RE: Final Exam

[Stanley Cohen]

John, I calculate an even higher "chance rate." There 4x4x4=64 events in the outcome space. In four of the events (assume tires labeled 1,2,3,4)--(1,1,1), (2,2,2),(3,3,3),(4,4,4)--the jury finds them innocent. Thus 4/64=.0625.   Is my logic gone astray somewhere?   Best, Stan     >>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<< "If you're going through hell, keep going."                               - Winston Churchill   Stanley H. Cohen, PhD Professor & Interim Associate Chair Faculty Senate Chair, 2002-2003 Department of Psychology West Virginia University 1220 Life Sciences Building Morgantown, WV 26506-6040 E-Mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.as.wvu.edu/psyc/Faculty/SCohen/index.htm Tel. No.: 304-293-2001x31641 Fax: 304-293-6606 >>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<< >>> [EMAIL PROTECTED] 12/1/2004 10:42:36 AM >>>   Of course, there is a non-trivial probability of choosing the same tire by chance. Nearly 16 times out of 1000 (from � * � * �) lying students would all agree on the same tire. Scenes we�d like to see: The jury finds you INNOCENT, p = .016 J   ============================================ John W. Kulig Professor of Psychology Plymouth State College Plymouth NH 03264 ============================================ -----Original Message----- From: Gary Klatsky [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Wednesday, December 01, 2004 9:37 AM To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences Subject: FW: Final Exam   A cute parable for this time of year   Gary J. Klatsky, Ph. D. Director, Human Computer Interaction M.A. Program   Department of Psychology                [EMAIL PROTECTED] Oswego State University (SUNY)       http://www.oswego.edu/~klatsky 7060 State Hwy 104W                      Voice: (315) 312-3474 Oswego, NY 13126                           Fax:   (315) 312-6330   All of us who are concerned for peace and triumph of reason and justice must be keenly aware how small an influence reason and honest good will exert upon events in the political field.                                                                      Albert Einstein     At Duke University, there were four sophomores taking Chemistry and all of them had an 'A' so far.  These four friends were so confident that the weekend before finals, they decided to visit some friends and have a big party.  They had a great time, but after all the hearty partying; they slept all day Sunday and didn't make it back to Duke until early Monday morning.  Rather than taking the final then, they decided that after the final, they would explain to their professor why they missed it.  They said that they visited friends but on the way back, had a flat tire.  As a result, they missed the final. The professor agreed they could make up the final the next day.  The guys were excited and relieved.  They studied that night for the exam.  He placed them in separate rooms and gave them a test booklet.  They quickly answered the first problem, worth five point! s.  Cool, they thought! Each one, in separate rooms, thought this is going to be easy. Then they turned the page.  On the second page was written:  For 95 points: Which tire             --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To unsubscribe send a blank email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To unsubscribe send a blank email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: archive@jab.org To unsubscribe send a blank email to [EMAIL PROTECTED]