> I wouldn't underestimate technological progress. Actually, I would, and I
> have, only to be proved wrong and be surprised over and over. It's one of
> the things that's fun about my business. I just bought a 4gb SD card for
> $87. If you'd told me I could do that just a couple of years ago, I'd've
> said you were nuts. It wasn't that long ago that 4gb CF cards were a $4000
> experiment. 8gb were $20,000. Now, I bet 8gb cards drop below $100 in the
> next two years.
Don, go back and re-read my post. Moore's Law predicts we'll have
16GB SD cards for about $200 by 2010. I said I needed 4X that amount
(~64GB), which will require at least an additional three years (2013).
So, no, I'm not underestimating technological progress -- rather, I'm
estimating it quite accurately.
> The amount of music one might accumulate is probably going to grow more
> slowly than the capacity of storage. I bought my son a 256mb memory stick
> 1.5 years ago for Christmas. It cost $120. For myself, I just bought a 2gb
> Sandisk for $47.
True, but you don't know my wife. ;-) Every holiday and gift-giving
event has her increasing our music collection by a dozen CDs or more.
I certainly can keep (nearly) my entire collection in my pocket if I'm
willing to shell out $400 for a 60GB iPod or more for an 80+GB media
player. But as for an SD or other flash-based storage medium, it
won't be feasible for at least another 6 years.
> I would not be at all surprised to see merged devices with 60gb or 80gb
> hdd's in the next year. I just hope Palm keeps up, or can keep up. I'm
> having to put in a hacked driver just to run the 4gb card I'm expecting from
> Newegg.
Hah...that'd be rich. A phone with a 60GB HDD. It'd either be so
huge we'd tease it until it enrolled in a La Jolla fat camp, or it
would have a battery lifespan that even a Mayfly could mock. Maybe in
several years, but given the retarding influence that the carriers
have on phone innovation, I wouldn't bet much money that it'll be a
satisfying experience any time soon.
- Craig
--
http://www.GearBits.com -- Tech. Culture. Ideas. Opinions.
SPONSORED LINKS
| Palm os | Handspring treo | For palm os |
| Palm os database | Palm os software |
YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS
- Visit your group "treo" on the web.
- To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
- Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.
