I can come close:
"Since all models are wrong the scientist must be alert to what is
importantly wrong." (p. 792)

Box, G. E. P. (1976). Science and Statistics. Journal of the American
Statistical Association, 71, 791-799.

I can send a copy of the paper if you like.

Joe

Joseph J. Horton Ph. D.
Box 3077
Grove City College
Grove City, PA 16127
 
724-458-2004
 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
In God we trust. All others must bring data.
-----Original Message-----
From: David Epstein [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Monday, March 27, 2006 3:12 PM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences
Subject: in search of "All models are wrong..." quotation[Spam score:
8%][Scanned]

Anyone happen to have this book?

   _Robustness in Statistics_, R.L. Launer and G.N. Wilkinson,
   Editors. New York: Academic Press, 1979.

It contains a chapter by George Box called "Robustness in the strategy
of scientific model building."  And the chapter is the source of a
well-known quotation, variously rendered as:

"All models are wrong, some are useful."  (Ugh.  Comma splice.)
"All models are wrong, but some are useful."
"All models are wrong; some models are useful."

What's the correct version?

thanks,
David Epstein
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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