On Sun, Dec 6, 2009 at 8:18 AM, Steve Timko <[email protected]> wrote:
> I'm curious as to what O'brien's figures are. I've been watching him
> this last week with Dave dark. The comedy is better than I expected.
> He does good monologues and I like the prepared bits. The interviews,
> though, are deathly dull.

This is a big part of the so-called "Leno Effect", and may be the
single biggest negative impact on NBC's bottom line to result from the
Leno Experiment.

TV By The Numbers posts the various press releases about the late
night ratings - here are the ones for the November Sweeps period:
http://tvbythenumbers.com/category/ratings/late-night

Basically, Dave had his best November Sweeps  since 1994. He beat
Conan in total viewers by 74% (4.08M to 2.35M), beat him in adults age
25-54 by 30%, and tied him in adults aged 18-49. Conan is beating Dave
in Adults aged 18-34 by 47%.

The media age of Conan's audience was 46.4, 10 years younger than
Dave's at 56.3 (which, somewhat surprisingly, is the same age as
Nightline's audience). NBC reports that the average age of Conan's
Tonight Show audience is actually younger than the age of his audience
last year when he was at Late Night at 12:30. Fallon's audience is
only 2 year's ounger than Conan's is now (44.7).

This is a huge turnaround from when Leno was at the Tonight Show of
course, when he regularly spanked Dave (I think getting close to 5M
total viewers a night, not much less that Leno is getting now in
primetime).

My TiVo records both Dave and Conan, and I have been watching about
50-60% of the Tonight Show episodes before deleting them. In general I
agree with you evaluation - his monologue is regularly much sharper
and more biting than Dave's or, or course, (based on what I have seen
this year and remember from the past) Leno's. His clunker jokes are
worse than Dave's, but that is because his jokes in general are more
ambitious. I find the prepared comedy bits to be more hit and miss
(e.g. the thing with the Universal Tour bus stopping by is lame, but
the thing with the Tom Cruise wax dolls is funny, and the Conando bits
are funny, as are the Twitter Trackers). Conan remains the absolutely
worst interviewer in late night television - and I include both Leno
(who I think is also quite bad) and even Fallon (who, I hate to say
it, has gotten less bad at several parts of his show if the random
pieces that I have seen over the last couple of seeks are a good
sample).

This is not all the fault of the Leno's anemic lead-in of course - at
least part of Dave's surge has resulted from curiosity viewers after
his sex scandal, and CBS is kicking ass in primetime ratings across
the board, the better to promo Dave.

But the bottom line is that by moving Leno to primetime NBC has turned
late night from a dominant profit center to one where they are are in
second place with about half of their previous total audience. From
their POV I guess that is unfair - the better comparison maybe is what
would either Leno or Conan's Tonight Show ratings be if either Leno or
Conan also had an 11:30 show on ABC or Fox?

-- 
TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People!
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