On Sun, Sep 9, 2012 at 2:56 AM, PGage wrote: > On Sat, Sep 8, 2012 at 10:59 PM, Wesley (in Texas) wrote: > > Another theory (which I was thinking of) was that ... for whatever reason >> ... convention watching/following is now something for only partisans. Thus >> if it is only preaching to the converted, then there would be very little >> to no bounce for either one. I thought it could possibly be that, after >> seeing reports that MSNBC won day one of the DNC convention whereas Fox >> News won the RNC conventions... >> > > I think this is definitely an issue. Not only are there fewer undecideds > in the overall population of voters, but fewer of the undecideds watch the > conventions. Partisans watch to get angry or inspired, or for the fun (I > watch for all three reasons), but not that many persuadable. I read a > commenter on Nate's most recent article this evening suggest that the > unexpected size of Obama's bump might in part be due to the convention > inspiring his base enough that more of them are passing the "likely voter" > filter into the sample and getting counted. The danger there then would be > that these are people whose fire might also quickly cool off. >
That is an interesting theory. Even though ever since the effective end of the GOP primaries Obama pretty much held the lead (albeit a very slight one), the GOP held the edge on enthusiasm. Flipping that around would have given Obama a more significant edge over Romney. Now according to the latest report, MSNBC won the week in cable news during the DNC -- beating Fox. Which could mean (again) that MSNBC has successfully leaned forward into the liberal counter to Fox in the minds of the partisans. >From Mediaite -- http://j.mp/OmSwo0 : "Over the five weekdays, MSNBC averaged 2.53 million total viewers, while Fox and CNN tied with roughly 2.35 million. This marks the first time in the network’s 16-year existence that MSNBC came in first for a full week of weekday primetime ratings." -- Wesley McGee http://www.ambivi.com http://sterlingnorth.vox.com http://drawing-a-blank.tumblr.com Twitter: @westwit G+: http://plus.google.com/113413697748381364954 Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/wesleymcgee -- TV or Not TV .... The Smartest (TV) People! You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TV or Not TV" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/tvornottv?hl=en
