Fuelling poverty - Oil, war and corruption (complete report 1,342KB PDF)
http://www.christian-aid.org/indepth/0305cawreport/cawreport03.pdf

Introduction
The iconic image from the latest war in Iraq will undoubtedly be the 
toppling of Saddam Hussein's 20ft statue in Paradise Square, on the 
day US marines arrived in Baghdad. But two other striking images from 
that conflict could have equally eloquent things to say about Iraq's 
future. One is of British troops standing guard over the oil fields 
near Basra in the early hours of the war, while wells were burning. 
The other is of those same troops, days later, trying to keep order 
as they distributed meagre supplies of bottled water and other aid to 
a desperate population.

The contrast between these two military exercises - in terms of 
resources, effort and planning - was startlingly clear. And the 
contrast is instructive, in a wider context, when considering the 
relationship between the world's most sought-after natural resource 
and the people on whom it most directly impacts. Put simply, when oil 
is involved the needs of ordinary people - such as the need for a 
secure supply of clean water - usually come a very distant second.

Indeed, all available evidence indicates that the presence of oil in 
a developing country makes life worse, not better, for the people who 
live there - particularly the poorest people. That is what this 
report is about.

In global terms, it can be argued that oil and the oil economy are 
all but irrelevant to the world's poorest people - the very people 
for whom Christian Aid seeks to speak - as they struggle to live 
their lives.They do not own cars, they often have no access to 
electricity and their fuel comes from animal dung or dwindling 
supplies of wood. Again, their greatest need is likely to be water.

It can also be said that the global economy's addiction to oil - its 
drug of choice - has done more than anything else to skew the world's 
priorities. The craving - just to get us through our daily lives - is 
such that we will go to almost any lengths to get hold of the stuff. 
Moreover, like an addict in need of a fix, we don't care who gets 
hurt along the way. Global climate change, for example, already 
wreaks its most serious damage on developing countries and seems 
certain to intensify in the years ahead.

The UK's dependency on oil was graphically illustrated by the fuel 
protests of September 2000. Within weeks of supplies being seriously 
disrupted, the country was in danger of grinding to a halt and even 
the government was threatened. But before the Iraq crisis gained 
serious momentum, people here barely gave a second thought to where 
fuel comes from and the misery that its exploitation can create. We 
might think hard about what to put in our trolley when going around 
the local supermarket, balancing the ethical implications of one item 
of shopping over another. Yet when we go to fill up the car 
afterwards, how many of us wonder about the impact of that purchase?

This report shows that for many developing countries, oil reserves 
are more likely to prove a curse than a blessing. New research from 
Christian Aid - along with important studies from some of the world's 
leading development specialists, and research by both the World Bank 
and the International Monetary Fund - indicates that poor countries 
dependent on oil revenues have a higher incidence of four great and 
interconnected ills. Oil, in these conditions, becomes the key 
ingredient in a 'lethal cocktail' of:

* greater poverty for the vast majority of the population
* increased corruption
* a greater likelihood of war or civil strife
* dictatorial or unrepresentative government.

In cases where oil has been the cause of wars, or has funded the 
prolonging of wars, it can justifiably be regarded as 'blood oil'.

Christian Aid research reveals that at least US$20 billion (£13 
billion) worth of public money from the rich world has gone into 
supporting oil exploration and exploitation in the past decade. How 
many British taxpayers realise that some of their money has gone, and 
continues to go, into pump-priming this misery?

In Iraq, vast oil reserves - at some 112 billion barrels, second only 
to Saudi Arabia(2) - are seen as the panacea to all that blighted 
country's ills. Analysts have estimated that, once rejuvenated, the 
Iraqi oil industry could produce up to six million barrels per 
day(3). At 2001 prices, this would mean an average £100 million per 
day for Iraq's much talked-about reconstruction. This is not 
Afghanistan, the argument goes, and once the oil industry is put back 
on its feet, there will be sufficient revenue to breathe new economic 
life into a nation devastated by three major wars, UN sanctions and 
decades of dictatorial rule.

