I think you misunderstand the problem with flash memory. It's not random failures, but the inevitability of successfully writing to a bit on the flash memory for the last time (since each bit can only be written to a particular number of times), after which the flash memory becomes useless. Good flash memory firmware compensates for this by leveling this wear across the entirety of the flash memory.

In fact, for backups, flash memory is probably more resilient than hard drives. By using a hard drive for backups, you are spinning up and spinning down this hard drive every time you use it; that's the type of thing that wears down a hard drive fastest. Hard drives are still cheap, so that alone might make them a better backup option (i.e. you can afford a really big capacity hard drive more easily than a really big capacity flash drive), but if you have a flash drive which is a sufficient size, it's probably the better option.

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