And I am sorry I didn't see your email.  I would have liked to have asked your 
data disaggregation question.

While I have the program book in front of me (I'm at the office and don't plan 
to take it home), here's a brief summary of the session:

The title of today's session was "New Tricks for Old Media:  What Measurement 
and Method Tell Us About Traditional Media Consumption and Effectiveness."  
There were 4 speakers.

1.  Nielsen guy talked about how Nielsen is working with "Return-Path Set Top 
Box Data" and described the advantages and disadvantages of using RPD (e.g., 
when a box is turned on, it's impossible to tell exactly who is -- or isn't -- 
sitting in front of a TV).  Nielsen is conducting many studies to determine the 
reliability of RPD.  Through the use of various statistical techniques, with 
only a few exceptions, it can be determined that they track quite closely with 
its People Meter data, which is currently the gold standard in measuring 
viewership.

2.  University of Texas professor talked about measuring radio audiences.  He 
did an interesting study on what happens when a radio station switched formats 
to Christmas music for the 5 weeks between Thanksgiving and Christmas.  
(Ratings go up but the total radio audience doesn't increase.)

3.  ESPN fellow -- ESPN.com's numbers go way up when guys go to work.  ESPN 
mobile's numbers go up when guys are doing errands on weekends.

4.  University of Wisconsin professor talked about his study on commercial 
skipping.  Turns out that the more popular a program is, the less ad avoidance 
there is.

I realize that that was a very brief summary.  So, if someone has a specific 
question about those topics, I might have an answer.

I did get to ask a question.  The answer:  no one -- advertisers or networks -- 
is currently making buy/programming decisions based on RPD.  There was 
disagreement among the panel members whether RPD will ever be used in such 
decision-making.

I haven't had a chance to finish looking through the program book; there may be 
some other sessions of interest to this group and I'll try to attend them if 
there are and I can.

Melissa

 
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf 
Of PGage
Sent: Monday, August 03, 2009 1:56 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [TV orNotTV] Re: Short notice


On Mon, Aug 3, 2009 at 9:12 AM, Pollak, Melissa F.<[email protected]> wrote:
> I'm at the Joint Statistical Meetings and will soon be attending a 
> session on measuring TV viewship.
>
> Anyone have any questions they want asked?  There's actually a 
> presentation on ESPN.
>
> I'll be at this computer for another few minutes.  So, you've got to 
> be fast
> -- if you have a question -- I MAY be able to ask.

I am sorry I was not at my puter when you first posted this. I am interested in 
the state of the art in estimating a program's total viewership including DVR 
and online views, and if the number of alternate views are currently large 
enough to make a significant difference in the judgment of a show's success 
(e.g. John Ham and Kevin Pollock both made a point on the Chat Show a while 
back that even though the first time  viewership on AMC for Mad Men was small, 
the number exploded when including DVR viewership). How likely is it that one 
day a program, even on a broadcast network, will have fewer first time viewers 
than it does DVR and online - and be considered a success?

I am also interested in anything they have on dis aggregating viewership by 
ethnicity, gender and age - both in terms of which programs now have the 
largest discrepancies in those groups, but also how confident they are in the 
reliability of their sample size for making this finer grained analysis? I am 
particularly interested if they think they really do a good job in getting an 
adequate, random and representative sample of ethnic minorities in the Nielsen 
samples.

But really, I would be interested in anything you can report back from the 
session, and I hope you have time to give us one. Thanks!



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