Hi

Among the highest ranked comments are ideas similar to what came first to my 
mind.  Here's one such comment:

"They had to do a study to determine that we're better at remembering the past 
than predicting the future?"

A similar comment wondered whether the researchers thought humans were 
soothsayers.

To the extent that it is circumstances that drive change in people, it would 
seem that the above comments might provide a ready explanation for the 
findings.  That is, we know about the changes elicited by past changes in 
circumstances, but have little idea how future circumstances will change or 
affect us or even whether they will change.  Perhaps the assumption is that 
circumstances will stay constant?  Would still merit the label "end of history 
illusion", assuming by "history" we mean that degree of historical change will 
not be replicated in the future.

It would also be interested to see if the degree of change reported 
retroactively stays constant over the lifespan, or if indeed there is some 
emerging stability with age.

Take care
Jim




James M. Clark
Professor & Chair of Psychology
[email protected]
Room 4L41A
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
Dept of Psychology, U of Winnipeg
515 Portage Ave, Winnipeg, MB
R3B 0R4  CANADA


>>> Christopher Green <[email protected]> 03-Jan-13 3:42 PM >>>
Some actually interesting psychological research (to me -- you will forgive me 
for finding too much of psychological research overly praised for being highly 
technical but intellectually trivial).
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/04/science/study-in-science-shows-end-of-history-illusion.html?hp&_r=0
 

Happy New Year,
Chris
---
Christopher D. Green
Department of Psychology
York University
Toronto, ON M3J 1P3
Canada

[email protected] 
http://www.yorku.ca/christo/ 
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