On Sun, Dec 23, 2012 at 1:53 AM, JW <[email protected]> wrote:

> Thinking a bit more about the subject, it occurs to me that I can name
> some early Survivor winners, but none from other shows of its ilk or
> from more recent Survivor seasons. Again, I watched none of them, but
> Survivor was ubiquitous enough early on ("Did you see or touch any
> monkeys?") that I know that Richard Hatch was the naked guy who went
> to jail for tax evasion. It may well be that winners of the early
> breakout seasons of these shows enjoyed an advantage that winners in a
> more cluttered landscape don't. Melissa's point about musicians
> finding the proper material (or, I suppose, people from other kinds of
> shows finding appropriate vehicles) also holds.


This makes sense. But I guess my initial hypothesis here was that even over
the course of the more cluttered, three-singing show environment (which I
guess is really only the last 18 months) the AI contestants have been
more successful. But as Melissa points out, that is mostly due to the
success of Home by Phillips (thanks to Melissa for providing those
details). And I guess the point is that it is fairly random that he got a
good original song to sing (that I and many others still often confuse with
Mumford), and that lightening could have just as easily struck a contestant
on one of the other shows. Although I guess there is one difference, in
that I think AI is the only one of the three that has the winner (and maybe
the runner-up?) sing an original song near the end in front of that huge TV
audience. That boost probably wont help a bad song, but it does give a good
platform for a good one. (now that I think about it, it seems like The
Voice did have original songs for the final contestants in maybe its first
iteration, but I don't recall that in the last two).

I guess if songwriters were sitting on sure-fire hits they would have
already sold them to established acts and not save them on
unknown quantities on talent shows.

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