If so, that industry has a serious job to do. In its heyday, around 
the time the Ba'ath Party nationalised it in 1972, Iraq's oil 
industry pumped up to 3.5 million barrels of oil per day(4). Even in 
1991 - after the ruinous Iran-Iraq war and in the year of the first 
Gulf war - Iraq ranked 50th out of 130 countries in the United 
Nations' Human Development Index. By 2000 it had fallen to 126th out 
of 174. Even before the latest war, some 19 per cent of the 
population did not have safe drinking water, more than 46 per cent of 
its people are illiterate and almost one quarter of under-fives are 
underweight.(5)

Iraq, then, has already drunk a deep draught of oil's 'lethal 
cocktail'. As this report shows, merely pumping more oil will by no 
means guarantee that the situation will improve. Case studies from 
other oil-producing countries show that unless a dramatically 
different approach to using oil revenues is adopted, the situation 
could continue to decline.

Angola - where oil revenues have fuelled a 30-year civil war, from 
which the country is only just emerging. Now, up to 90 per cent of 
the government's revenue comes from oil. In Angola, almost two-thirds 
of the population have no access to safe drinking water and the 
country now ranks as one of the world's poorest - 151 out of 173 in 
world human-development tables. Of the $5 billion the Angolan 
government receives in oil revenues every year, it is estimated that 
more than US$1 billion goes missing.

Sudan - a country still gripped by a civil war that has been fuelled, 
prolonged and part-financed by oil. The two sides are currently 
locked in peace talks, but one of the most acrimonious issues at the 
heart of negotiations is the sharing of oil wealth between the 
government-controlled north and the south of the country, where much 
of the oil is located. At the same time, international companies, 
including two from Europe, continue to exploit Sudan's oil.

Kazakhstan - formally part of the Soviet Union, an emerging economy 
with massive oil revenues but also shocking poverty. The country's 
weak infrastructure is crumbling and the ordinary people of 
Kazakhstan have the least access to safe water of all the people of 
the former Soviet Union. In spite of the billions brought in by oil, 
and a special fund set up with oil revenues, one-third of the 
population live below the UN's US$1 per day absolute poverty line. 
Meanwhile, the autocratic president has put his relatives in most of 
the positions of power and he directly administers the oil fund. He 
is the richest man in Kazakhstan.

How the Iraqi people benefit from oil revenue will depend, according 
to our evidence, on how open, transparent and justly distributed the 
spoils of oil exploitation are in the future. If the crimes and 
misdemeanours of the past - where vast revenues funded a corrupt and 
totalitarian regime - are not to be repeated, Iraq's people must be 
allowed to scrutinise the spending of oil money.

So Iraq, as well as providing an example of what can go wrong in an 
oil economy, also offers a vital opportunity to demonstrate that 
pumping oil does not have to mean pumping more misery. If that 
opportunity is seized, then it would offer hope that the people of 
other oil-producing countries could also see a better future.

Christian Aid is therefore calling for a Global Oil Deal, a chance 
for the world to get it right on oil. An international commission 
should be established to review the overwhelming evidence that oil 
wealth is driving countries into poverty and to draw up new, global 
regulations to reverse this injustice. Poorer, oil-producing 
countries demonstrably cannot do this on their own.

Among the measures that should be adopted, we srecommend:

* regulations requiring oil companies to publish what they pay to 
oil-producing countries
* transparency of oil money in these countries' budgets, with 
public-sector contributions to governments being used as the lever to 
achieve this
* a proportion of oil revenue being held in trust for the people of the country
* a system of restrictions and embargos within the oil trade to 
restrict the sale of 'blood oil'.

The opportunity is there, possibly the last opportunity. The dangers 
of continuing to get it wrong, as highlighted in this report, must 
not be ignored.

* Fuelling poverty - Oil, war and corruption (complete report 1,342KB PDF)
http://www.christian-aid.org/indepth/0305cawreport/cawreport03.pdf

* Joseph Fiennes launches Christian Aid oil and poverty report /12.05.03
http://www.christian-aid.org/news/media/pressrel/030512p1.htm

* Poorer nations cursed by oil, says Christian Aid /12.05.03
http://www.christian-aid.org/news/media/pressrel/030512p.htm

1. Prospect of oil riches speeds the wheels of war, Sunday Business 
Post, 28 October 2001.
2. BP statistical review of world energy, June 2002.
3. Iraq's beleaguered oil industry, BBC News Online, 23 January 2003.
4. BP statistical review of world energy, June 2002.
5. UNDP Human Development Index 2000.
6. UNDP Human Development Index 2002.


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