Thanks, just wasn't sure what you meant by post-hoc

--Mike

On Tue, Apr 14, 2009 at 6:21 PM, Paul Brandon <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> When you say "if you happen to be the one in ten thousand who does die as a
> side effect", that means something only after the fact -- if you know that
> it has happened. Before the fact, you're evaluating relative risks: the
> risk of dying from a disease and the risk of dying from the treatment of it.
> In those terms, being one of the ten thousand is outweighed by the greater
> risk of dying from the disease.
>
>  On Apr 14, 2009, at 6:28 PM, Michael Smith wrote:
>
>  Paul Brandon wrote:
> Or what if you're one of the 5 who would die in a bathtub fall. Would you
> quit bathing?
> It's post hoc reasoning.
>
> Perhaps you can explain a bit more about what you mean?
>
> --Mike
>
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>   Paul Brandon
> Emeritus Professor of Psychology
> Minnesota State University, Mankato
> [email protected]
>
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