Hi Paul, I am sure that numbers are available somewhere, but I really don't 
have access to them at the moment. Truthfully, I don't believe that online 
enrollments will be overtaking regular semester enrollments any time soon. But, 
given the pace of improvement in on-line delivery technology and other emerging 
trends (MOOCS), I do fear that things are going to be changing rather rapidly. 
Again, it is probably not going to be an avalanche, but there are definite 
changes in the air and I truly believe that I will witness some these changes 
within my lifetime (I'm 56).  

  

I know that f or summer session enrollments, SJU  offers over 120 sections of 
on line courses and I believe that number may be close to one third to one half 
of the total number of courses offered (again, that is a pure guess on my 
part). However, here is an interesting consequence: We are a multiple campus 
university and because of the increasing number and variety of available online 
classes university wide, many of the face-to-face summer courses available in 
our local campus are not getting sufficient enrollment and are, t herefore, 
canceled. Thus, for us at the local level,  summer enrollments in online 
courses are far greater than for their face-to-face counterparts.  

  

Miguel  

  

----- Original Message -----




From: "Paul Brandon" <[email protected]> 
To: "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)" 
<[email protected]> 
Sent: Tuesday, March 12, 2013 10:14:32 AM 
Subject: Re: [tips] I've Seen The Future, And You're Not In It 



  


  


  
Miguel-- 


Increase is easy when you start from a small base. 
When do you project that on-line classes will make up more than half of your 
enrollment? 



On Mar 12, 2013, at 7:43 AM, MiguelRoig wrote: 


Ken, at St. John's U., a primarily commuter, urban university, enrollments in 
on-line classes have been steadily increasing and are projected to continue 
increasing in the foreseeable future. My sense is that the spread of  'study 
abroad' programs has also helped in this regard. 


  


  


  



Miguel 

----- Original Message -----
From:   "Ken Steele" < [email protected] > 
To:   "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)" < 
[email protected] > 
Sent:   Tuesday, March 12, 2013 8:33:35 AM 
Subject:   Re: [tips] I've Seen The Future, And You're Not In It 

On 3/12/2013 7:56 AM, Mike Palij wrote: 
> 
> Bottom line, there will be superstar teachers, MOOCs, and 
> reconceptualization of what teachers do and what students will 
> be.  The metaphor being used is that educational change will 
> come like an avalanche, that is, they say that an avalanche seem 
> to be solidly in place until it falls -- change is dramatic and 
> unexpected and that is what will happen in higher education. 
> 
> 
> -Mike Palij 
> New York University 
>   [email protected] 
> 
> 

I have been involved with many attempts to develop distance ed,   
on-line, hybrid, and other non-traditional courses. Most have   
been failures. Our bottom line is that the majority of our   
students are traditional students and they want to live away from   
home, hang out with other people of the same age, engage in lots   
of questionable activities, and otherwise have a good time on   
their way to a degree.  Doing the on-line route is about as   
appealing to them as a plate of old steamed broccoli. 

Ken 






Paul Brandon 
Emeritus Professor of Psychology 
Minnesota State University, Mankato 
[email protected] 






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