Hi Martin,

On 11/02/2016 09:11 AM, Martin Burnicki wrote:
There's now a paper with an analysis of the problem available:
http://www.gps.gov/systems/gps/performance/2016-UTC-offset-anomaly-impact.pdf

Many thanks for that link.

Some background can be found in my report:
http://www.rubidium.se/~magnus/papers/GPSincidentA6.pdf

Martins email with details to the list is also good background, which well reflects the high degree of input that Meinberg provided as input to the USCG CGSIC/NAVCEN.

When I wrote my report, I did not have all the hard facts available, but these folks have access to data which may be hard to find even if published.

In my report I propose that algorithms shall be described to make GPS receivers more resilient, and that the GPS control segment shall include data checks to validate uploads. It is with great satisfaction that I find that both these is included in the recommendations that their paper proposes.

I have seen one proposed algorithm for improving resilience, and I provided feedback on it. The basic flaw the proposed algorithm had a focus only on the issue of data. This is indeed a good thing to discriminate and look at. However, doing it single-minded would potentially make the situation worse. Announcements also needs to be discriminated based on wildly incorrect data. The article still focuses on the data-set fit interval, which also needs to be honored but also seems to acknowledge the parameter range invalidation. I think it can be further improved.

Details aside, we can look forward to an improved GPS system and improved GPS signal specification. For the later, we shall start to ask receiver-vendors for their time-plan to upgrade receiver firmware to include those improved algoritms, and this is essentially the third recommendation in my report.

There is a certain amount of politics in this naturally, some of it quite understandable in that they want to defend the views of the GPS system. Some wordings is maybe toning impact down a little more than I think it wise, but for many aspects several important services was indeed not affected, such as navigation (if correctly implemented using only GPS-time in receivers). I think that 36 years of operation, a problem every blue moon is not really a big problem, it is if it is not taken good care of. While I am not yet fully satisfied, I see this as a good step in the right direction.

Best Regards,
Magnus
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