When you say "if you happen to be the one in ten thousand who does die as a side effect", that means something only after the fact -- if you know that it has happened. Before the fact, you're evaluating relative risks: the risk of dying from a disease and the risk of dying from the treatment of it. In those terms, being one of the ten thousand is outweighed by the greater risk of dying from the disease.
On Apr 14, 2009, at 6:28 PM, Michael Smith wrote: > Paul Brandon wrote: > Or what if you're one of the 5 who would die in a bathtub fall. > Would you quit bathing? > It's post hoc reasoning. > > Perhaps you can explain a bit more about what you mean? > > --Mike > --- > To make changes to your subscription contact: > > Bill Southerly ([email protected]) Paul Brandon Emeritus Professor of Psychology Minnesota State University, Mankato [email protected] --- To make changes to your subscription contact: Bill Southerly ([email protected])
