Memo exposes Israeli war plan against Iran
16 August 2012
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2012/aug2012/iran-a16.shtml

Families of Slain Iranian Nuclear Scientists Sue Israel, US, and UK
Published on Wednesday, August 15, 2012 by Common Dreams
http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2012/08/15-4

Saudi king sits next to Ahmadinejad
Analysts describe it as an important gesture
Reuters
Published: 18:15 August 15, 2012
<http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/saudi-arabia/saudi-king-sits-next-to-ahmadinejad-1.1062344>

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http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article32190.htm

Ex-CIA Analyst:

The Real Reason Israel Wants To Strike Iran Before US Election

By Michael Kelley

August 15, 2012 "Business Insider" -- For months senior Israeli 
officials have said the "window of opportunity" for attacking Iran's 
nuclear facilities is "before the U.S. presidential election in 
November" because Iran's nuclear facilities will soon be in fortified 
underground bunkers out of the reach of Israeli bombs. 

But former CIA analyst Ray McGovern believes that delaying Iran's 
nuclear capabilities is not the primary concern of a military strike, 
but simply the pretext.

"The Israelis want to pretend the Iranians are building up their 
nuclear capabilities, want to zap them between now and November 6, 
and the chances are at least even that they will try to do that 
thinking the U.S. will come in with both feet," McGovern told us.

McGovern thinks that "Israel does not fear a nuclear weapon in Iran's 
hands" because Israel already has a nuclear arsenal and the threat of 
Iran having a couple of nukes "would not be all that credible except 
in a limited, deterrent way."

That deterrent would be important, however, because "since 1967 the 
Israelis have been able to pretty much do whatever they want in that 
area" and a nuclear Iran would bring a "different strategic situation 
because, for the first time, Israel would have to look over their 
shoulder."

So even though Israel's leaders don't truly fear imminent nuclear 
annihilation, McGovern says they "would like to end any possibility, 
however remote, that anytime soon Iran could have that kind of very 
minimal deterrent capability."

McGovern believes that Israel's primary goal is to "have Iran 
bloodied the same way we did to Iraq" so that Iran "would no longer 
be able to support Hamas and Hezbollah in Gaza, Lebanon, and 
elsewhere."

And the reason Nov. 6 is an important date, McGovern wrote in a 
recent article, is that "a second-term Obama would feel much freer 
not to commit U.S. forces on Israel's side" and "might use U.S. 
leverage to force Israeli concessions on thorny issues relating to 
Palestine."

There is serious doubt that Israel could handle a full-fledged war 
with Iran, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has admitted 
that he would prefer the U.S. and its superior firepower lead any 
attack. 

A potential loss of leverage after Nov. 6 would explain the current 
drumbeat of war being played by Netanyahu and Israeli Defense 
Minister Ehud Barak.

BI contributor ForexCrunch points out that Netanyahu was 
recently granted greater powers within the government, a text message 
system is being tested in case of retaliation to an attack, the Bank 
of Israel is preparing the financial system for an Israeli strike in 
Iran, France is preparing to evacuate its citizens from Israel, and 
the Israeli media have published a flurry of articles suggesting a 
military strike is imminent. 

"Netanyahu feels, with good reason, that he's got Obama in a corner 
for these next three months," McGovern said. "If he's right about 
Obama jumping in with both feet-and I think Obama would do that-even 
though Israeli generals are advising that it could be a disaster, 
[then] Netanyahu is willing to try it."

For its part the Obama administration has been doing everything it 
can-short of saying that it would not back an Israeli strike-to delay 
an attack. Beyond offering firepower in exchange for waiting until 
after the election, U.S. officials informed Israel that staunch 
American ally Saudi Arabia vowed to take down any Israeli jet flying 
in its airspace.

And five senior officials-including Secretary of State Hillary 
Clinton and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta-have visited Israel this 
month to insist there is still time for diplomacy, in the form of 
talks and heavy sanctions, to prevent a physical attack.

But, as McGovern notes, it may not be up to the U.S. at this point.

"We are at war with Iran right now-not only the cyber attacks, but 
the special forces inside Iran and the assassination of the Iranian 
scientists," McGovern said. "The only question is whether that will 
extend to an attempt to destroy their nuclear-development facilities, 
and that's up to Israel."


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