On 11/09/2014 10:54 PM, Chris Albertson wrote:
On Sun, Nov 9, 2014 at 12:45 PM, Bob Camp <[email protected]> wrote:

Hi

The main point is that NTP picks *one* source from among it’s batch of
inputs and uses that. The ADEV of the output can be no better than the ADEV
of the output.


The statement above is not correct.  NTP does not select just one clock.
The statement below is correct and is  what NTP actually does.   If you
look at the output from "ntpstat" you might think NTP selects one clock but
internally it's not going that.  The display is misleading.

In the case of an ensemble of clocks combined with a better approach the
ADEV of the output can be better than the ADEV of the best clock in the
group.


It's best to read this http://www.eecis.udel.edu/~mills/ntp/html/warp.html

In simple terms it searches for consensus range of time where all the error
bars of the various clock overlap and then eliminate clocks who d't agree
with the consensus.  Of those still "in" it figures out and kind of
weighted average.

I think you could do the same thing.  First find the set of 10MHz
oscillators who are in phase with each other to within some statistical
limit and then you compute the weighted average phase



Maybe start with "Clock Select Algorithm".


Free-running oscillators won't be agreeing on phase. As they have different independent frequency that we observe without steering, they won't agree on phase. NTP on the other hand assumes that the sources is sources of UTC, and thus have one way or another been coordinated with that unifying phase, then and only then it makes sense to compare the phase of the individual sources, but it's not really independent "clocks".

What you can do is to have a set of free-running oscillators, use them to build a ensemble paper-clock average, which when weighing them against the stability of the ensemble clock the individual stability will expose itself, and that ensemble clock will have some weighted frequency, and the individual clocks offset from that average frequency would be known, and momentary phases and prediction of those phases into the future can be done, and well deviations from that gives new info.

However, the average frequency won't be a true frequency, and if the clocks is way to similar, there will be considerable "common mode" effect from the environment, but it will be some improved stability in there.

If you compare it to some outside clock, long-term frequency and phase adjustments can be done to align it up to some time-scale, and that source would also give a measure of the ensemble stability and precision.

This is similar to how EAL is a ensemble-clock out of about 450 atomic clocks, and that a few of them is considered "phase-accurate" is used to correct into the TAI clock.

Cheers,
Magnus
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