Hello.  I joined this  listserve a few days ago, and so far it's been 
interesting (especially the flame wars, aka "I'm smarter than you" displays).

Michale Sylvester wrote the following: " Has anyone been following the recent 
discovery that a child's probability of developing autism is dependent on that 
child's birth proximity to the older adjacent sibling?" 

 I did take a look at the study, and there's a summary of my findings on my web 
page (link below) under "updates".  Basically, the authors (Cheslack-Povasta, 
Liu & Bearman) suggest hat a number of intervening variables (including folic 
acid) could contribute to the link they found between spacing and diagnosis of 
autism.  They also argue that empirical research proceeds at a "slow crawl" and 
that considerably more related research is called for (they even attempt to 
distance themselves from "junk science" like the alleged link between autism 
and the MMR vaccine).  In addition, my closer examination of the results 
revealed that overall the odds of having a child diagnosed as autistic were 
.0047, but for closely spaced children the odds were .0076.  Large sample sizes 
(662,730 subjects in California) can often lead to results that are 
statistically significant, but that are perhaps less practically/socially 
significant.  While an increased probability of .29% is probably worth bearing 
in mind, it’s probably not worth losing too much sleep over.  Prenatal stress 
and sleep loss stemming from excessive parental worrying about close spacing 
can perhaps be just as problematic as the spacing itself…


Dale R. Floody, Ph.D.
[email protected]
Viterbo University Psychology Department    
LaCrosse, WI   54601
Professor Emeritus    UW Colleges Psychology Department
www.balancedpsych.com
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