Ulrich Bangert wrote:
Warren and John,

my point has not been to judge who has to be interested in what. My point
has only been to use the right terms for it. Let me give an example: John
uses the term

...but I am more concerned with ... and stability over time

Well, stability over time is what exacly is displayed in a tau-sigma-diagram
of an oscillator. Since only a few words before he is saying that he is NOT
intersted into Allan Deviation plots, then he is perhaps interested into
something else?

Yes. Sigma-Tau plots of the Allan Deviation fame (with friends) addresses the instability of the noise part of things. For crystal oscillators and other non-atomic oscillators "linear" factors in frequency drift is not best specified, described or measured using that method, which was invented purely to be able to handle the phase noise side of things, not the slow frequency drift.

As for frequency drift, it has been shown that using a model of

f(t) = A*ln(B*t+1)

or for some cases

f(t) = A*ln(B*t+1) + C*ln(D*t+1)

best models the frequency drift properties. Notice that the drift rate is not constant but rather

d(t) = AB / (B*t + 1)

This is not very well handled by the Allan Deviation calculations, so it needs to be estimated and removed from the data before hitting the Allan Deviation core.

Estimating A and B is fairly trivial if assuming t = 0 for the first drift sample and then let t be tau for the next drift sample.

Once stable values for A and B is established, the drift properties can be scetched out into the future.

As for the drift chaning direction, this comes from the case when A and C has different signs. All this is covered in literature.

For a complete picture of frequency stability, "linear" or mechanical changes, environmental changes and noise values all needs to be combined. Just looking at the Allan Deviation plot is as foolish as just looking at the frequency drift. The experienced designer may however know for which tau-range either of them is expected to dominate, and thus cheat a bit in the analysis.

Cheers,
Magnus

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