This is precisely the scenario even a short GPS blackout of 1-2 weeks would 
cause.   Its not that GPS is not the finest time transfer system ever devised.  
 Its that with the loss of legacy systems we’ve lost the ability to degrade 
gracefully.

With a eLORAN system cell networks during a prolonged outage would probably 
degrade to 3G,  but they would still be up.   No you cant stream HD video or 
play GTA Online X,  but talk,text email and Facebook would still work Time 
transfer for most applications would still work.  The HFT boyos on Wall St 
would be SOL.  Not sure how to evaluate that eventuality.


People like US need to educate political and business leadership on the need 
for BACKUPS to GPS mainly because things like the Carrington Event have 
happened before and WILL happen again. 

   And having terrestrial systems mean that you can get techs onsite to repair 
by horse if necessary unlike a space based system where some idiot retired the 
fleet of repair trucks. So the only remaining option is to launch new ones.


On Sep 8, 2018, at 10:25 AM, jimlux <[email protected]> wrote:

> On 9/7/18 10:05 PM, John Reid wrote:
> Hi all,
> discussion of how to keep accurate time without access to GPS seems very
> on topic to me.
> These people involved in major catastrophe ('end of the world' as you
> put it) scenarios have a wealth of experience in other ways of keeping
> accurate time.


Actually, they don't necessarily have a wealth of experience, because they may 
have marched themselves down a path where they have a *requirement* for much 
better timing than they realize, because it is so easy and cheap to get good 
time today.

Imagine this scenario - you're a bank, and you batch process checks and 
deposits in one physical location, so you don't much care about when the check 
was written or the deposit made.  Then you move to a distributed system across 
the US, where the reconciliation is done on the basis of the date of the 
transaction - still probably ok, because there are no transactions during 
non-business hours, so as long as you reconcile at 1AM, if transaction time 
stamps are off by 5 minutes, it doesn't matter.


Now say "we're going to charge you, the customer a fee, if your balance goes 
negative" and go to 24/7 operations, where transactions are journaled 
immediately, rather than batch processed at night  If a deposit that was made 
at 12:00 (but timestamped 12:05)  is followed by a withdrawal made at 12:03 
(but timestamped 12:00), you get unfairly charged the overdraft fee.

For small problems, banks have ways to "unwind" errors.  But if it becomes a 
systemic thing that's a problem.

So the bank sets up GPSDOs at each transaction point - problem solved.

Until GPS fails.



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