Seems to me that both of those two alternative explanations can be ruled out by the graph showing the water usage pattern from the previous evening.

Sent from my iPhone

On May 1, 2010, at 11:16 PM, "Jim Clark" <[email protected]> wrote:

Hi

I saw this a few weeks ago ... great graph! It has been many years so I cannot retrieve the appropriate terminology, but data appears to have many properties of quasi-experimental designs a la Cook & Campbell. So a number of causal conclusions appear likely (to varying degrees), including: (1) Edmonton (Canadian, all, ...?) hockey fans urinate at certain well defined intervals between periods, and (2) Edmonton (Canadian, all, ...?) hockey fans like to consume beer while watching hockey (this is the more speculative part of the model, although not a stretch for anyone familiar with Canadian hockey fans ... that would be the Bayesian part of the "analysis").

Take care
Jim

James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
[email protected]

"William Scott" <[email protected]> 01-May-10 7:13:44 PM >>>
I know others have contributed graphics from this source which is highly recommended and here is another. The relationship between water use in a large Canadian city and the Canadian Olympic hockey finals. Water use includes drinking, watering the lawns and plants, washing the cars, and of course, flushing the toilet. Of course, this is only a correlation between television sports production and behavior, but what kind of causation inferences are we going to make?

Bill Scott


http://flowingdata.com/wp-content/uploads/yapb_cache/flush_game.5va6dz765ugw8880gswc80w8o.bxj7bs82axw0g448owg4gc8so.th.png

Bill Scott


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