In a message dated 2/27/2001 7:24:28 AM Pacific Standard Time,
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:


two and a half million adolescents have taken public "virginity" pledges,
in which they promise to abstain from
>sex until marriage. This paper explores the effect of virginity pledges on
the transition to first intercourse. On
>one hand, we show that adolescents who pledge, controlling for all of the
usual characteristics of adolescents
>and their social contexts that are associated with the transition to sex,
are much less likely than adolescents who
>do not pledge, to have intercourse. The delay effect is substantial and
almost impossible to erase.


And I will reply in public, that numbers like 2,000,000 represent an
extraordinary claim that is very hard to scientifically verify.  How many of
these adolescents actually follow through?  

I would like to see some realistic numbers on this.  Otherwise this is just
an unsubstantiated claim.

Nancy Melucci
ELAC

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