On Mon, Sep 26, 2011 at 4:52 PM, Wesley McGee <[email protected]>wrote:

>
> The problem is customers don't care about soon-to-be improvements. Right
> now, Netflix is becoming a worse service (and the Dreamworks deal doesn't
> start until 2013). And very rarely has a business successfully sold a
> price-hike on the argument of "well, things are not great *now* but with
> this price increase, we hope to make the service better *two or three
> years from now*." Customers will generally say, "well OK, then. In two or
> three years, *maybe* I'll consider subscribing again." That is the
> argument you give to potential investors. And thanks to Netflix mixing up
> the investor argument with the customer argument, the investors are selling
> the stock, rightly fearing Netflix has annoyed the customer one too many
> times.
>

Right. But my point is that Netflix really does not care that much about the
current customer. I don't think they are really saying to us "hang in with
us, we will be great in a few years". They are saying to themselves that if
they dont free up enough cash to bid for major content, they wont have a
meaningful business at all in a couple of years. In fact, they realized that
they were focusing too much on down the road, and pissing off too many of
their current customers - but they really did not lose that many. In 2
years, Netflix will either be a provider of enough major content that they
are getting a big share of their market, or they will not really be a major
player at all. The 1/25 of their current customer base that they may have
lost will not register one way or the other in the big scheme of things.

-- 
TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People!
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