In fact, for backups, flash memory is probably more resilient than hard drives. By using a hard drive for backups, you are spinning up and spinning down this hard drive every time you use it; that's the type of thing that wears down a hard drive fastest. Hard drives are still cheap, so that alone might make them a better backup option (i.e. you can afford a really big capacity hard drive more easily than a really big capacity flash drive), but if you have a flash drive which is a sufficient size, it's probably the better option.
I think you misunderstand the problem with flash memory. It's not random
failures, but the inevitability of successfully writing to a bit on the flash
memory for the last time (since each bit can only be written to a particular
number of times), after which the flash memory becomes useless. Good flash
memory firmware compensates for this by leveling this wear across the
entirety of the flash memory.
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